Gale Warning 84, NWS Anchorage, AK

151 
FZAK52 PAFC 231227
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-240115-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 992 mb Kamchatka low moves over Saint Matthew Island at 1008 mb
Tue morning. A 977 mb North Pacific low 240 nm south of Dutch
Harbor exits to the Western Gulf at 997 mb Mon afternoon. A 979 
mb low develops 80 nm south of Sand Point Sun afternoon and 
crosses the Southwest Coast Mon morning.

$$

PKZ150-240115-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 30 kt increasing to 40 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 14 ft building to 20 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 40 kt. Seas 24 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.WED...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-240115-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...N wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-240115-
Bristol Bay-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Rain.
.MON...SW wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.  Snow and rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-240115-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt becoming W after midnight. Seas 8 ft.
Freezing spray.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-240115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.TONIGHT...N wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 13 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-240115-
Unalaska Bay-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Gusts to
40 kt in the morning. Seas 12 ft subsiding to 5 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-240115-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain and snow.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-240115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ174-240115-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ175-240115-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ176-240115-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ177-240115-
Adak to Kiska-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 19 ft.
.WED...E wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.

$$

PKZ178-240115-
Kiska to Attu-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E wind 45 kt. Seas 28 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.

$$

PKZ179-240115-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ180-240115-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Snow and rain.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 25 kt.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ181-240115-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE wind 20 kt.
.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-240115-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
327 AM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy freezing
spray.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.

$$

713 
FZAK52 PAFC 232354
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-241315-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 mb low 140 nm east of Dutch Harbor moves to 75 nm southeast
of Kipnuk at 975 mb Sun night. The low continues inland moving 
over Norton Sound Mon afternoon while slowly weakening. Another 
995 mb low 340 nm west of Saint Matthew Island moves to 150 nm 
east of Saint Matthew Island at 1018 mb Tue afternoon and 
dissipates.


$$

PKZ150-241315-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. Rain.
.MON...S wind 30 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ155-241315-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt after midnight. 
From the Shumagin Islands E, S wind 30 kt. Seas 21 ft. Rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, 
NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-241315-
Bristol Bay-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft. 
Rain and snow.
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Rain.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight.
Seas in ice free waters 2 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 1 foot.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.

$$

PKZ165-241315-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming W after midnight. 
Seas 8 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ170-241315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ171-241315-
Unalaska Bay-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt in the evening becoming NW 30 kt. 
Seas 12 ft. Snow and rain.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.FRI...N wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ172-241315-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ173-241315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ174-241315-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt after midnight. 
Seas 15 ft.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ175-241315-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ176-241315-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. 
Seas 11 ft.
.MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ177-241315-
Adak to Kiska-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.THU...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ178-241315-
Kiska to Attu-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.THU...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 22 ft.
.FRI...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 16 ft.

$$

PKZ179-241315-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-241315-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Snow and rain.
.MON...NW wind 35 kt.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ181-241315-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt.
.MON...NW wind 30 kt.
.MON NIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ185-241315-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
254 PM AKST Sun Jan 23 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray W of Saint Matthew Island.
.MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. 
Heavy freezing spray W of Saint Matthew Island.
.MON NIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 15 kt in the
evening becoming variable 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, 
N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 11 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.

$$

576 
FZAK52 PAFC 241225
CWFALU

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southwest Alaska+Bristol Bay+The
Alaska Peninsula Waters and the Aleutian Islands up to 100 nm out.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ199-250145-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 mb low 20 nm northwest of Cape Newenham on Mon morning moves
onshore by Mon afternoon. A 1008 mb low 340 nm west of Toksook Bay
on Tue morning moves onshore by Tue night. A 950 mb low moves to 425
nm southwest of Shemya on Tue night. 

$$

PKZ150-250145-
South of the AK Peninsula Sitkinak to Castle Cape-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.THU...N wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ155-250145-
South of the AK Peninsula Castle Cape to Cape Sarichef-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. From the Shumagin Islands E, NW wind 25
kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 13 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...N wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.THU...N wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ160-250145-
Bristol Bay-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 15 kt after midnight. Seas
in ice free waters 2 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas in ice
free waters 1 foot.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ165-250145-
Port Heiden to Cape Sarichef-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ170-250145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Bering Side-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ171-250145-
Unalaska Bay-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 12
ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TUE...W wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ172-250145-
Cape Sarichef to Nikolski Pacific Side-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 15 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.THU...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ173-250145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Bering Side-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ174-250145-
Nikolski to Seguam Island Pacific Side-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft.
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ175-250145-
Seguam Island to Adak Bering Side-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 35 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.WED...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.

