Storm Warning 129, NWS Anchorage, AK

218 
FZAK52 PAFC 281139
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-290015-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 974 mb low 170 nm NW of Adak deepens to 961 mb as it moves to 
50 nm N of Dutch Harbor Fri afternoon. The low weakens to 965 mb 
as it moves to 190 nm E of Chignik Fri night. A 1009 mb Kamchatka 
low moves to 370 nm NW of Attu Island for Sat night.

$$

PKZ150-290015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 15 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-290015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 35 kt becoming SW 45 kt in the afternoon, Seas 8
ft building to 16 ft in the afternoon. From the Shumagin Islands E, 
SE wind 20 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon, Seas 9 ft. 
Widespread rain showers and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 55 kt except NW 45 kt from the Shumagin Islands
E. Seas 28 ft. From the Shumagin Islands E, seas 17 ft building to 
24 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft subsiding to 17 ft in the afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-290015-
Bristol Bay-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Freezing spray. Snow.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ165-290015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 40 kt. From Port Moller E, SE wind 25 kt becoming
E 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ170-290015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 40 kt becoming SW 55 kt in the afternoon. Seas 11
ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 75 kt. Seas 26 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ171-290015-
Unalaska Bay-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt becoming SW 40 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 75 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-290015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 40 kt increasing to 65 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
80 kt. Seas 13 ft building to 29 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 65 kt becoming NW 50 kt after midnight. Gusts to 80
k. Seas 33 ft subsiding to 25 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ173-290015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 65 kt. Gusts to 85 kt. Seas 18 ft building to 30 ft 
in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 
25 ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-290015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 55 kt becoming W 65 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 85
kt. Seas 21 ft building to 32 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 55 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 29
ft subsiding to 18 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ175-290015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 65 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ176-290015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 26 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-290015-
Adak to Kiska-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 50 kt becoming NW 35 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to 65 kt.
Seas 21 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-290015-
Kiska to Attu-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ179-290015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 50 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft. Rain showers.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ180-290015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt increasing to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas
9 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ181-290015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ185-290015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
339 AM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

884 
FZAK52 PAFC 282345
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-291230-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 961 mb low 60 nm North of Dutch harbor moves to the Eastern 
Gulf of Alaska for Sun afternoon. A 1009 mb Sea of Okhotsk low 
and front Sun morning deepens as it approaches the Western 
Aleutians and Bering at 1000 mb by Sun afternoon.

$$

PKZ150-291230-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming NE 45 kt after midnight. S of 
Chirikof Island, SE wind 40 kt becoming NW after midnight. Seas 15 
ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 24 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt through bays and passes. 
Seas 20 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ155-291230-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 55 kt, Seas 28 ft. From the Shumagin Islands E,
SW wind 40 kt becoming NW 50 kt after midnight, Seas 17 ft
building to 25 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 45 kt. From the Shumagin Islands W, NW wind 40 kt 
diminishing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 23 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Gusts to 50 kt through bays and passes. Seas
15 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ160-291230-
Bristol Bay-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt becoming N 35 kt after midnight. Seas
10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ165-291230-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 45 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain and snow.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ170-291230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 75 kt. Seas 26 ft subsiding to 19 ft after midnight. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ171-291230-
Unalaska Bay-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 60 kt diminishing to 40 kt after midnight. Gusts
to 75 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 12 ft in the
afternoon.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-291230-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 65 kt becoming NW 50 kt after midnight. Gusts to 80
kt. Seas 33 ft subsiding to 25 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. W of Unalaska, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. E of Unalaska, gusts to 45 kt in the 
evening. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ173-291230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 50 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 25
ft subsiding to 17 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ174-291230-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 55 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. Seas 29
ft subsiding to 18 ft after midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ175-291230-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ176-291230-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft after
midnight.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ177-291230-
Adak to Kiska-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. Bering side, seas 15 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ178-291230-
Kiska to Attu-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight.
Seas 7 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-291230-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 40 kt becoming NW 25 kt after midnight. Seas
13 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ180-291230-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 50 kt becoming N 30 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 18 ft.

$$

PKZ181-291230-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ185-291230-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
345 PM AKDT Fri Oct 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.WED...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

847 
FZAK52 PAFC 291138
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-300015-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 mb low 220 nm E of Chignik moves to the southern Gulf of 
Alaska Sat morning. A 1005 mb Kamchatka low 400 nm NW of Attu 
Island Sun morning deepens to 997 mb as it moves to 300 nm N of 
Shemya for Sun night.

