Alert archive / New York / River Flood Warnings in 2022

River Flood Warning 23, NWS Buffalo, NY

November 30, 2022Erie County, Wyoming County, New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this river flood warning at Nov 30, 2022, 5:30 PM EST for Erie County, Wyoming County, New York. It took effect at Nov 30, 2022, 6:00 PM EST. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 30, 2022, 5:30 PM EST (22:30 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 30, 2022, 6:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 30, 2022, 9:55 PM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Erie County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 10 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cayuga Creek at Lancaster (LCSN6). The gauge peaked at 7.87 ft at Nov 30, 2022, 6:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate4681011/3012/0112/02
Action stage
6 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
12 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 04215000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

478 
WGUS41 KBUF 302230
FLWBUF

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
530 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...The National Weather Service in Buffalo NY has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in New York...

  Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster affecting Erie and Wyoming Counties.

For the Cayuga Creek...including Lancaster...Minor flooding is 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the 
dangers of flooding.


Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 100 AM EST.

&&


NYC029-121-010600-
/O.NEW.KBUF.FL.W.0023.221130T2300Z-221201T0600Z/
/LCSN6.1.RS.221130T2325Z.221201T0000Z.221201T0018Z.UU/
530 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster.

* WHEN...Until just after midnight tonight.

* IMPACTS...At 8.0 feet, Flood stage, minor flooding in lowlying 
  areas of Lancaster and Alden.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 5:15 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    this evening to a crest of 8.1 feet this evening. It will
    then fall below flood stage later this evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    8.1 feet on 03/15/2007.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846


$$

SJW
1 follow-up statement
199 
WGUS81 KBUF 010255
FLSBUF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
955 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in New 
York...

  Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster affecting Erie and Wyoming Counties.

NYC029-121-010400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-221201T0255Z/
/LCSN6.1.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
955 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cayuga Creek Near Lancaster.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 9:30 PM EST Wednesday the stage was 6.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.0 feet by
    Thursday evening.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846


$$

SJW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 30, 5:18 PM EST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 30, 5:18 PM EST, 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
518 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure passing across northern Quebec will continue to
propel a strong cold front eastward across New England tonight.
The colder air will result in a brief period of accumulating
lake effect snow east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie this evening
through Thursday. High pressure will build in Friday, followed
by another storm system passing to our northwest on Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A strong cold front continues to exit east, shifting across New
England tonight. Widespread rain is done, but have seen lake
effect snow showers developing off Lake Erie. Thus far, the
intensity has been light and per NY Mesonet cameras, just a
coating of snow accumulation has occurred to this point. Gusty
westerly winds will continue into the evening. Strongest winds
from here on out with gusts of 45 to 50 mph will be mainly near
the Lake Erie shoreline to the south of Buffalo the rest of
tonight and also along the Lake Ontario shoreline tonight into
Thursday morning from near Rochester to the east end of the
lake. Winds will diminish from west to east mid to late Thursday
afternoon as the pressure gradient finally relaxes.

Lake Effect...

Cold air is beginning to pour back into the eastern Great Lakes
behind the cold front, with 850MB temps bottoming out around
-11C or so tonight and Thursday morning. Lake induced
equilibrium levels will briefly rise to 12-14K feet this evening
over Lake Ontario, and around 10K feet over Lake Erie before
steadily lowering Thursday. The best synoptic scale forcing and
moisture will be found over and east of Lake Ontario, which will
benefit from moisture from the upper Great Lakes. A somewhat
less favorable setup over and east of Lake Erie with more
shallow synoptic scale moisture.

Off Lake Ontario...

Expect a band of lake effect rain/snow to develop quickly on the
heels of the departing synoptic scale rain by early evening across
Jefferson and northern Lewis counties. The rain/snow mix will
quickly change to all snow by late evening as colder air
arrives to the sfc. The lake effect band will drift slowly south
across the Tug Hill tonight through Thursday, eventually becoming
centered on the far southern end of the Tug Hill and portions
of Oswego County on Thursday. The band should reach peak
intensity tonight and early Thursday morning across the Central
Tug Hill before weakening late morning into the afternoon.

The greatest snowfall amounts will be focused across the higher
terrain of the Tug Hill where surface temperatures will be colder,
and where upslope flow enhances snowfall rates. Expect totals of 8-
15" in the most persistent bands there. Surrounding lower elevations
will see considerably less, on the order of 4-7", even less than
that right on the lakeshore. A Lake Effect Snow Warning remains in
place for east of Lake Ontario.

Off Lake Erie...

A band of lake effect rain and wet snow will change to all snow
by sunset across higher terrain and by early evening for lower
elevations. The initial band for the first few hours may impact
the Buffalo Southtowns before drifting further south toward Ski
Country from Southern Erie county into northern Chautauqua and
Cattaraugus counties this evening and overnight. The Lake Erie
activity should reach peak intensity this evening through the
early overnight with shortwave moving through and lifting
inversions and increasing moisture into the DGZ before weakening
late tonight and Thursday morning once the shortwave and deeper
moisture exit.

