Areal Flood Advisory 18, NWS Tulsa, OK

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
456 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
456 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Evening and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Mainly Eastern Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Showers and scattered thunderstorms will continue to track east and
northeast across eastern Oklahoma and into northwest Arkansas through
the remainder of the afternoon and evening. A few strong to briefly
severe storms will be possible during this time frame, but no organized
severe weather is expected. Locally heavy rainfall will be possible,
especially across eastern Oklahoma, and some localized flooding may
occur.

Additional storms are likely to develop overnight with both heavy
rainfall and limited severe weather potential.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
MONDAY through WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY through SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A few showers and thunderstorms may still be ongoing early Monday
morning with a continued risk of heavy rainfall. A brief lull in
rain chances is forecast later Monday, with the next round of
widespread rains expected Monday night through Tuesday. The
repeated widespread rain periods will allow heavy rainfall
accumulations, and both flash flooding and mainstem river flooding
may become a hazard. The unsettled weather pattern is likely to
extend into late next week. Heavy rainfall and flooding potential
will remain the primary concern.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Flood watches and warnings may be required with updated forecasts.
Areal flooding, including larger river flooding, should be
anticipated especially across parts of southeast and also far
northeast Oklahoma.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
635 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

OKZ067-068-170015-
Cherokee OK-Wagoner OK-
635 PM CDT Sun May 16 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WAGONER AND NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE
COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...

At 633 PM CDT, gusty southeast winds behind a band of showers and
thunderstorms were observed across parts of Wagoner and Cherokee
counties.

Winds of 40 to 50 mph will be possible through 715 pm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Wagoner...                        Coweta...
Okay...                           Porter...
Tullahassee...                    Sequoyah State Park...
Redbird...

LAT...LON 3611 9557 3609 9555 3608 9556 3608 9558
      3607 9557 3607 9513 3582 9525 3589 9572
      3611 9559
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 239DEG 49KT 3595 9540