Rivers in New York

Cayuga Creek at Lancaster

Erie County, New YorkNWS LCSN6USGS 04215000Buffalo office

Below flood stage
2.71ftStage

Observed Wed, Sep 23, 6:30 AM EDT

Flood stage
8.00 ft
Forecast crest
2.70 ftWed, Sep 23, 8:00 AM EDT
Record crest
13.35 ft1999

Open the live map with the river flood outlook

Flood stages and impacts

CategoryStage
Major flood12.00 ft
Moderate flood10.00 ft
Minor flood8.00 ft
Action6.00 ft
  1. 12.00 ftMajor flood, protective dikes in town of Lancaster are topped. Major damages to commercial and residential areas in village of Lancaster. Widespread flooding in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near Bowen Road, Transit Road, and Union Road including Williamstowne apartments.
  2. 10.00 ftModerate flood, flooding of backyards, basements and streets in Village of Lancaster. Some flooding of low lying areas in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near Bowen Road and Transit Road. Some flooding possible near Union Road too.
  3. 8.00 ftFlood stage, minor flooding in lowlying areas of Lancaster and Alden.
  4. 6.00 ftAction stage, high flows. No flooding.

Flood outlook

Chance of flooding, September to November

CategoryChance
Minor flooding6%
Moderate floodingUnder 5%
Major floodingUnder 5%

The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 21, 2026.

Crest history

39 crests on NOAA’s list since 1939.

#DateStage
1January 23, 199913.35 ft
2March 9, 194212.36 ft
3March 24, 194112.00 ft
4March 21, 197811.74 ft
5February 19, 194811.65 ft
6July 13, 201711.06 ft
7March 3, 194511.01 ft
8February 27, 194410.76 ft
9January 27, 196210.60 ft
10September 14, 197910.48 ft
11July 8, 199810.23 ft
12June 23, 197210.09 ft
13January 22, 195910.09 ft
14September 25, 197710.08 ft
15March 7, 195610.06 ft
16March 14, 19829.80 ft
17April 1, 20269.73 ft
18September 9, 20049.61 ft
19January 19, 19969.40 ft
20June 22, 19879.34 ft
21March 8, 20099.32 ft
22February 23, 19859.31 ft
23March 8, 20099.31 ft
24November 24, 20149.29 ft
25December 27, 20089.23 ft

Most recent crests

  • April 1, 2026: 9.73 ft
  • February 18, 2022: 8.43 ft
  • July 13, 2017: 11.06 ft
  • April 21, 2017: 8.44 ft
  • November 24, 2014: 9.29 ft
  • June 13, 2013: 8.50 ft
  • April 26, 2011: 8.18 ft
  • January 25, 2010: 8.26 ft
  • March 8, 2009: 9.31 ft
  • March 8, 2009: 9.32 ft

Nearby

Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.

What this means

Forecasts by the Northeast River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Impact statements listed below may not be representative during times of ice jam flooding. Gauge reading may be affected by ice. Forecast flows are unadjusted for ice.

Sources

Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.