The greatest snowfall off Lake Erie will focus across the higher
terrain of the Boston Hills, western Wyoming County, and Chautauqua
Ridge where 4-7" is expected. Amounts will be lower along the Lake
Erie shore, Buffalo Southtowns, and Allegany County where 1-3" is
expected. The strong winds will support snows extending well inland
from the lake, with 1-2" locally extending into the western Finger
Lakes as well.

Blowing Snow...

The gusty winds will produce areas of blowing and drifting snow
tonight through Thursday in lake effect areas. Visibility will be
significantly impacted at times with gusts over 40 mph.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure slowly passes by to our south Thursday night
and then off the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday. A lowering subsidence
inversion and warming mid-levels will bring an end to what is left
of any lake response Thursday evening. We might be able to squeeze
out a little more off Lake Ontario, an inch or so but not much more.
This would mainly be due to the longer fetch of the lake or the aid
of upstream help to keep the lake effect going off Ontario.

Otherwise...a very brief period of quiet weather will ensue as we
head into Friday. It will be mild too as southerly flow picks up on
the western periphery of the surface high stretched across the
region. Highs on Friday will generally be found in the 40s to near
50F. A bit cooler across the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario
(Tug Hill).

...Strong gusty winds possible Friday night and Saturday...

Still keeping an eye on the Friday night and the Saturday time
period, as a potent shortwave trough tracks across the upper Midwest
into the Great Lakes region. Rapid cyclogenesis and then deepening
of the surface low tied to this system will occur as it tracks
northeast across Lake Superior and then into Canada by Friday
evening. There are 'two' potential areas of concern with this
system...the prefrontal and then post frontal winds. That said...the
prefrontal southerly winds Friday night will 'potentially' support a
downslope wind event off the Chautauqua ridge and also the Black
River valley. Guidance shows +50 knots at 925mb with BUFKIT profiles
advertising a decent inversion at ridge top level. The only caveat
will be 'when' or if we see some precipitation Friday night to
minimize this threat. The next area of concern will be strong gusty
winds along and then just behind the cold front on Saturday. That
said...it should be noted that the track of the surface low as of
now is less than ideal (well northwest of our area) for a
'widespread' wind event. This is well supported by local research.
However...given the strength of the winds at 925mb (50 to 60 knots)
and rapid CAA taking place just behind the front it does warrant
some concern. Although...it does appear that it will be a short-
lived event, if current model trends stay on track. The strongest
post frontal winds will 'likely' be northeast of the lakes on
Saturday. This will especially be the case off Lake Erie where we
could see gusts up to 55 mph or higher. Will continue to mention
this potential in the HWO for now.

Otherwise, mild conditions will exist ahead of the front Saturday
(upper 40s to lower 50s), then temperatures fall behind the front
through the day. We will also see some showers with the front and
then a potential limited lake response late in the day into Saturday
night. This as colder air works in behind the front but synoptic
moisture is lacking and high pressure quickly builds east into the
Lower Lakes.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure ridged from the Ohio Valley to New York State will
slide eastward and off the east coast on Sunday...while a weak
surface low slides from central/northern Ontario Province to James
Bay. Lingering spotty lake effect snow showers east/east-southeast
of Lake Ontario at the start of the day should come to an end by
early afternoon with diminishing moisture and backing/shearing of
the low level flow...with an otherwise dry day and highs mainly in
the mid to upper 30s expected.

Sunday night the aforementioned low will lift northeastward across
northern Quebec while attempting to pivot its weak cold frontal
boundary southward across New York State...however this feature will
stall out and eventually disintegrate over our area as it loses the
support of its parent system. With dying forcing and only limited
moisture in place...this feature should generate little if any
precipitation in and of itself...though an associated brief influx
of colder air behind it could still be enough to trigger some
additional spotty lake effect snow showers east of Lake Ontario.
High pressure and drier air will then drift from our area to
northern New England on Monday while providing us with another
mainly dry and quiet day...with modest warm air advection on its
backside also allowing highs to climb back to the upper 30s and
lower 40s.

After that...the various model packages continue to exhibit
considerable run-to-run and model-to-model differences with the
details of the pattern evolution that will take place through the
balance of this period. That being said...in general broad large-
scale troughing should dig from the Plains States across the Great
Lakes...with a corresponding surface low developing over the
nation's midsection and tracking northeastward either across or a
bit to the north of our area. This system should bring rain chances
and milder temperatures back into our area Monday night through
Tuesday...followed by at least somewhat colder temperatures and
lingering rain/snow chances on Wednesday.

