Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2022

Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 15, 2022

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 15, 2022, 3:47 AM AKST. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 15, 2022, 3:47 AM AKST (12:47 UTC)
Expired
Jan 17, 2022, 3:36 AM AKST
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

079 
FZAK51 PAFC 151247
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-160130-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1001 mb low 70 nm southeast of Middleton Island moves into
the Kenai Peninsula and weakens into a trough by Sat afternoon. 
The trough persists along the north Gulf Coast through Sun 
afternoon. High pressure builds into the southern Gulf Sun 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-160130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon,
except becoming SE 20 kt near the coast. Seas 11 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-160130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt early, then becoming SW and 
increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-160130-
Resurrection Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind less than 10 kt becoming S 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Snow.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt after midnight.
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray late.
.SUN...N wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ125-160130-
Prince William Sound-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 5 ft in the afternoon. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft after midnight.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-160130-
Port Valdez-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-160130-
Valdez Narrows-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-160130-
Valdez Arm-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt becoming NE 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 3 ft. Rain.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-160130-
Passage Canal-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft. Rain and snow showers.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-160130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray
in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-160130-
Barren Islands East-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-160130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-160130-
Chiniak Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ137-160130-
Marmot Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ138-160130-
Shelikof Strait-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-160130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 4 ft building to 8 ft in the afternoon. 
Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt becoming N 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
in ice free waters 8 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-160130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt in the afternoon. Snow.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. 
.SUN...Variable wind 10 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-160130-
Kachemak Bay-
347 AM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft building to 6 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt becoming Variable 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray 
in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
5 follow-up statements
981 
FZAK51 PAFC 160014
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-161330-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1005 mb low 30 nm North of Seward moves over Middleton Island 
at 1011 mb and dissipates into a trough Mon afternoon. Its front 
moves across the Gulf for Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-161330-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 10
ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-161330-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ121-161330-
Resurrection Bay-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT... S wind 15 kt in the evening becoming N 15 kt after 
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-161330-
Prince William Sound-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-161330-
Port Valdez-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow and rain.
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-161330-
Valdez Narrows-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt in the evening becoming S 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft. Rain with snow.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt increasing 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray in the afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-161330-
Valdez Arm-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt becoming Variable wind 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ129-161330-
Passage Canal-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt in the evening becoming W 10 kt after
midnight. Gusts to 25 kt near Whittier after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
Snow showers and rain showers.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier in the
evening. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-161330-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming NE after midnight. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ131-161330-
Barren Islands East-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ132-161330-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-161330-
Chiniak Bay-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN...SW wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-161330-
Marmot Bay-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-161330-
Shelikof Strait-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-161330-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft. Freezing
spray after midnight.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the
afternoon.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-161330-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. 
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-161330-
Kachemak Bay-
314 PM AKST Sat Jan 15 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...SW wind 20 kt becoming S 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft
subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$
811 
FZAK51 PAFC 161242
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-170115-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 mb low located over western Prince William Sound moves 
to 60 nm northeast of Middleton Island at 1010 mb and dissipates 
into a trough through Mon afternoon. Its front moves across the 
Gulf for Mon afternoon. High pressure moves into the Central Gulf 
by Mon afternoon. 

$$

PKZ119-170115-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming NW 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ120-170115-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt becoming N in the afternoon. 
Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming variable 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-170115-
Resurrection Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-170115-
Prince William Sound-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt early, becoming NW wind 20 kt. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft after midnight.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-170115-
Port Valdez-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming E 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft. Patchy freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-170115-
Valdez Narrows-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt early, becoming 
N and increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-170115-
Valdez Arm-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming N 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Patchy fog.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-170115-
Passage Canal-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. 
Gusts to 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 2 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming E 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. 
Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-170115-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-170115-
Barren Islands East-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ132-170115-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-170115-
Chiniak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-170115-
Marmot Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray
in the morning.
.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-170115-
Shelikof Strait-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt in the evening becoming variable 10 kt. 
Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-170115-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S of Anchor Point, W wind 25 kt becoming N 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas in ice free waters 9 ft subsiding 
to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning. 
N of Anchor Point, S wind 15 kt becoming N wind less than 
10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft subsiding.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. 
Freezing spray and areas of freezing fog.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Freezing spray and areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.

