High Wind Warning 2, NWS Buffalo, NY

427 
WWUS71 KBUF 301418
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
918 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

NYZ007-008-302100-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-221130T2100Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
918 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties. The strongest winds will
  be found on the northern slopes of the Tug Hill Plateau,
  portions of the Black River Valley, and near Fort Drum.

* WHEN...Until 4 PM EST this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NYZ019-085-302230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T0900Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
918 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-302230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.221130T1500Z-221201T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, 
and Batavia
918 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ003>006-302230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.221130T1700Z-221201T1800Z/
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, and Oswego
918 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012>014-020-021-302230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T0600Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, Olean, 
and Wellsville
918 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph this
  morning, becoming west this afternoon.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Ontario, Cattaraugus, and 
  Allegany counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Apffel

011 
WWUS71 KBUF 301957
NPWBUF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
257 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

NYZ007-008-010400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-221130T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T0600Z/
Jefferson-Lewis-
Including the cities of Watertown and Lowville
257 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...HIGH WIND WARNING IS REPLACED BY A WIND ADVISORY WHICH IS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Jefferson and Lewis counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ019-085-010400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T0900Z/
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Jamestown, Orchard Park, and Springville
257 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph.

* WHERE...Chautauqua and Southern Erie counties.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010-011-010400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, 
and Batavia
257 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Orleans, Northern Erie, and Genesee counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ003>006-010400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T1800Z/
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego-
Including the cities of Rochester, Newark, Fair Haven, and Oswego
257 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Monroe, Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

NYZ012>014-020-021-010400-
/O.CON.KBUF.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-221201T0600Z/
Wyoming-Livingston-Ontario-Cattaraugus-Allegany-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Geneseo, Canandaigua, Olean, 
and Wellsville
257 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph this 
  morning, becoming west this afternoon.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Livingston, Ontario, Cattaraugus, and 
  Allegany counties.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds could blow around unsecured objects. 
  Tree limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may 
  result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Use extra caution when driving, especially if operating a high
profile vehicle. Secure outdoor objects.

&&

$$

Apffel

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1245 AM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure will pass well northwest of our region Wednesday,
bringing another period of rain. A strong cold front will sweep
across the eastern Great Lakes Wednesday afternoon, with very gusty
winds as colder air pours back into the region. The cold air will
set the stage for a brief period of accumulating lake effect snow
east of Lake Ontario and Lake Erie Wednesday night through Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Clouds will continue to overspread the area through the wee hours of
the morning, with rain arriving in far Western NY before daybreak.

An amplifying upper level pattern will result in an active weather
pattern late tonight through Thursday. A strong surface low will
move from Lake Superior to near James Bay by Wednesday night. A
trailing and very sharp cold front will arrive across Western NY by
late morning into midday on Wednesday, before reaching the eastern
Lake Ontario region in the afternoon. Cold air will quickly pour
back into the eastern Great Lakes briefly behind this cold front,
setting the stage for a brief lake effect snow event east of the
lakes Wednesday night and Thursday. This system will have multiple
impacts, outlined below.

Rainfall...

A period of rain will move from west to east across the area late
tonight and Wednesday. Rain will focus along and ahead of the cold
front, supported by strong large scale ascent as DPVA, height falls
and diffluence from upper level jet overspread the area ahead of a
deep trough swinging through the Great Lakes. Across Western NY the
steady rain should end by early afternoon, transitioning to
scattered rain and snow showers following the frontal passage.

Rain amounts across Western NY have trended up a bit in recent model
runs, now forecast to be in the 0.75"-1.00" range. Similar amounts
still forecast east of Lake Ontario where a developing frontal wave
will likely enhance rainfall. Amounts still could exceed 1.5" across
the southern Tug Hill with strong southerly upslope flow ahead of
the cold front.

Wind...

Southerly winds will continue to increase through the night as a
strong 45-55 knot low level jet moves into the eastern Great Lakes.
For most areas the strong winds aloft will not readily mix to the
surface, however to the lee of the Chautauqua Ridge and the Tug Hill
Plateau these will mix due to downsloping with gusts to 55 mph. This
will include the Lake Erie shoreline and I-90 south of Hamburg, and
the Black River Valley to the lee of the Tug Hill. Already seeing
signs of this with DKK reporting 40 kt gust last hour. Winds will
also be gusty in the western Finger Lakes and Southern Tier with
local channeling of the south winds resulting in gusts of 45-50 mph.