Beyond the end of this period...even colder air and at least some
associated lake snow potential may then follow for the latter
portion of next week...however the guidance continues to exhibit
rather large differences in the handling of the main low level
features (and thus the low level wind field) during this time frame.
With this in mind...attempting to resolve any lake effect snow-
related forecast details remains a fruitless enterprise for now.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of late afternoon...the back edge of the steady rain is in the
process of working across the North Country...with this likely to
exit the region around 22z. Further west across far western New
York...a band of mixed lake effect rain and snow has developed
between KBUF and KJHW off Lake Erie...and the same should happen
east of Lake Ontario by early this evening. Through 24z...conditions
will generally be at or will improve to VFR across the lower
elevations and MVFR across the higher terrain...except within areas
of lake effect rain and snow where a mix of IFR/MVFR will
predominate. Meanwhile...westerly winds gusting to 30-40 knots will
remain commonplace.

Bands of lake effect snow will then produce areas of IFR/LIFR in
snow and blowing snow east of both lakes tonight. These will mainly
impact KJHW and to a lesser extent KART...with the latter likely to
see a few hours of snow this evening before the lake effect band
drifts south of the terminal overnight. Gusty west winds (to 30-40
knots) will also continue through the night areawide...with mainly
VFR conditions found outside of the lake effect activity.

On Thursday...areas of lake effect snow and attendant areas of
IFR/LIFR east of both lakes during the morning will taper off during
the afternoon east of Lake Erie...with the Lake Ontario activity
weakening some but still holding together through the rest of the
day. Of the terminals...KJHW will be the only one affected by these.
Outside of the lake snows...mainly dry/VFR conditions will
predominate...with still-gusty westerly winds (to 30-35 knots) in
the morning slackening during the afternoon.

Thursday Night...leftover lake effect snow showers ending east of
Lake Ontario...otherwise VFR.
Friday...VFR.
Saturday...VFR/MVFR and very windy with rain showers likely.
Sunday and Monday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A deepening area of low pressure near James Bay will lift across
northern Quebec. The tight pressure gradient from the low will
keep Gale warnings in place for the lakes and Small Craft
Advisories for the rivers.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
For Cayuga Creek at Lancaster rises have slowed in the last few
hours, but it could still reach flood stage for an hour or two
early this evening. Tonawanda Creek at Attica is also rising
quickly but should crest just below flood stage. Both sites
continue to be monitored closely.

Elsewhere, amounts came in near or slightly less than the 0.75
inch expected. Therefore the Buffalo and Cazenovia Creeks should
crest near or below action stage.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
West winds to 35 knots on Lake Erie have resulted in a seiche
with multiple peaks. Buffalo NOS will remain near or slightly
above 6 ft early this evening but as winds veer more west-
northwest levels should gradually lower through this evening.

West gales of 35-40 knots will continue on Lake Ontario through
Thursday in the wake of a strong cold front. The combination of
onshore winds and wave action will bring a very low chance of
limited lakeshore flooding in low lying areas at the east end of
Lake Ontario. Lake levels are below normal, which will mitigate
flood potential.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Wind Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday for NYZ001-002-007-008-
     010>014-020-021.
     Wind Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for NYZ003>006.
     Lakeshore Flood Warning until 4 PM EST Thursday for NYZ006-007.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning from 8 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Thursday for NYZ006>008.
     Lakeshore Flood Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for
     NYZ010-019-085.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 1 PM EST Thursday for NYZ012-019-
     020-085.
     Wind Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for NYZ019-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for LEZ020.
         Gale Warning until 4 AM EST Thursday for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Thursday for
         LOZ030.
         Gale Warning until 4 PM EST Thursday for LOZ042>045-
         062>065.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Thursday for
         SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Apffel/Hitchcock/JLA
NEAR TERM...Apffel/Hitchcock/JLA
SHORT TERM...AR
LONG TERM...JJR
AVIATION...Hitchcock/JJR
MARINE...Apffel/Hitchcock/JLA
HYDROLOGY...Apffel/Hitchcock/JLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hitchcock/JLA
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 30, 5:28 AM EST, 12 hours 2 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

NYZ008-011030-
Lewis-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-011030-
Jefferson-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ013-014-021-011030-
Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-011-011030-
Niagara-Orleans-Genesee-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>005-011030-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-011030-
Oswego-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-011030-
Chautauqua-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-020-011030-
Wyoming-Cattaraugus-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-011030-
Northern Erie-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Lakeshore Flood Advisory.
   Wind Advisory.

Rain today will result in rises on the Buffalo area creeks later
today through tonight. There is a low chance that a few of the creeks
may approach flood stage.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ085-011030-
Southern Erie-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

Rain today will result in rises on the Buffalo area creeks later
today through tonight. There is a low chance that a few of the creeks
may approach flood stage.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

Strong winds are possible again Saturday, with gusts over 50 mph
possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-011030-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

Gale force winds are possible again Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-011030-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Gale force winds are possible again Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-011030-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

Hitchcock

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 3:31 AM ESTLakeshore Flood AdvisoryBUFChautauqua, Erie15 hr
Nov 30, 3:34 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningBUFJefferson, Lewis11 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in New York, 2022Every river flood warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.