$$

PKZ140-170115-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming N 10 kt 
after midnight. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-170115-
Kachemak Bay-
342 AM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt becoming Variable less than 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. 
Freezing spray in the morning.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$
322 
FZAK51 PAFC 170039
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171400-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1006 mb low located over western Prince William Sound moves to
60 nm northeast of Middleton Island at 1010 mb and dissipates 
into a trough Mon afternoon. Its front moves across the Gulf Mon 
afternoon and then high pressure moves into the Central Gulf Mon 
night. 

$$

PKZ119-171400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171400-
Resurrection Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171400-
Prince William Sound-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171400-
Port Valdez-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171400-
Valdez Narrows-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171400-
Valdez Arm-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171400-
Passage Canal-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up
to 30 kt in the evening. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171400-
Barren Islands East-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171400-
Chiniak Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171400-
Marmot Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171400-
Shelikof Strait-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray and areas of freezing fog.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray
and areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Areas of
freezing fog.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-171400-
Kachemak Bay-
339 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
603 
FZAK51 PAFC 170728 CCA
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

Updated zone 129 

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of
Alaska Coast up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook 
Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-171400-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1006 mb low located over western Prince William Sound moves to
60 nm northeast of Middleton Island at 1010 mb and dissipates 
into a trough Mon afternoon. Its front moves across the Gulf Mon 
afternoon and then high pressure moves into the Central Gulf Mon 
night. 

$$

PKZ119-171400-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-171400-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ121-171400-
Resurrection Bay-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 5 
ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-171400-
Prince William Sound-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-171400-
Port Valdez-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-171400-
Valdez Narrows-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-171400-
Valdez Arm-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-171400-
Passage Canal-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Gusts to 40 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 2 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-171400-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt after midnight. Seas 7
ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ131-171400-
Barren Islands East-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-171400-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ136-171400-
Chiniak Bay-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SW 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow. 
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-171400-
Marmot Bay-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt becoming E 15 kt after midnight. Seas
4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ138-171400-
Shelikof Strait-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ139-171400-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing
spray and areas of freezing fog.
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. Freezing spray
and areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Freezing
spray.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-171400-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Areas of
freezing fog.
.MON...N wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-171400-
Kachemak Bay-
1028 PM AKST Sun Jan 16 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt after
midnight. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$
929 
FZAK51 PAFC 171236
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-180130-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
High pressure moves over the Gulf through Tue morning. A front 
enters the Western Gulf Mon afternoon and extends across the 
Gulf through Tue night. 

$$

PKZ119-180130-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ120-180130-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind to 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ121-180130-
Resurrection Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt or less by midday. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft by afternoon.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ125-180130-
Prince William Sound-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind to 15 kt. Seas to 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 10 kt increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ126-180130-
Port Valdez-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable 
less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...E wind less than 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-180130-
Valdez Narrows-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-180130-
Valdez Arm-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 4 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray 
in the morning.
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-180130-
Passage Canal-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt early, becoming variable wind less than 
10 kt by midday. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier early. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ130-180130-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. 
Freezing spray in the afternoon
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. 
Snow changing to rain in the afternoon.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ131-180130-
Barren Islands East-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming Variable less than 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.

$$

PKZ132-180130-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt becoming SE 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...S wind 25 kt. Seas 17 ft.

$$

PKZ136-180130-
Chiniak Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain and snow.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-180130-
Marmot Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming SE 10 kt 
in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Snow and rain.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-180130-
Shelikof Strait-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-180130-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N wind increasing to 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 
building to 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free 
waters 6 ft.

$$

PKZ140-180130-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...N wind to 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Areas of freezing fog.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ141-180130-
Kachemak Bay-
336 AM AKST Mon Jan 17 2022