The second phase of this wind event will be post-frontal winds on
the lake plains. Forecast wind profiles in the cold air behind the
front along with strong cold advection and subsidence behind the
front will allow for the majority of the 45 knots aloft to mix down
to the surface following the cold frontal passage. There is
additional isallobaric support in form of 3hr pressure rise/fall
couplet generally oriented with west-southwest sfc wind direction.
The strongest gusts in Western NY downwind of Lake Erie will likely
be from midday into the evening Wednesday with gusts 50 to 55 mph
expected. Farther east, 50 mph wind gusts will start Wednesday
afternoon and may go through Thursday along the Lake Ontario shore
from near Rochester eastward to the east end of the lake.

No change to wind advisory which includes the entire forecast area,
although the initial downslope winds will be more localized through
late tonight over western NY and late tonight through midday
Wednesday east of Lake Ontario. Winds will diminish from west to
east on Thursday as the pressure gradient relaxes.

Lake Effect...

Cold air will pour back into the eastern Great Lakes behind the cold
front, with 850MB temps bottoming out around -11C or so Wednesday
night and Thursday morning. Lake induced equilibrium levels will
briefly rise to 12-14K feet Wednesday evening over Lake Ontario, and
around 10K feet over Lake Erie before steadily lowering Thursday.
The best synoptic scale forcing and moisture will be found over and
east of Lake Ontario, which will benefit from moisture from the
upper Great Lakes. A somewhat less favorable setup over and east of
Lake Erie with more shallow synoptic scale moisture.

Off Lake Ontario...

Expect a band of lake effect rain/snow to develop quickly on the
heels of the departing synoptic scale rain late Wednesday afternoon
and early evening across Jefferson and northern Lewis counties. The
rain/snow mix will quickly change to all snow by late evening as
colder air arrives. The lake effect band will drift slowly south
across the Tug Hill Wednesday night through Thursday, eventually
becoming centered on the far southern end of the Tug Hill and
portions of Oswego County on Thursday. The band should reach peak
intensity Wednesday night and early Thursday morning across the
Central Tug Hill before weakening late morning into the afternoon.

The greatest snowfall amounts will be focused across the higher
terrain of the Tug Hill where surface temperatures will be colder,
and where upslope flow enhances snowfall rates. Expect totals of 8-
16" in the most persistent bands there. Surrounding lower elevations
will see considerably less, on the order of 4-8", even less than
that right on the lakeshore. A Lake Effect Snow Warning remains
in place for east of Lake Ontario.

Off Lake Erie...

A band of lake effect rain and wet snow will develop mid to late
Wednesday afternoon east of the lake, changing to all snow by sunset
across higher terrain and by early evening for lower elevations. The
initial band for the first few hours may impact the Buffalo
Southtowns before drifting further south in the evening. Wednesday
night through Thursday morning the most organized bands of lake
effect snow will follow a slow southward progression, starting
mainly in southern Erie and Wyoming counties in the evening before
moving south to Chautauqua and Cattaraugus counties overnight
through Thursday morning. The Lake Erie activity should reach peak
intensity Wednesday evening through the early overnight before
weakening late Wednesday night and Thursday morning.

The greatest snowfall off Lake Erie will focus across the higher
terrain of the Boston Hills, western Wyoming County, and Chautauqua
Ridge where 4-7" is expected. Amounts will be lower along the Lake
Erie shore, Buffalo Southtowns, and Allegany County where 2-4" is
expected. The strong winds will support snows extending well inland
from the lake, with 1-3" locally extending into the western Finger
Lakes as well.

Blowing Snow...

The gusty winds will produce areas of blowing and drifting snow
Wednesday night through Thursday in lake effect areas. Visibility
will be significantly impacted at times with gusts to over 40 mph.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Thursday night the axis of low-level ridging will slide east across
New York State. The accompanying drying...lowering inversion
heights...and backing/increasingly sheared low level flow will all
help to bring about the demise of any lingering lake effect snow
showers east of Lake Ontario...while providing fair dry weather to
the rest of the area. Lows will range from the upper teens across
interior portions of the Southern Tier/North Country to the lower to
mid 20s elsewhere.

On Friday a flat mid/upper level shortwave trough will push across
the Rockies and western Plains...while spurring leeside surface
cyclogenesis across the Plains States. Downstream of this next
system...corresponding broad/flat upper level ridging will build
across the Great Lakes...while the aforementioned surface ridge
slides off the east coast. The latter will provide our region with a
dry day...with the deepening southerly flow between the departing
surface high and Plains low also helping to bring about a quick
return to above normal temperatures. Highs will climb back into the
mid to upper 40s in many areas...with readings likely to reach or
even break 50 across the lower elevations of far WNY...where
increasing downslope flow will provide an additional boost.

