Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2022

Storm Warning 92, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 15, 2022

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Sep 15, 2022, 3:45 AM AKDT. It was in force for 47 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2022, 3:45 AM AKDT (11:45 UTC)
Expired
Sep 17, 2022, 2:40 AM AKDT
In force
47 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

944 
FZAK52 PAFC 151145
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160045-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 983 mb 130 nm northeast of St. Matthew Island weakens to 986 mb
as it moves inland Thu. A 951 mb low moves to 110 nm south of Shemya
Thu afternoon, and deepens to 943 mb as it moves to 270 nm north of 
Shemya by Fri morning. The low weakens to 955 mb as it moves to 40 
nm north of St. Lawrence Island by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-160045-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160045-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160045-
Bristol Bay-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160045-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt except SW 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 23 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160045-
Unalaska Bay-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160045-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160045-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160045-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt with gusts to 70 kt. Seas 17 ft building to 
25 ft after midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160045-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10
ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 29 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft subsiding to 24 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160045-
Adak to Kiska-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon. Bering
side, seas 8 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Pac side, seas
11 ft building to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...Bering side, S wind 65 kt becoming SW 75 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 90 kt. Pac side, SW wind 65 kt diminishing to 55 
kt after midnight. Seas 36 ft Bering side... 40 ft Pac side.
.FRI...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160045-
Kiska to Attu-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Bering side, E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the
afternoon, Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Pac side,
SE wind 40 kt increasing to 65 kt in the afternoon, Seas 11 ft
building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 70 kt. Gusts to 85 kt. Bering side, seas 28 ft 
building to 35 ft after midnight. Pac side, seas 39 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160045-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 50 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
75 kt. Seas 24 ft building to 37 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160045-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon...Seas
14 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
building to 17 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160045-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 55 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 75
kt. Seas 12 ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 60 kt. Seas 36 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160045-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
345 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 30 kt diminishing to
15 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 20 kt.
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 20 kt increasing to
35 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 30 kt
increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft
after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 45 kt increasing to 65 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 60 kt. Seas
20 ft building to 40 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 65 kt. Seas 40 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
6 follow-up statements
814 
FZAK52 PAFC 151515 AAA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-160315-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 983 mb 130 nm northeast of St. Matthew Island weakens to 986 mb
as it moves inland Thu. A 951 mb low moves to 110 nm south of Shemya
Thu afternoon, and deepens to 943 mb as it moves to 270 nm north of 
Shemya by Fri morning. The low weakens to 955 mb as it moves to 40 
nm north of St. Lawrence Island by Sat morning.

$$

PKZ150-160315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-160315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ160-160315-
Bristol Bay-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ165-160315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 35 kt except SW 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas
13 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-160315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 23 ft in the
afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-160315-
Unalaska Bay-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-160315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ173-160315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 45 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-160315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-160315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt with gusts to 70 kt. Seas 17 ft building
to  25 ft after midnight. 
.FRI...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ176-160315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt becoming S 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 29 ft after
midnight. 
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft subsiding to 24 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ177-160315-
Adak to Kiska-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon.
Bering side, seas 8 ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Pac
side, seas 11 ft building to 22 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.TONIGHT...Bering side, S wind 65 kt becoming SW 75 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 90 kt. Pac side, SW wind 65 kt diminishing to
55  kt after midnight. Seas 36 ft Bering side... 40 ft Pac side. 
.FRI...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ178-160315-
Kiska to Attu-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Bering side, E wind 35 kt increasing to 45 kt in the
afternoon, Seas 9 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Pac side,
 SE wind 40 kt increasing to 65 kt in the afternoon, Seas 11 ft
building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain and isolated thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...W wind 70 kt. Gusts to 85 kt. Bering side, seas 28 ft 
building to 35 ft after midnight. Pac side, seas 39 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ179-160315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...SW wind 50 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 75 kt. Seas 24 ft building to 37 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-160315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the afternoon...
Seas 14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas
9 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 17 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ181-160315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain. 
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 55 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 75 kt. Seas 12 ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 60 kt. Seas 36 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-160315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
715 AM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 30 kt diminishing to
15 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, NW wind 20 kt.
Seas 12 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 20 kt increasing to
35 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 30 kt
increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft
after midnight. Rain. 
.FRI...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 45 kt increasing to
65 kt in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 60 kt.
Seas 20 ft building to 40 ft in the afternoon. Rain. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 65 kt. Seas 40 ft. 
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
255 
FZAK52 PAFC 152345
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-161215-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

The Extra-tropical Storm Merbok at 952 mb 85 nm South of Shemya 
moves to 275 nm West of St Paul Island, intensifying to 940 mb for
Midday Friday. This storm low continues into the Southern Chukchi
Sea weakening to 968 mb by Sat afternoon. Its front moves across 
the Bering through Sat afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-161215-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-161215-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ160-161215-
Bristol Bay-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-161215-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 35 kt after midnight. From
Port Moller E, SW wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt except SW 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 13
ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft except 17 ft from Port
Moller E.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-161215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 23 ft in the
afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ171-161215-
Unalaska Bay-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming S 25 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-161215-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-161215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 45 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.FRI...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ174-161215-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind increasing to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-161215-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 55 kt. Seas 17 ft building to 25 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-161215-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 50 kt. Seas 22 ft building to 29 ft after
midnight.
.FRI...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
30 ft subsiding to 24 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ177-161215-
Adak to Kiska-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...Bering side, S wind 65 kt becoming SW 75 kt after
midnight. Pac side, SW wind 65 kt diminishing to 55 kt after
midnight. Seas 36 ft Bering side... 40 ft Pac side.
.FRI...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas
31 ft subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-161215-
Kiska to Attu-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 70 kt. Bering side, seas 30 ft building to 45 ft 
after midnight. Pac side, seas 39 ft. Rain.
.FRI...W wind 50 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas
28 ft subsiding to 21 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight.
Seas 18 ft.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft.

$$

PKZ179-161215-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming S 40 kt after midnight. Seas 8
ft building to 16 ft after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...SW wind 50 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft building to 37 ft in the afternoon.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 36 ft subsiding to 28 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-161215-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 30 kt after midnight. Seas 9
ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft
building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-161215-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt after midnight. Seas
8 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S wind 35 kt increasing to 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 60 kt. Seas 36 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-161215-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
345 PM AKDT Thu Sep 15 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SE wind 20 kt increasing to
35 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, E wind 30 kt
increasing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft
after midnight. Rain.
.FRI...E of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 45 kt increasing to 65 kt
in the afternoon. W of Saint Matthew Island, S wind 60 kt. Seas
20 ft building to 40 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.FRI NIGHT...S wind 65 kt E of Saint Matthew Island...W 55 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 40 ft subsiding to 33 ft after
midnight. Rain.
.SAT...W wind 45 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$
439 
FZAK52 PAFC 161141
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170015-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 941 mb low 260 nm north of Shemya weakens to 948 mb as it moves
to 80 nm southwest of St. Lawrence Island by Fri evening. The low 
then moves to 40nm N of St. Lawrence Island at 955 mb Sat 
morning. This low continues to weaken to 980 mb as it enters the 
southern Chukchi Sea through Sun morning. A North Pacific low 
moves to 130 nm south of Dutch Harbor at 1014 mb Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-170015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170015-
Bristol Bay-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt except SW 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft except 19 ft from Port Moller E.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170015-
Unalaska Bay-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt early. Seas 28 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt early. Seas 32 ft subsiding 
to 24 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170015-
Adak to Kiska-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
33 ft subsiding to 24 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170015-
Kiska to Attu-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 32
ft subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
75 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft building to 39 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
38 ft subsiding to 30 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon. Seas
11 ft building to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt. Gust to 70 kt near Nunivak Island. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt increasing to 55 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
70 kt in the afternoon. Seas 13 ft building to 28 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 60 kt diminishing to 50 kt after midnight. Gusts to
75 kt in the evening. Seas 37 ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
341 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 60 kt. Seas 25 ft building to 40 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 65 kt diminishing to
55 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 55 kt
diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 40 ft subsiding to 33 ft
after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 45 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
817 
FZAK52 PAFC 161908 CCA
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-170015-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 941 mb low 260 nm north of Shemya weakens to 948 mb as it moves
to 80 nm southwest of St. Lawrence Island by Fri evening. The low 
then moves to 40nm N of St. Lawrence Island at 955 mb Sat 
morning. This low continues to weaken to 980 mb as it enters the 
southern Chukchi Sea through Sun morning. A North Pacific low 
moves to 130 nm south of Dutch Harbor at 1014 mb Sun morning.

$$

PKZ150-170015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ155-170015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ160-170015-
Bristol Bay-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-170015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt except SW 30 kt from Port Moller E. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft except 19 ft from Port Moller E.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-170015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 25 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding to 15 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-170015-
Unalaska Bay-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-170015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ173-170015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ174-170015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-170015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt early. Seas 28 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-170015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt early. Seas 32 ft subsiding 
to 24 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ177-170015-
Adak to Kiska-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
33 ft subsiding to 24 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ178-170015-
Kiska to Attu-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 55 kt diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 32
ft subsiding to 23 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-170015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt increasing to 60 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
75 kt in the afternoon. Seas 25 ft building to 39 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
38 ft subsiding to 30 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft subsiding to 18 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ180-170015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt increasing to 50 kt in the afternoon, except
increasing to 65 kt near Nunivak Island. Seas 11 ft building to 
18 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt, except SW 65 kt near Nunivak Island
during the evening. Seas 26 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-170015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 45 kt increasing to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
13 ft building to 28 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 65 kt diminishing to SW 50 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 75 kt in the evening. Seas 37 ft. Widespread rain 
showers.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 27 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ185-170015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
1108 AM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 60 kt. Seas 25 ft building to 40 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 65 kt diminishing to
55 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 55 kt
diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas 40 ft subsiding to 33 ft
after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 45 kt. W of Saint
Matthew Island, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 25 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$
078 
FZAK52 PAFC 162317
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-171230-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

The 946 mb Merbok low 70 nm Northwest of St Matthew Island moves 
to 70 nm North of Point Hope at 989 mb for Sun afternoon. Its 
front wraps over the Russian Far East and Alaskan Arctic Coast 
through Sun afternoon. A 1007 mb low forms over the Pribilofs by 
Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-171230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-171230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-171230-
Bristol Bay-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ165-171230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 25 ft except 19 ft from Port Moller 
E.
.SAT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ170-171230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft subsiding to 14 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-171230-
Unalaska Bay-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ172-171230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-171230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-171230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-171230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas
20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-171230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-171230-
Adak to Kiska-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-171230-
Kiska to Attu-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas
19 ft.
.SAT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-171230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 55 kt diminishing to 45 kt after midnight. Seas
37 ft subsiding to 30 ft after midnight.
.SAT...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
24 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-171230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 60 kt, except SW wind 40 kt S of Cape Newenham. 
Seas 30 ft. S of Cape Newenham, seas 20 ft.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ181-171230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 60 kt. Seas 38 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 26 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-171230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
317 PM AKDT Fri Sep 16 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 65 kt diminishing to
55 kt after midnight. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 50 kt.
Seas 40 ft subsiding to 30 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 45 kt. W of Saint Matthew 
Island, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 24 
ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$
197 
FZAK52 PAFC 171040
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-180000-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 956 mb low 55 nm N of Savoonga weakens to 969 mb as it moves 
north into the southern Chukchi Sea for Sat afternoon. A 1016 mb 
low forms 235 nm S of Dutch Harbor Sat night and moves into 
Bristol Bay at 1006 mb through Mon morning. Another low forms at 
1011 mb 155 nm SW of St. Paul Sun morning and moves to 65 nm SW of
Nunivak Island at 1005 mb for Mon morning.

$$

PKZ150-180000-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ155-180000-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 10 
ft. Widespread rain showers.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-180000-
Bristol Bay-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ165-180000-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-180000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ171-180000-
Unalaska Bay-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-180000-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-180000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-180000-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-180000-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-180000-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ177-180000-
Adak to Kiska-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ178-180000-
Kiska to Attu-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ179-180000-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-180000-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 45 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ181-180000-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 50 kt diminishing to 40 kt in the afternoon. Gusts
to 65 kt early. Seas 26 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ185-180000-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
240 AM AKDT Sat Sep 17 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E of Saint Matthew Island, SW wind 45 kt. Gusts to 70 kt
early. W of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 24 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Sep 14, 7:42 PM AKDT, 8 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 14, 7:42 PM AKDT, 8 hours 3 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
742 PM AKDT Wed Sep 14 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A weak upper level low over Southcentral Alaska is currently
moving northeastward. A second upper level low is moving
northeastward across the north central Bering Sea. The jetstream
currently extends northeastward from the subtropical Pacific to
over the western and central Aleutian Islands, then curves
southeastward to over the Gulf and then northeastward to over
Southeast Alaska.

Closer to the surface, radar imagery shows showers slowly moving
northeastward from the northern Gulf of Alaska into Prince William
Sound. A second area of showers are moving southeastward across
the northern Alaska Peninsula. Lastly, a third area of showers is
moving northeastward across the Kuskokwim Delta into the lower
Kuskokwim Valley.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Forecast confidence remains above average with respect to the
placement and intensity of synoptic scale features. There is a
fairly high degree of consistency in the extratropical transition
of Merbok as well as the track of Merbok after it makes the
extratropical transition and enters the Bering Sea. As newer model
data becomes available anticipate updates to the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions will persist for this TAF package. Scattered
low clouds between 500-1000ft are possible between 15th/12z and
15th/20z. A weak Turnagain Arm wind is likely to develop after
15th/20z.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through
3: Tonight through Saturday)...

The majority of the very active conditions courtesy of a pair of
powerful lows crossing the Bering Sea will remain confined to
western parts of the state during the next few days, but some
minor impacts to sensible conditions across Southcentral will
still be felt. In the near term through early Thursday, a
sprawling upper trough with several small embedded waves will
finally begin to accelerate east towards the AlCan border and AK
Panhandle region. Pockets of showers will continue to bubble up
this evening into tonight under the trough axis as it shifts east,
particularly out over the Gulf where a relatively warm sea
surface contrasts with cool air aloft yields a weakly unstable
profile. Otherwise, areas of clearing and mostly calm winds ahead
of a passing, weak upper ridge will keep the threat around for
patchy fog development through the early morning, namely for lower
elevations around Cook Inlet and the Copper River Basin.

For the rest of the day Thursday, a front attendant to the first
low moving inland over Southwest will march across the outlook
area from west to east as it begins to shear apart over higher
terrain. Increasing cloud cover and soon to follow light to
moderate, steady rainfall will advance across Southcentral along
the front, first reaching Kodiak Island early Thursday and
subsequently moving up into the Kenai Peninsula and Mat-Su Valleys
by the afternoon. Expect southeast gap winds to spike up notably
in intensity ahead of the front as well, with gusty winds reaching
into the Anchorage and Palmer areas Thursday afternoon and
evening from the Turnagain arm and Knik River Valley
respectively. In addition, the low moving over Southwest will
become an open wave trough and push into western portions of
Southcentral by late in the day, providing continued lift and
forcing that will effectively extend the rainfall event well into
Thursday overnight.

Moving into Friday, it looks like another break in the rain will
materialize as a much stronger ridge builds into the southern
mainland out ahead of the by then extratropical remnants of
Typhoon Merbok roaring across the Bering. The transition of this
system into a cold-core low will of course include the
development of attendant frontal boundaries, including a
warm/occluding front that will make a run at crossing the Alaska
Peninsula and Kodiak Island as is heads generally northeast on
Friday. There is some lingering uncertainty regarding how far
north the front will get before it begins to fall apart, but the
associated rainfall will likely get at least as far as the western
Susitna Valley and western Kenai Peninsula by Friday afternoon.
What's left of the front will be shunted farther northeast towards
the Chugach and Talkeetna Mountains through Saturday morning,
potentially sending another quick round of rain through the
Anchorage vicinity along with most of the Prince William Sound and
Mat-Su Valleys. Deep, southwesterly flow developing between
Merbok and the upper ridge sliding east should favor heavier rain
(and snow near ridges/peaks) where enhanced by upslope flow over
the Talkeetna and Chugach Mountains, including the Hatcher Pass
vicinity through Saturday afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Saturday)...

With the exception of a few lingering showers, most of the region
saw a brief break of drier weather under a weak ridge of high
pressure. An upper trough and surface low pressure setting up
over the northern Bering Sea will advance a front eastward toward
western Alaska. Along and ahead of the front, steadier widespread
rain with southerly winds arrives this evening and continues
through the day Thursday. Daytime highs will mostly be in the mid
50s and overnight lows in the low 40s under cloudy skies. The
front exits the area by late Thursday night with decreasing rain
coverage and diminishing winds.

The next weather maker is associated with a potent storm system,
the extra- tropical remnants of Typhoon Merbok. This system is
expected to move into the northern Bering Sea late Friday into
Saturday. In addition to moderate to heavy rain, southwest winds
are expected to increase by late morning Friday and continue
through Saturday morning. The combination of strong winds and
fetch will also produce a storm surge along the coast, leading to
the potential for coastal erosion and flooding along the Kuskokwim
Delta coast. Therefore, a High Wind Watch and Coastal Flood Watch
has been issued from Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.
The winds should begin to slowly diminish through Saturday night
as the surface low lifts northward into the Bering Strait.
Confidence is growing with this upcoming storm system, so stay
tuned for latest updates.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Saturday)...

An upper trough and surface low pressure over the northern Bering
Sea is pushing a front eastward toward western Alaska. For
tonight, rain with gusty winds will occur along the leading edge
of the front as it crosses the western Bering Sea and Aleutians
Islands. As the front moves inland, storm force to gale force
winds wraps around the backside of the low as it approaches Saint
Matthew Island.

Attention then turns to Typhoon Merbok, transitioning to an
extra- tropical low pressure system as it moves from the West
Pacific Ocean into the Bering Sea from Thursday to Saturday.
Initially, winds will be south to southwest out ahead of the low,
then switch to the west as the low passes to the north. The core
of the strongest winds are expected in an area east of Attu Island
and west of Adak. Therefore, a High Wind Warning has been issued
from Thursday evening through Friday morning for the Western and
Central Aleutians. The winds should begin to slowly diminish
through the day Friday for the regions as the surface low lifts
northward.

For Friday through the weekend, the heaviest rain and strongest
winds will be over the entire Bering Sea, including the potential
for the Pribilof Islands to experience storm to hurricane force
winds. There is some uncertainty in the storm track on Friday, but
current forecasts indicate a swath of strong southwesterly winds
moving over the Islands Friday. Any shift in the track or change
in the intensity could alter the trajectory of the core of
strongest winds. Nonetheless, this is a significant storm that
will be closely monitored, so stay tuned for updates.

&&

.MARINE...

Typhoon Merbok remains as the main issue for the latter part of
this week. It will weaken under typhoon force before it gets to
the Bering Sea, but will rapidly re-intensify and go through the
extra-tropical transition as it ingests cold air from eastern
Russia tonight. There is still some minor uncertainty as to the
exact track and strength of this storm as it moves through the
Bering, however the center of the low should pass over Shemya
Thursday afternoon. It will then track from the Western Bering
Sea to the vicinity of Norton Sound on Saturday. Expect widespread
storm force winds across the Bering with areas of Hurricane Force
winds. The hurricane force winds are most likely from the Western
Aleutians to the Central Bering Sea between Thursday night and
Friday night. Seas are also expected to build rapidly with
widespread 30 to 40 ft seas across the Bering with 40 to 55 ft
seas associated with the strongest winds. This will be a major
Bering Sea Storm and mariners are encouraged begin preparing for
it now.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Sunday through Wednesday)...

Unsettled conditions expected across Southern Alaska through the
extended period, with brief reprieves provided by weak transient
ridging. Several bouts of intense winds and rainfall expected for
both Southwestern Alaska and Southcentral.

By Saturday evening, the intensity of Typhoon Merbok remnants in
the Eastern Bering will have begun to wane, however will still be
producing strong winds blowing into the southwest Alaska
coastline. The concern of heavy winds and rainfall associated with
this low begins to diminish into Sunday evening. Model
discrepancies have eased as the models have come more into line,
increasing our confidence with shorter range products as well as
into the extended period. The Canadian model remaining an outlier
regarding the evolution of Merbok, however its solution is
approaching that of the GFS, NAM, and Euro solutions. Wednesday
12Z Canadian and Euro models advance a new north Pacific low
across the Eastern Aleutians into the Bristol Bay area Monday
morning. The GFS solution holds the advancement of the new system,
crossing the Aleutians Tuesday morning, with a focus of elevated
winds through the gaps and passes, as well as up Kamishak Gap into
the Greater Bristol Bay area. Additionally, a low forming off of
the Kamchatka Peninsula and, with moderate model uncertainty, will
deepen and approach the western Aleutians by Tuesday morning.
Today's 12Z GFS solution suggests a leading front and the low
itself sweeping across the Aleutian Chain. Meanwhile, the 12Z
Canadian and Euro suggest the low lingering in the Central Bering
providing strong winds and precipitation throughout the region
through next week.

From Sunday morning, a respite in precipitation for Southcentral
is expected to persist through Monday afternoon. With some
discrepancies, guidance then suggests the introduction and
intensification of a North Pacific low south of the Alaska
Peninsula. Given the aforementioned model uncertainty it is
possible there will be a revitalization of rainy conditions in
Southcentral. This system will provide heavy precipitation across
the Southcentral coastline and eventually moves inland.
Precipitation associated with this system is expected to persist
into Wednesday. In the GFS solution as the system approaches
Kodiak Island, southeasterly flow promotes the development of
Barrier jet winds along the northern Gulf coast including Prince
William Sound Tuesday morning. Windy and rainy conditions
currently are expected to continue into Wednesday in
Southcentral.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Warning 187 191.
		 High Wind Watch 155 195.
		 Coastal Flood Watch 155.
MARINE...Hurricane Force Wind Warning 177 178 411 413.
		 Storm Warning 175 176 412.
		 Gale Warning 155 165 170 172-174 179-181 185 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ED
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MF
MARINE/LONG TERM...CL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 4:19 PM AKDTCoastal Flood WatchAFC18 hr
Sep 15, 3:32 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC47 hr
Sep 15, 3:32 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC32 hr
Sep 15, 3:45 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC47 hr
Sep 15, 3:56 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Sep 15, 10:40 AM AKDTCoastal Flood WarningAFC71 hr
Sep 15, 3:45 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC19 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2022Every storm warning in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.