Gale Warning 101, NWS Anchorage, AK

039 
FZAK51 PAFC 290629 AAB
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast...UPDATED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

Coastal waters forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-291915-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 987 mb low 50 nm East of the Barren Islands moves to 55 nm West
of Klawock at 1007 mb for Sun afternoon. Its front extends across
the Gulf through Sun afternoon. Weak high pressure moves over the
Western Gulf by Sun afternoon.


$$

PKZ119-291915-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt, except E 35 kt near the coast during the
evening. Seas 11 ft. Rain with snow. 
.SAT...NE wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt near the Copper River Delta.
 Seas 9 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.  
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.

$$

PKZ120-291915-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain and snow.  
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft.  
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.  
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ121-291915-
Resurrection Bay-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow.  
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.MON THROUGH WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-291915-
Prince William Sound-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming NE 25 kt after midnight.  Seas
8 ft. Snow and rain.  
.SAT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-291915-
Port Valdez-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SAT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.WED...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-291915-
Valdez Narrows-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.MON...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.TUE...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-291915-
Valdez Arm-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.SAT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ129-291915-
Passage Canal-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Snow.  
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. 
Seas 3 ft.  
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.MON...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.TUE...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-291915-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray.  
.SAT...W wind 40 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray.  
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray.  
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.

$$

PKZ131-291915-
Barren Islands East-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow and rain.  
.SAT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 12 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft.  
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  
.MON...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.  
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.

$$

PKZ132-291915-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.  
.SAT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.  
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.  
.WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.

$$

PKZ136-291915-
Chiniak Bay-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 25 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-291915-
Marmot Bay-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Snow. 
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 1 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  
.WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-291915-
Shelikof Strait-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW wind 30 kt. Gusts to 45 kt out of bays and passes. 
Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.  
.SAT...W wind 25 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of bays and passes.  Seas
6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.  
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray.  
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.

$$

PKZ139-291915-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.  
.SAT...N wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon.  Seas
5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the
morning.  
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight.  Seas
2 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  
.MON THROUGH WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-291915-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas in ice free waters 6 ft.  Freezing
spray.  
.SAT...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable  less than
10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt becoming NE 10 kt 
after midnight. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.  
.SUN...Variable wind less than 10 kt. Seas in ice free  waters
2 ft.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas in ice free waters 2 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.  
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.

$$

PKZ141-291915-
Kachemak Bay-
929 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt after midnight. 
Seas 2 ft.   
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SAT NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  
.WED...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

720 
FZAK51 PAFC 291241
CWFAER

Coastal Waters Forecast
National Weather Service Anchorage Alaska
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Northern Gulf of Alaska Coast
up to 100 nm out including Kodiak Island and Cook Inlet.

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent an average of the highest
one-third of the combined wind wave and swell height.

PKZ197-300200-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 mb low 60 nm East of the Middleton Island moves to 100 nm 
South of Yakutat. Its front extends across the Gulf through Sun 
afternoon. Weak high pressure moves over the Western Gulf Sun 
afternoon.

$$

PKZ119-300200-
Cape Suckling to Cape Cleare-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft.

$$

PKZ120-300200-
Cape Cleare to Gore Point-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft.
.TUE...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ121-300200-
Resurrection Bay-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.WED...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ125-300200-
Prince William Sound-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ126-300200-
Port Valdez-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON THROUGH WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ127-300200-
Valdez Narrows-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.MON...N wind 25 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N wind 20 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ128-300200-
Valdez Arm-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.

$$

PKZ129-300200-
Passage Canal-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 20 kt. Gusts to 30 kt near Whittier. Seas 3 ft. 
Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.WED...Variable wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

PKZ130-300200-
West of Barren Islands including Kamishak Bay-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 45 kt diminishing to 35 kt after midnight. Seas
12 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ131-300200-
Barren Islands East-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 40 kt. Seas 14 ft.
.WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft.

$$

PKZ132-300200-
Marmot Island to Sitkinak-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 35 kt except NW 20 kt N of Dangerous Cape. Seas
10 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...NW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 8
ft. Freezing spray during the morning.
.SUN NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft.
.WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft.

$$

PKZ136-300200-
Chiniak Bay-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
3 ft.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt diminishing to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas
2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ137-300200-
Marmot Bay-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. Freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.TUE...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.