Friday night through Saturday night the aforementioned trough will
slide eastward across the northern third of the CONUS...with its
attendant surface low deepening and tracking northeastward across
the Great Lakes and southeastern Canada. The exact track of this
system is still uncertain with the 12z guidance suite suggesting
possibilities ranging from Lake Superior to northern Quebec (GFS) to
Georgian Bay and Southern Ontario/Quebec (ECMWF)...however all would
suggest the potential for at least another advisory-type wind event
as this system passes by to our north Saturday into Saturday
night...with warning-criteria wind gusts not out of the question
should a more southerly (and closer) track ultimately verify.

Otherwise...the passage of this system is likely to bring another
round unseasonably mild temperatures (highs ranging through the 50s)
out ahead of the cold front Saturday...with the approach and passage
of the front also marked by some more rain showers. A quick shot of
colder air (but nowhere near as cold as behind the midweek system)
will then follow in its wake and then send temps back down into the
upper 20s and lower 30s Saturday night...and could briefly support
some limited lake effect rain and snow showers east of Lake Ontario.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure over the Ohio Valley will build east into the Mid-
Atlantic on Sunday. What is left of any remaining lake effect will
all but wrap up by Sunday morning. This will occur as mid-levels
warm and equilibrium levels lower as the surface ridge moves into
and through the region. After that...all indication point to a rapid
warm up and wet weather returning on Monday. However...as was
previously mentioned there still remains some timing issues. That
said...have made some minor adjustments to NBM POPs to account for
this and also uncertainty with the strength of the surface low.
Otherwise...the wet weather looks like it will continue into the day
Tuesday and will be mild ahead of the cold front.

Wednesday and beyond...there are indications that winter will
potentially return behind the cold front. Guidance advertises that a
much colder air mass will spill out of Canada (-12C to -14C) across
the Great Lakes on Wednesday. This might be something too keep an
eye on for potential lake effect snow. But that's way out there and
plenty can change. Stay tuned!

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Low level wind shear will continue through this morning as a strong
low level jet moves across the eastern Great Lakes.

Rain will quickly overspread the area from west to east early this
morning, reaching Western NY by around or shortly after 09Z, then
moving into the eastern Lake Ontario region around 13Z. Light rain
will become moderate or even briefly heavy for a few hours this
morning in Western NY, and midday east of Lake Ontario with VSBY
dropping to MVFR/local IFR in the heavier rain. Downslope winds will
help to hold CIGS up on the lake plains including all the TAF sites
except KJHW. Expect a mix of VFR/MVFR CIGS for lower elevations in
the rain, with IFR across higher terrain including KJHW.

A strong cold front will then move into Western NY by midday,
reaching the eastern Lake Ontario region by mid afternoon. The
widespread rain will end with the passage of the cold front. CIGS
will quickly improve to mainly VFR lower elevations and MVFR higher
terrain after the passage of the front.

Lake effect snow will develop east of Lake Erie by late afternoon,
and then east of Lake Ontario by early evening as colder air pours
back into the region. Lake effect snow will produce local IFR/LIFR
conditions east of the lakes overnight in snow and blowing snow. The
lake effect will miss most of the TAF sites including KBUF, KROC,
and KIAG. The most impacted terminal will be KJHW. KART may see a
few hours of snow this evening before lake effect bands move south
of the airfield overnight.

Finally, it will turn quite windy today. Locally strong downslope
winds will continue through this morning with local gusts to over 40
knots along the Lake Erie shore, some of the ridges and valleys in
the western Finger Lakes, and north of the Tug Hill Plateau. Gusty
winds will become more widespread following the passage of the cold
front, with 30-40 knot gusts common this afternoon through tonight
areawide.

Outlook...

Thursday...Lake effect snow and local IFR/LIFR east of the lakes,
with mainly VFR elsewhere. Gusty winds gradually diminishing.
Friday...VFR.
Saturday...Mainly VFR and very windy with rain showers likely.
Sunday...Mainly VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
A deepening area of low pressure will move from Lake Superior
tonight to just east of James Bay by Wednesday night, with a strong
cold front sweeping across the lower Great Lakes late Wednesday
morning through Wednesday afternoon. Winds will strengthen out of
the south ahead of this system tonight, leading to Small Craft
Advisory conditions on the Lake Erie nearshores, the Niagara River,
and portions of Lake Ontario through Wednesday morning.