$$

PKZ150-300015-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 45 kt. Seas 23 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt through bays and passes.
Seas 19 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 40 kt. Gusts to 55 kt through bays and passes. Seas 15 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...W wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ155-300015-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 45 kt
diminishing to 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 22 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ160-300015-
Bristol Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt becoming NW 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5
ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ165-300015-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...W wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ170-300015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...W wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ171-300015-
Unalaska Bay-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers and rain showers.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-300015-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. W of Unalaska, NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. E of Unalaska, gusts to 45 kt in the 
evening. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ173-300015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ174-300015-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ175-300015-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 12 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-300015-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ177-300015-
Adak to Kiska-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ178-300015-
Kiska to Attu-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ179-300015-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ180-300015-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow showers.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ181-300015-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ185-300015-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
338 AM AKDT Sat Oct 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt E of Saint Matthew Island... NW 20 kt W of
Saint Matthew Island. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
520 AM AKDT Thu Oct 27 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The pattern continues to be dominated by an upper-level trough
situated over the eastern part of the state. An upper-level low
drifting southward over the northeastern Gulf of Alaska anchors
this trough. This configuration is helping to foster cold air
advection across Southcentral Alaska as shortwaves from the
interior move southward, bringing colder air with them.
Additionally, shortwaves continue to drive southeastward through
the west-central Gulf as the trough continues to dig
southeastward. A closer look at the surface reveals a strong
surface low underneath the associated upper-level low in the
northeastern Gulf. A strong pressure gradient exists on the Gulf
Coast. This pressure gradient, along with the southward moving
shortwaves from the interior of the state, are causing strong
gusty winds through the favored gaps and passes around the coast.
Valdez and Seward have gusts to around 35 kts while Whittier has
gusts to around 30 kts. Kodiak is also getting in on the higher
wind gusts as well with gusts to around 35 kts. Meanwhile,
Middleton Island Radar shows rain bands moving around the center
of circulation of the low pressure in the northern Gulf with the
majority of the rain remaining off-shore.

Further out west, a shortwave transient upper ridge moves
eastward over the southwest part of the state as dry conditions
dominate. Shortwaves embedded in the flow and associated with an
upper low moving on-shore to the Yukon-Delta continue to drop
southeastward over the Kuskokwim Valley and are producing cloudy
conditions with snow and lower visibilities for Bethel and
Sleetmute. Most of the Bristol Bay area remains clear this
morning.

Across the Bering and Aleutian Chain, zonal flow from northwest
to southeast. Shortwaves embedded in the northwest flow continue
to impact the eastern Aleutians with Dutch Harbor, Cold Bay, and
Sand Point all reporting winds gusts of 25-35 kts with scattered
showers around those areas. Meanwhile, the western Aleutians see
clouds as a front begins to push in from the North Pacific. Shemya
currently reports light drizzle with lower cloud ceilings.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

The latest 00z suite of model runs are in good agreement with the
overall synoptic pattern as well as placement and intensity of
synoptic features in the short-term. Model agreement specifically
with the with current system in the Gulf has come together towards
the GFS solution from last night with a more southern and eastern
solution with only some effects from wind and precipitation
towards Prince William Sound.

Out west, model agreement has also increased with respect to the
evolution, track, and strength of a system poised to enter the
western Bering Sea and effect the Aleutian Chain starting on
Thursday. This system looks to be a fast mover as the flow
continues to be progressive generally from west to east. Models
take the system to the eastern Bering by Friday and into the Gulf
of Alaska near Kodiak Island by Saturday. The forecast challenge
here will be determining exactly where the corridor of strongest
winds will be. It is important to note that the 00z NAM continues
the trend towards the other models with a stronger low. Also,
while the models generally agree on the track of this system, the
00z ECMWF is still the most progressive and furthest east of the
models, although not quite as far east as last night. Overall
forecast confidence has increased since last night and is moderate
to above average. However, continue to follow the latest
forecasts as details emerge and get ironed out with regards to the
potential eastward moving Bering system towards the end of the
work and the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions are expected to persist along with
northerly winds throughout the TAF period. Cold air advection
continues through Friday night. With that exists some uncertainty
with the magnitude of winds/gusts. Generally, winds should be 10
kts or less, but there could be an isolated gust or sustained
reading higher than that.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Saturday)...

The surface low that spun up in the low level cold advection
along the north gulf coast is slowly moving eastward this morning.
There remains a strong pressure gradient over the western Gulf
including Kodiak Island which is bringing strong winds to that
region. The winds should be at their peak intensity this morning
and then very slowly diminish through Friday. Other areas along
the north Gulf coast that typically see strong gap winds, such as
Seward, Whittier, and Valdez are not disappointing and also have
gusty offshore winds in those areas. The strongest winds are also
expected to be this morning in these areas with winds slowly
diminishing into Friday.

The large longwave trough in which the upper level low associated
with the surface low resides is remaining over Southcentral so
while the first upper low weakens and moves eastward, another one
is moving in from the northwest behind it. This second low will
develop into a cutoff low as it crosses the Aleutian Range and
moves over Kodiak Island this afternoon and then moves over the
northern Gulf. This will keep some periods of clouds around much
of southcentral today and then there should be a decrease in
overall cloud cover as the cutoff low moves over the Gulf.

A large low in the Bering Sea will move into the Gulf of Alaska on
Saturday. This system will mostly impact the Gulf of Alaska
coastline including Kodiak Island. As the front approaches Kodiak
Island Friday night, there will be a question of precipitation
type for Kodiak. At this time, it looks like it will start out as
snow on Friday evening and then transition to rain overnight
Friday night. Strong easterly winds will accompany this front so
even if there is a period of blowing snow in the evening, it
should just be a matter of time before it turns to rain in Kodiak.
For other areas of the north Gulf coast, there will be some strong
easterly winds developing in a barrier jet along the coast, but
the amount of precipitation should also be much less than Kodiak
as this front will be more of a glancing blow with the main
lifting with this front remaining over the Gulf waters.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...

Winds will diminish through tonight across Southwest Alaska and
along the eastern Bering Sea and Alaska Peninsula. Cold northerly
air is expected to remain stagnant into the weekend across the
Mainland. Overall, little to no precipitation is expected through
the end of the week, the AKPen being the exception on Friday and
Friday night.

The next system moves into the western Bering late Thursday night
and will track southeast towards the southern AKPen through Friday
night. There will be little impact to Southwest Alaska aside from
increased northeasterly winds, especially filtering out through
the Kuskokwim Bay and Bristol Bay Friday night into Saturday
morning. Most of the precipitation will be along the AKPen, with
a warmer airmass associated with the low, areas south of Port
Heiden will see periods of rain. There is a chance for snow to
reach as far north as Dillingham and King Salmon, however, there
is still some model inconsistency with this next system and it
remains relatively uncertain just how far north the precipitation
will track.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The strongest winds have subsided, and winds along the eastern
Bering and Alaska Peninsula will continue to diminish through
tonight. Areas of gale force winds will surround the AKPen waters
through today, dropping to small craft by late this evening.

The next system moves into the western Bering this evening. There
is better model agreement for strong storm force winds tracking
along the Central and Eastern Aleutians, as well as the
possibility for hurricane force winds between Nikolski and Atka
Friday night. Hurricane force gusts are likely along the
Central/Eastern Aleutians Friday through Friday night as well.
The main area of concern for hurricane force winds will be along
the Eastern Aleutians, therefore, a High Wind Watch has been
issued. Additionally, seas are expected to reach around 35 feet
during the strongest winds. The system moves south of Kodiak
Island by Saturday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through Tuesday)...

Looking ahead at the long range forecast, ensembles and
deterministic models continue to key in on broad troughing over
the Gulf of Alaska and a building ridge into the western Bering
Saturday into Sunday. A potential ~965mb low is forecast to move
from the AKPEN into the Gulf of Alaska during the 48 hour period
over the weekend while one or two embedded shortwave troughs track
southeastward into the AKPEN within a building ridge over the
Bering. As such, above average confidence exists in unsettled
conditions impacting the region from Bristol Bay into the Gulf of
Alaska up into the Gulf coast.

Across Bristol Bay, remnant northwesterly gales may be ongoing on
Saturday with timing of winds diminishing somewhat up in the air.
The GFS suggests gales may persist into the morning hours on
Sunday. Looking east and over to the Pacific side of the AKPEN,
the potential will exist for easterly gales over the northern Gulf
on Saturday as a front encroaches upon the Gulf coast resulting
in a potential barrier jet. While the windiest conditions will
likely remain offshore, the front may bring northeasterly gales
directly across Kodiak Island before the low pushes further east
later in the day. Models are in relatively good agreement with
depicting westerly storm force winds across the southern extent of
the Gulf both on Saturday and Sunday. Cold air advection being
reinforced over the eastern Bering will support gale to storm
force gap winds through the AKPEN and Kamishak Bay into Sunday.
These enhanced westerly winds should gradually weaken to gale
speeds on Monday as the pressure gradient slowly relaxes. While
snow will be possible for coastal areas from Kodiak to Prince
William Sound, strong southeasterly flow at the surface and ahead
of the low will likely keep temperatures above freezing and
precipitation as mostly rain.

Confidence begins to decrease more substantially in the forecast
beyond the weekend. Ensembles suggest high pressure over the
Bering will be overtaken by the next North Pacific low late Monday
into early Tuesday. Depending on the strength and placement of
the low, southeasterly storm force winds may become widespread
over the eastern Bering by Tuesday. However, aside from the
stronger solution of the GFS, both the Canadian and ECMWF remain
much weaker and further west, which was also true of the previous
long term discussion.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch: 185.

MARINE...Hurricane Force Wind Warning: 173-175.
         Storm Warning: 413 412 179 177 176 172 170 131.
         Gale Warning: 414 411 352 351 185 181 180 178 171 165
                       160 155 150 136-138 132 130 121.

FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DAN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KM
LONG TERM...BL