Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 193
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 22, 2021, 12:20 PM MDT for 23 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 22, 2021, 12:20 PM MDT (18:20 UTC)
- Expired
- May 22, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 23 counties
Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO
The radar
The Denver radar (KFTG), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 1:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 37 min |
| May 22, 1:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Logan, Morgan, Washington | 49 min |
| May 22, 1:28 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan | 17 min |
| May 22, 1:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan | 15 min |
| May 22, 1:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Morgan, Washington | 36 min |
| May 22, 1:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Douglas, Elbert | 28 min |
| May 22, 1:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Morgan, Washington | 33 min |
| May 22, 2:05 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Adams, Arapahoe | 25 min |
| May 22, 2:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley | 29 min |
| May 22, 2:43 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Logan | 17 min |
| May 22, 2:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Phillips, Sedgwick | 44 min |
| May 22, 2:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Crowley | 26 min |
| May 22, 2:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Sedgwick | 48 min |
| May 22, 3:01 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Logan | 29 min |
| May 22, 3:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Huerfano, Las Animas | 27 min |
| May 22, 3:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 24 min |
| May 22, 3:09 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Crowley | 21 min |
| May 22, 3:16 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 29 min |
| May 22, 3:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Weld | 35 min |
| May 22, 3:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 46 min |
| May 22, 3:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso, Pueblo | 27 min |
| May 22, 3:48 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 27 min |
| May 22, 3:48 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 68 min |
| May 22, 3:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 26 min |
| May 22, 4:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Huerfano, Las Animas, Otero, Pueblo | 25 min |
| May 22, 4:13 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 32 min |
| May 22, 4:42 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 33 min |
| May 22, 5:16 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 29 min |
| May 22, 5:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 42 min |
| May 22, 5:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 33 min |
| May 22, 5:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 39 min |
| May 22, 6:06 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Washington | 24 min |
| May 22, 6:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas, Otero, Pueblo | 63 min |
| May 22, 6:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 46 min |
| May 22, 7:30 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Las Animas | 91 min |
| May 22, 7:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Las Animas, Otero | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1528 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 59 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 89 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
633
WWUS20 KWNS 221817
SEL3
SPC WW 221817
COZ000-230200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 193
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM MDT Sat May 22 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
until 800 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...A moist air mass extends across the eastern Colorado
Plains toward the Front Range and I-25 urban corridor this
afternoon. This moisture along with additional heating and upslope
low-level winds will likely contribute to severe thunderstorm
development by mid-afternoon, initially near the Front Range, with
storms subsequently developing quickly northeastward into the
adjacent Plains of east-central/northeast Colorado. Large hail
should be the most prevalent risk, but the potential will also exist
for a couple of tornadoes, and eventually damaging winds into late
afternoon/early evening as storms organize/move northeastward.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Akron CO to 25 miles
southeast of Trinidad CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21030.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 6:30 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 4 more | 90 min |
| May 22, 10:51 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Crowley, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and 8 more | 114 min |
| May 22, 1:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Phillips, Sedgwick, Washington | 116 min |
| May 22, 4:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, Kiowa, Kit Carson and 10 more | 114 min |
| May 22, 5:31 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Phillips, Sedgwick | 119 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.