Winds will abruptly shift to the west on Wednesday as the front
crosses the lakes. Small Craft conditions on Erie will yield to
gales by Wednesday morning, then spreading across Lake Ontario
Wednesday afternoon. Gale force winds will then likely persist on
Lake Erie through late Wednesday night, and on Lake Ontario until
Thursday afternoon.

No change to the gale warnings in place, but issued Small Craft
headlines for the Niagara and St. Lawrence Rivers.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A period of rain will move into the area late tonight and
Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front. Increased runoff from
rain and any remaining snowmelt across central and southern Erie
County (Snow water equivalents up to 2-4 inches at the most) will
again result in rises on the Buffalo area creeks late Wednesday and
Wednesday night. Creeks will likely rise to action stage, with a low
potential to approach minor flood if there is still sufficient
snowpack left to melt by Wednesday.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
West winds will increase to sustained 35-40 knots on Lake
Ontario Wednesday afternoon through Thursday in the wake of a
strong cold front. The combination of onshore winds and wave
action will bring a very low chance of limited lakeshore
flooding in low lying areas at the east end of Lake Ontario.
Lake levels are below normal, which may mitigate flood
potential.

Given west to southwest gales 35-40 kts, there is a potential of
rising water levels on Lake Erie. There is a small potential that
minor lakeshore flooding could result Wednesday afternoon into
Wednesday evening.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 1 AM EST Thursday for
     NYZ001-002-010-011.
     Wind Advisory from noon today to 1 PM EST Thursday for
     NYZ003>006.
     Lakeshore Flood Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 4 PM EST
     Thursday for NYZ006-007.
     Lake Effect Snow Warning from 8 PM this evening to 7 PM EST
     Thursday for NYZ006>008.
     Wind Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to 1 PM EST
     Thursday for NYZ007-008.
     Wind Advisory from 4 AM early this morning to 1 AM EST
     Thursday for NYZ012>014-020-021.
     Winter Weather Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST
     Thursday for NYZ012-019-020-085.
     Wind Advisory until 4 AM EST Thursday for NYZ019-085.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 AM EST
         Thursday for LEZ020.
         Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
         LEZ040-041.
         Gale Warning from 10 AM this morning to 4 AM EST Thursday
         for LEZ040-041.
         Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 AM
         EST Thursday for LOZ030.
         Gale Warning from noon today to 4 PM EST Thursday for
         LOZ042>045-062>065.
         Small Craft Advisory until noon EST today for LOZ044-045.
         Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 10 AM
         EST Thursday for SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Apffel/PP
NEAR TERM...Apffel/Hitchcock/JLA/PP
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...AR
AVIATION...Hitchcock
MARINE...Apffel/JLA/PP
HYDROLOGY...Hitchcock/JLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hitchcock/JLA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

NYZ008-301915-
Lewis-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ007-301915-
Jefferson-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ013-014-021-301915-
Livingston-Ontario-Allegany-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ001-002-011-301915-
Niagara-Orleans-Genesee-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ003>005-301915-
Monroe-Wayne-Northern Cayuga-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ006-301915-
Oswego-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Lake Effect Snow Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ019-301915-
Chautauqua-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ012-020-301915-
Wyoming-Cattaraugus-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ010-301915-
Northern Erie-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

Another round of rainfall is expected Wednesday. Increased runoff
from the rain and the last of the snowmelt across central and
southern Erie County will result in rises on the Buffalo area
creeks. There is a low chance the creeks may approach flood stage if
there is still snow left to melt by Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

NYZ085-301915-
Southern Erie-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Winter Weather Advisory.

Another round of rainfall is expected Wednesday. Increased runoff
from the rain and the last of the snowmelt across central and
southern Erie County will result in rises on the Buffalo area
creeks. There is a low chance the creeks may approach flood stage if
there is still snow left to melt by Wednesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LOZ042>045-062>065-301915-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario nearshore waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach-
Lake Ontario open waters from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay-
Lake Ontario open waters from Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Ontario.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ040-041-301915-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Ripley to Dunkirk-
Lake Erie nearshore waters from Dunkirk to Buffalo-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-024-301915-
Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor-Lower Niagara River-
Saint Lawrence River from Cape Vincent to Ogdensburg-
Saint Lawrence River from Ogdensburg to Saint Regis-
202 PM EST Tue Nov 29 2022

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Ontario and Saint Lawrence River.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf