Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 193

May 22, 202123 counties in Colorado

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 22, 2021, 12:20 PM MDT for 23 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 22, 2021, 12:20 PM MDT (18:20 UTC)
Expired
May 22, 2021, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 23 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 22, 1:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso37 min
May 22, 1:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Logan, Morgan, Washington49 min
May 22, 1:28 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUMorgan17 min
May 22, 1:45 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUMorgan15 min
May 22, 1:54 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUMorgan, Washington36 min
May 22, 1:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUDouglas, Elbert28 min
May 22, 1:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Morgan, Washington33 min
May 22, 2:05 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUAdams, Arapahoe25 min
May 22, 2:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley29 min
May 22, 2:43 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULogan17 min
May 22, 2:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips, Sedgwick44 min
May 22, 2:49 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBCrowley26 min
May 22, 2:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOULogan, Sedgwick48 min
May 22, 3:01 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULogan29 min
May 22, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas27 min
May 22, 3:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso24 min
May 22, 3:09 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBCrowley21 min
May 22, 3:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln29 min
May 22, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWeld35 min
May 22, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas46 min
May 22, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo27 min
May 22, 3:48 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln27 min
May 22, 3:48 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBPueblo68 min
May 22, 3:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUMorgan, Weld26 min
May 22, 4:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Otero, Pueblo25 min
May 22, 4:13 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUElbert, Lincoln32 min
May 22, 4:42 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBOUElbert, Lincoln33 min
May 22, 5:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln29 min
May 22, 5:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas42 min
May 22, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln33 min
May 22, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas39 min
May 22, 6:06 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUWashington24 min
May 22, 6:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas, Otero, Pueblo63 min
May 22, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas46 min
May 22, 7:30 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBLas Animas91 min
May 22, 7:49 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBLas Animas, Otero26 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 6.3 hours before the alert went out and 54 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1528 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

633 
WWUS20 KWNS 221817
SEL3  
SPC WW 221817
COZ000-230200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 193
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1215 PM MDT Sat May 22 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern Colorado

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM
  until 800 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible

SUMMARY...A moist air mass extends across the eastern Colorado
Plains toward the Front Range and I-25 urban corridor this
afternoon. This moisture along with additional heating and upslope
low-level winds will likely contribute to severe thunderstorm
development by mid-afternoon, initially near the Front Range, with
storms subsequently developing quickly northeastward into the
adjacent Plains of east-central/northeast Colorado. Large hail
should be the most prevalent risk, but the potential will also exist
for a couple of tornadoes, and eventually damaging winds into late
afternoon/early evening as storms organize/move northeastward.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Akron CO to 25 miles
southeast of Trinidad CO. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 6:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Elbert, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 4 more90 min
May 22, 10:51 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Crowley, Denver, Douglas, Elbert and 8 more114 min
May 22, 1:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick, Washington116 min
May 22, 4:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert, Kiowa, Kit Carson and 10 more114 min
May 22, 5:31 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips, Sedgwick119 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.