$$

PKZ176-250145-
Seguam Island to Adak Pacific Side-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...SE wind 45 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.THU...E wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ177-250145-
Adak to Kiska-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 20 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 27 ft.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft.

$$

PKZ178-250145-
Kiska to Attu-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 10 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...E wind 55 kt. Seas 29 ft.
.WED...SE wind 50 kt. Seas 30 ft.
.THU...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 21 ft.
.FRI...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ179-250145-
Pribilof Islands Near Shore Waters-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ180-250145-
Kuskokwim Delta and Etolin Strait-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W wind 35 kt.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.TUE...S wind 20 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ181-250145-
North and West of Nunivak Island-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt.
.TUE...Variable wind 10 kt.
.TUE NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE wind 20 kt.

$$

PKZ185-250145-
Saint Matthew Island Waters-
325 AM AKST Mon Jan 24 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft. Heavy
freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...E of Saint Matthew Island, W wind 15 kt in the evening
becoming variable 10 kt. W of Saint Matthew Island, N wind 20 kt.
Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE wind 35 kt. Seas in ice free waters 13 ft.
.FRI...E wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 12 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
512 AM AKST Sat Jan 22 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Southern Alaska sits between a longwave trough stretching over
the Bering into the Northwest Pacific and a longwave ridge
extending northward from the Northeast Pacific into Western Canada.
As a result, broad southerly flow continues to direct several
lows and shortwaves northward into the state along with warm,
moist air. One of these shortwaves is presently lifting across
Southern Alaska, bringing another round of precipitation to
Southcentral. With a warm layer of sufficient depth and above
freezing temperatures at the surface in place across Southcentral,
this precipitation is falling widely as rain along the north Gulf
coast and the Cook Inlet region. At elevation, the coastal
mountain ranges continue to wring out this moisture as snow.
A chinook also developed along the western slopes of the Chugach
Mountains overnight, where adiabatic compression of downsloping
air warmed temperatures into the 40s from the Kenai Peninsula to
the Mat-Su.

A low south of the AKPEN is also feeding warm air into the
Southwest, where precipitation is falling as rain in the Bristol
Bay region east of Dillingham. Snow is occurring across the rest
of Southwest Alaska. Temperatures are falling in the Kuskokwim
Delta as a low in the northern Bering wraps cold air behind it
into Western Alaska. Across the Bering, northerly flow continues
to bring scattered snow showers to the Aleutian Chain and the
Pribilof Islands.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models remain in good synoptic agreement through the short term.
The timing and placement of upper-level shortwaves tracking
northward through the broad southerly flow is in good agreement
through Sunday, although minor differences on timing of
shortwaves tracking across Southcentral contribute to uncertainty
in the timing of various rounds of light rain in the Cook Inlet
region through Saturday night. Another challenge is the resultant
timing of the Turnagain Wind bending in and out of Anchorage in
the short term.

On Sunday, there is some model discrepancy with the strength and
timing of the next low and shortwave as it heads towards Southern
Alaska. This results in decreased confidence and increased
uncertainty regarding the potential for freezing precipitation
over Southwest Alaska, as well as the potential for high winds
along Turnagain Arm and higher elevations.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...Intermittent rain showers will be possible which may lower
ceilings below 5000' at times, though ceilings are expected to
remain VFR through the TAF period. While timing is somewhat
uncertain, southeasterly winds are expected to diminish through
this morning and become light out of the north by this afternoon.
Gusty southeasterly winds may return once again after midnight,
but should begin to diminish late Sunday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Due south upper level flow is over the entirety of Southcentral
Alaska, bringing in warm and moist air to the region. The story
the next few days will be this warm, moist flow aloft and
downsloping over the lee side of the different mountain ranges.
After a shortwave moves through this morning, the lee sides of
the mountains should see little or no precipitation through
Sunday, with the windward sides of coastal mountains ranges
getting steady rain at sea level.