.TODAY...NE wind to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 14, 4:31 PM AKST, 11 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 4:31 PM AKST, 11 hours 16 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
431 PM AKST Fri Jan 14 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A broad southerly flow persists from the Gulf of Alaska north
across Southcentral Alaska this afternoon. The storm system that
brought gusty gap winds and wintry precipitation to the region
yesterday has weakened considerably as the surface low drifts
slowly up Cook Inlet. Winds across Cook Inlet are varied this
afternoon. Locations from the Mat Valley south to Kenai are holding
onto a northerly wind in response to the position of the low
while Turnagain Arm and higher elevations continue to report
southeasterly winds due to the aforementioned flow aloft. The
southerly push of warmer air as also helped modify the airmass
inland, with temperatures pushing above freezing all the way into
the northern Susitna Valley, where rain has been reported in
Talkeetna. Temperatures in the Copper River Basin have climbed
into the upper 20s, while temperature in the Matanuska Valley have
pushed to around 40F as gusty winds there have helped mix the
lower levels of the atmosphere.

Farther west, an area of low pressure over the eastern Bering
continues is being supported by an upper-level shortwave situated
along the Southwest coast. An onshore flow around Bristol Bay is
helping push some light snow toward King Salmon and Dillingham
along with an expansive area of low stratus and mist farther
inland. To the north, scattered snow showers continue over the
Kuskokwim Delta.

For the Bering and Aleutians, colder air continues to spill
southward under a general north to northwest flow. A shortwave
over the central Bering and dropping south is helping maintain
instability and scattered snow showers.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Model guidance remains in good agreement with the overall
synoptic scale features through the weekend. One significant
difference is the evolution of an elongated shortwave currently
over the southern Bering. The EC/GEM/NAM continue to advertise the
transitions of this wave to a more consolidated low as it
moves from Southwest Alaska into Southcentral. The GFS continues
to advertise some consolidation, but not to extent of other
guidance. Moreover, the GFS keeps an ejecting shortwave farther
south and east. This solution would keep the bulk of moisture (i.e.
snow) over Prince William Sound rather than Cook Inlet. The 12z
NAM had shifted more to reflect the GFS. However, recent 18z runs
of the NAM and GEM regional have moved away from the GFS solution,
showing it as the outlier. Thus, forecasted snow amounts and
timing of precipitation are weighted to the other models. Out
west, model guidance remains locked in on a storm force low moving
northward towards the Bering for tonight through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Expect VFR conditions with light and variable winds. An
isolated southerly wind gust is possible through this evening, but
is looking less likely and is low confidence. A mixed rain/snow
shower is also possible through this evening; however anything
that develops should be light and short in duration. Given the
weakening wind flow and temperatures around freezing, any clearing
that occurs late evening into the overnight hours could result in
the development of fog and/or low stratus over the Inlet and Knik
Arm. VCFG is in the TAF, but, again, confidence is low. The storm
system will move toward Anchorage for Saturday morning with snow
and MVFR to IFR conditions developing by mid-morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3/Today
through Sunday night)...

The remnants of the low that impacted much of the region over the
past two days are moving up Cook Inlet this evening, producing a
few lingering showers in the Susitna Valley. Focus then quickly
shifts to an upper level low over Southwest Alaska and another
moderate to weak low moving into Southeast Alaska. A weak upper
level wave and surface low extending northwest of the southeast
low will disconnect from the primary wave and move into Western
Prince William Sound Saturday morning. Meanwhile, the upper level
low/trough will consolidate and move over Southcentral from the
southwest around the same time. The two systems will work in
tandem to produce widespread snowfall for much of Southcentral on
Saturday with the western system also bringing the return of cold
air aloft, which was scoured away by the most recent storm. Expect
1 to 2 inches of snow for the Western Kenai, and 2 to 4 for the
Anchorage Bowl and Mat-Su Valleys. Upper elevations of the
Anchorage and Eagle River Hillsides will likely receive 4 to 6
inches. The onset of precipitation is expected in the early
morning hours for the Kenai Peninsula and around sunrise for
Anchorage and the Mat-Su. It will take some time for the cold air
to scour out the warm air through the Eastern Turnagain Arm, but
some snow will likely return to sea level by the end of the event.