$$

PKZ138-300200-
Shelikof Strait-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray.
.TONIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN...W wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft subsiding to 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.
.MON...E wind 40 kt. Seas 12 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 35 kt. Seas 10 ft.
.WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.

$$

PKZ139-300200-
Cook Inlet Kalgin Island to Point Bede-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming SW 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas in
ice free waters 5 ft subsiding to 2 ft in the afternoon. Freezing
spray.
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming N 10 kt after midnight. Seas in
ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas in ice free waters 3 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 4 ft.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE wind 30 kt. Seas in ice free waters 8 ft.
.WED...NE wind 20 kt. Seas in ice free waters 5 ft.

$$

PKZ140-300200-
Cook Inlet North of Kalgin Island-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.TONIGHT...Variable wind less than 10 kt.
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt in the morning becoming variable less than
10 kt.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N wind 20 kt.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt.

$$

PKZ141-300200-
Kachemak Bay-
341 AM AKST Sat Jan 29 2022

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt becoming W 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2
ft.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 10 kt in the evening becoming variable less
than 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.
.TUE...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 4 ft.
.WED...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 2 ft.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
437 PM AKST Fri Jan 28 2022

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A vertically stacked low near Kodiak Island is continuing to
drive snowfall along the coast in southeasterly flow out ahead
of it. Despite the widespread radar returns, much of the
precipitation farther inland is not reaching the ground. Heaviest
precipitation is seen near Prince William Sound and will gradually
taper off through the evening as the low tracks eastward over the
Gulf. Farther west, gusty winds are occurring south of the Alaska
Peninsula in northwesterly flow behind the aforementioned lows.
These will also diminish through the evening. Otherwise the only
other feature of note is a compact low in the far western Aleutians.
Strong southerly winds ahead of it are bringing rain to Adak.
Benign conditions are observed elsewhere across the rest of the
Bering/Aleutians in a weak flow pattern.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

As a low begins to track eastward in the Gulf this evening, there
remains some model disagreement as to how it will merge with
another circulation tracking northward in the eastern Gulf. In
any case, impacts to the coast will be the same, with snowfall
gradually tapering off into Saturday morning. The strength and
position of a low in the far western Aleutians is well-handled.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR ceilings are likely to persist, although brief MVFR
ceilings are possible through this evening. Little to no
precipitation is expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 to 3: Tonight
through Monday):

An upper level low near Kodiak Island will continue to sink
southeast into the Gulf through Sunday morning, with its
attendant surface low pressure wobbling across the gulf towards
the AK Panhandle. What's left of the snowfall event will end for
most locations by early tomorrow morning as the low pulls away
from the coast, with initially easterly flow around the low and
downslope drying preventing any remaining snow from reaching the
ground across the Mat-Su Valleys tonight. In contrast, areas west
of Prince William Sound still seeing moderate snow with upslope
enhancement could see several more inches of snowfall before the
low shifts farther into the Gulf, with locally up to another foot
possible near Turnagain Pass and Portage Valley through late
tonight.

Overall quiet and slightly cooler conditions will prevail for the
rest of the weekend into early next week as dry offshore flow
develops around an upper level ridge moving into the western half
of the state. The coldest and densest air will pool into the
Copper River Basin, helping to drive gap winds through namely the
Valdez Arm, Thompson Pass and Copper River Delta for the next few
days. These winds are not expected to be anything out of the
ordinary, with the main Gulf low departing to the east by tomorrow
night and consequently decreasing support for a stronger pressure
gradient along the North Gulf Coast. Otherwise, expect a good
chance for some sun to return as early as Saturday afternoon with
the drying flow from the interior helping to gradually clear out
the overcast skies currently in place. Temperatures will cool
somewhat to the 10s to 20s for highs and single digits for lows
for most areas away from the coast through Monday, except over the
Copper River Basin, where lows well below zero are possible both
Sunday and Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Monday)...