The strong winds through Turnagain Arm will persist through
Monday with the strongest winds occurring Sunday evening through
Monday morning. There is a chance that they could gust up to 75
mph along Turnagain Arm and higher elevations of the Anchorage
area during that time. Therefore, a High Wind Watch is in effect.

A strong front that is associated with the next low moving toward
the area will track over Kodiak Island Sunday afternoon through
the overnight hours bringing strong winds and heavy rain to the
island.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The Bethel and King Salmon radars have been busy early this
morning. The active pattern will continue today as the remnants
of a frontal boundary move inland. Southwest Alaska will get a mix
of precipitation including rain, freezing rain, and snow. The
expectation is that where freezing rain forms, the accumulations
will be light. Sunday there will be a lull between systems. On
satellite imagery, there is a new low with a fetch of tropical
moisture that extends back to the Mariana Islands. The models
bring the leading edge of this system into Bristol Bay Sunday
night. Expect another wintry mix from this system complete with
freezing rain.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The Bering will remain relatively stagnant, all of the action is
in the North Pacific the next several days. With the longwave
ridge centered over the Gulf and the East Pacific, the corridor
for the low tracks will set up over the central and eastern
Aleutians. Back to back North Pacific lows are expected this
forecast period, so expect heavy rain at times for the eastern
Aleutians. The northern and central Bering will be under the
influence of an Arctic airmass, with heavy freezing spray and
isolated convective snow showers possible.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Monday through Wednesday)...

Gulf of Alaska...A well developed Bristol Bay low moves to the
Northern Gulf of Alaska for Wednesday. Its front moves across the
Gulf by Wednesday. Forecast confidence is fair due to the low
track by Wednesday. Southerly gales ahead of the front become an
easterly gale force barrier jet along the North Gulf Coast for
Tuesday, and northwesterly gales along the Alaska Peninsula coast
for Tuesday and Wednesday. Seas to 22 feet from the Alaska
Peninsula across the western Gulf, subsiding Tuesday, and to 15
feet east of the Barren Islands, subsiding Wednesday.

Aleutians / Bering...A well-developed Bristol Bay low moves
inland late Monday. Northerly gales move across the Alaska
Peninsula by late Monday. Seas to 22 feet on the Pacific side of
the Alaska Peninsula, subsiding. Forecast confidence good through
the period. Areas of weak low pressure with gusty winds move
across the Bering through Wednesday. A well developed North
Pacific low intensifies as it approaches the Western Aleutians.
Widespread high end gales with areas of possible storm force winds
spread into the Central Aleutians and southern Bering through
Wednesday. Seas building to 18 feet on the Pacific side of the
Aleutians by Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Monday through
Thursday)...

The pattern will remain amplified during the extended period with
upper troughing extending across Southcentral and Southwest
Alaska on Tuesday while upper ridging builds across the eastern
Bering/Aleutians. The upper trough will then move eastward on
Wednesday and Thursday across Southwest and Southcentral as upper
ridging builds in the wake. Then, the upper level ridging will
extend across the eastern Bering/Aleutians, Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska by Friday. Upper level troughing will continue
to extend across the far western Bering/Aleutians during the
extended period. This means the extended period will start off
cold for Southwest Alaska and gradually become warmer as the
ridging builds across the area. Southcentral will remain cold for
a longer period of time as the ridge-axis is expected to remain
west of the area which will allow for northwesterly flow (cold air
advection) aloft. This pattern is also conducive to sunny skies
during the day and clear skies at night. This results in colder
overnight low temperatures across Southcentral due to radiational
cooling.

A weakening surface low is expected to move northeastward from
the Gulf into Yukon Territory on Tuesday and result in a chance of
light snow for Southcentral Alaska. The next chance for snow will
be on Thursday as a second low moves into the northern Gulf of
Alaska. Forecast confidence remains low at this time with snowfall
amounts due to significant differences in the placement of this
low.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch 101.
MARINE...Gale Warning 130 132 150 172 352.
         Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 185 414.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CQ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PJS
MARINE/LONG TERM...KZ/ED