Overnight on Saturday the precipitation will shift east towards
Valdez and Cordova. Southerly flow aloft should favor the Valdez
area over Thompson Pass with 6-8 and 4-6 inches, respectively.
Cordova will remain mostly rain until the cold air aloft reaches
the area Saturday evening for a quick 1 to 2 inches. As the system
departs on Sunday, a brief round of very light snow is possible in
Anchorage and Eagle River, particularly on the Hillside, where
northwesterly upslope winds will help to precipitate out any
remaining moisture from the Cook Inlet and Susitna Valley. On
Monday colder temperatures and clearer skies will return with dry
conditions expected across Southcentral.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Tonight
through Monday)...

Episodes of isolated to scattered snow showers are expected over
Southwest AK tonight through Saturday night as a result of upper
waves and a strong upper low from the Bering. Snowfall
accumulation could be challenging for this event depending on how
soon the upper ridging over the Interior phases out so the upper
low could continue transiting eastward into Southcentral without
stalling. Another upper wave from the Bering could cause periods
of light snow between Sun night and Mon morning. Overall, wintry
conditions are expected for the short term with some quiet
periods of clear to partly cloudy skies favored by upper level
ridging passing through the region Sun morning through Sun
evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Tonight through Monday)...

Multiple upper waves passing through the Aleutians and Bering
Sat and Sun will invite strong gales near the western Aleutians
tonight before reaching storm force winds Sat night. A strong
frontal system connected to a North Pacific low will bring warm
tropical moisture and warm winds, causing rain to fall over parts
of the Aleutian Chain, with rain/snow mixed expected with the
onset of the low into the weekend. Large seas of more than 20 ft,
gales and storm-force winds will be expected from this low the
next couple days. Heavy freezing spray over the Northern Bering
and near the ice edge will continue.

&&

.Marine (Days 3 through 5: Monday through Wednesday)...

Gulf of Alaska: A weak area of high pressure will maintain winds
less than 35 kts and seas less than 20 ft for Monday. As high
pressure weakens on Tuesday, a North Pacific low may have the
potential to bring easterly gale force winds and seas above 20 ft
at times along the northern gulf coast, including Shelikof Strait
and the Barren Islands, and possibly lasting through Wednesday.

Bering Sea: A broad area of low pressure will remain stationary
through the middle of next week. Small, embedded disturbances
circulating around the broad low will bring gale force winds and
seas above 20 ft at times for south of the Aleutians and much of
the Bering Sea through Wednesday.

.Long Term Discussion (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...

Looking ahead into the extended forecast, the latest model
guidance suite is in decent agreement with the evolution and
progression of the synoptic scale features for early next week but
diverge significantly in the specific details towards the end of
the period. For most of the southern mainland, high pressure will
leave a brief period of dry weather and seasonal temperatures
before a wet pattern returns for Wednesday onward. There is decent
continuity for a North Pacific low tracking south of the Alaska
Peninsula into or near the Gulf with another low following on its
heels later next week. Models seem to key on a frontal boundary
extending from the center of the first North Pacific low, bringing
some warmer air, precipitation, and wind from Kodiak Island
northward to the southern mainland. If this scenario were to
materialize, there is a potential that a barrier jet may develop
along the northern Gulf coast from Prince William Sound to the
Copper River Delta area. Where the uncertainty emerges is the
track, position, and timing of these systems that still needs to
be ironed out with subsequent model runs (e.g., GFS is the wettest
compared to other drier solutions). Out west, a broad trough will
settle just south of the Aleutians. Weak, embedded shortwaves
pivoting around the eastern periphery of the trough will bring a
wintry mix of rain/snow and gusty winds at times along the
southern portion of the Aleutians into the Bering Sea.

&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale 172-177. Storm 178.
		 Heavy Freezing Spray 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TM
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CJ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
MARINE/LONG TERM...MF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 14, 3:12 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Jan 14, 3:12 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Jan 14, 3:47 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Jan 15, 3:53 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Jan 15, 3:55 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC6 days
Jan 15, 3:55 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC35 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2022Every small craft advisory in 2022

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.