Southwest will see cooler temperatures as we move into the weekend.
Northeasterly winds will be prevalent but mild thanks to an upper
low situated along the Gulf coast. This low is forecast to amplify
westward into Bristol Bay on Saturday as a shortwave trough over
central Alaska digs southwestward into the Bering and a ridge of
high pressure over the Bering shifts northward and over arctic
Russia. Ultimately this should maintain light northeasterly winds
and generally clear conditions into Saturday for much of Southwest.
Winds across the Alaska Peninsula and interior Bristol Bay,
however, will see north to northwest winds as the surface flow
wraps into the departing upper low over the Gulf. Sunday will see
little in the way of impacts as weak height rises briefly overspread
Southwest, which could result in slightly warmer temperatures by
a couple of degrees. Into Monday, however, a pattern change may
commence with the arrival of front into the Kuskokwim Delta and
Bristol Bay. Precipitation chances will return to the coast by
late Monday along with a chance for a wintry mix.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3:
Today through Monday)...

A cold air mass over the Bering will begin to vacate northward
over the next 24 hours as a weak upper low moves toward Kamchatka.
In the short term this low is producing scattered showers and
overcast skies for much of the Western and Central Aleutians.
Winds on the leading edge of an occluded front may gust to storm
force at times from Attu Station to north of Adak with widespread
gales anticipated across the western Bering. Also in the short
term and further east, northerly gap winds gusting to 50+ knots
will remain possible through the bays and passes of the Alaska
Peninsula into tonight before tapering off during the morning
hours on Saturday. An ASCAT pass from this afternoon revealed 50+
knot winds south of Chignik which should persist through tonight.

A new North Pacific upper low will begin to approach the Aleutian
Chain late on Saturday with scattered showers for the Central
Aleutians. Shower activity is expected to expand in coverage by
Sunday as the low brings a front across the Aleutians and into the
Alaska Peninsula Sunday into early Monday. While snow cannot be
ruled out, it looks like rain will become the predominant
precipitation type as a strong southerly push of warm air follows
in the wake of the front. By Monday the upper low and its
associated front are forecast to depart the Bering to the north.

&&

.MARINE (Days 3 through 5 - Monday through Wednesday)...

Gulf of Alaska:

High pressure exits the Gulf for Tuesday. A front enters the
Western Gulf Tuesday and extends across the Gulf by Wednesday.
Forecast confidence is good. Southerly gales are likely as the
front cross the Gulf, particularly in the barrier jet locations
along the north Gulf coast as well as in the Barren islands to
Kamishak Bay area. These stronger winds look like they will be
brief, diminishing by Wednesday.

Bering Sea/Aleutians:

Expect an active weather pattern across the Bering Sea and Aleutians,
with multiple storms tracking from the Pacific northward across
the Bering Sea. Forecast confidence in the specific track of each
storm is low. However, confidence is high in a long duration of
gale force winds across the region. There is also potential for
smaller areas of storm force winds near the low centers. Seas will
remain elevated above 20 feet for the much of the three day period.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)...

A robust blocking pattern dominating the Gulf will remain in place
in spite of multiple long-wave troughs from the Bering riding
along the high trekking through the Southwest and Southcentral
through the long term. These waves could bring increased clouds
and potentially light snow and a wetter regime over the area. As
the ridge axis settles across the state beginning Wed morning,
dry conditions and rising temperatures are expected for both
Southwest and Southcentral. Though precipitation type issues may
become a challenge, the presence of the upper ridging could help
minimize unstable energy lurking farther inland of Southcentral by
Fri and Fri night.

Over the Bering/Aleutians, a gyre complex North Pacific low will
usher stronger winds with periods of higher gusts along the gaps
and passes starting Tue afternoon through Wed night. Another North
Pacific low races through the central Aleutians bringing more
tropical moisture and stronger winds there and Pribilof Islands
into Fri afternoon. Warm temperatures associated with the
aforementioned lows will produce rain/snow mixed over much of the
Bering/Aleutians through the end of the week. Model solutions
struggled quite a bit with the wind coverage of the latter low,
but clearly points out similar tracks as the low pushes north of
the southern Bering Fri morning.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...Gale Warning 130 131 150 155 174 175 176 177 178 185.
 Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 130 138 150 155 165 179 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...AP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AS
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BL
MARINE/LONG TERM...CB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
307 PM AKST FRI JAN 28 2022

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0304 PM     SNOW             12 NNW HOPE             61.06N 149.76W
01/28/2022  M2.5 INCH        ANCHORAGE          AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION OF 2.5 INCHES
            FOR UPPER POTTER VALLEY AS OF 3PM.

&&