Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 13
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2021, 2:22 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 28, 2021, 2:22 PM CST (20:22 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 28, 2021, 10:00 PM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 99 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Allen County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Christian County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Logan County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Warren County, KY, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Panola County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Dyer County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Madison County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Obion County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Weakley County, TN, Williamson County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2:47 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Barren, Edmonson, Green, Hart, Larue, Marion and 3 more | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:50 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Todd | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, White | 36 min |
| Feb 28, 2:58 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | PAH | Christian | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 3:03 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Prairie, White, Woodruff | 17 min |
| Feb 28, 3:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Lake | 33 min |
| Feb 28, 3:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Faulkner, Jackson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski and 1 more | 44 min |
| Feb 28, 3:20 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Perry, White | 90 min |
| Feb 28, 3:37 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 23 min |
| Feb 28, 4:37 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:44 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Lake, Obion | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 4:56 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Poinsett | 49 min |
| Feb 28, 5:16 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Craighead, Mississippi, Poinsett | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:21 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Jefferson | 39 min |
| Feb 28, 5:34 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi, Poinsett | 41 min |
| Feb 28, 5:36 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Clark, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 119 min |
| Feb 28, 5:40 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Butler, Logan, Warren | 4 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:55 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery, Robertson, Stewart | 4 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:00 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Mississippi | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:01 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Dickson, Houston, Montgomery | 29 min |
| Feb 28, 6:12 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Clark, Cleveland, Dallas, Grant, Pike | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:16 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Shelby, Tipton | 28 min |
| Feb 28, 6:18 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Grant, Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:28 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Cleveland, Jefferson, Lincoln, Monroe, Prairie | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Montgomery, Robertson | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 6:35 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Benton, Henry, Obion, Weakley | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Haywood, Shelby, Tipton | 23 min |
| Feb 28, 6:40 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery | 35 min |
| Feb 28, 6:42 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Feb 28, 6:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Dickson, Humphreys | 13 min |
| Feb 28, 6:48 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner | 42 min |
| Feb 28, 7:01 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Logan, Simpson, Warren | 6 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson | 24 min |
| Feb 28, 7:07 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LMK | Allen, Barren, Monroe | 38 min |
| Feb 28, 7:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Macon, Robertson, Sumner, Trousdale | 30 min |
| Feb 28, 7:24 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Dickson, Hickman, Humphreys, Perry | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:26 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Macon, Smith, Sumner, Trousdale and 2 more | 4 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:32 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Robertson, Sumner, Williamson, Wilson | 43 min |
| Feb 28, 7:46 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Desha, Lincoln and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 8:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Smith, Sumner, Trousdale, Wilson | 25 min |
| Feb 28, 8:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate, Union | 39 min |
| Feb 28, 8:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Tippah, Union | 46 min |
| Feb 28, 8:23 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Davidson, Maury, Rutherford, Smith, Williamson, Wilson | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 8:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Prentiss, Tippah, Tishomingo, Union | 28 min |
| Feb 28, 8:43 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Ouachita | 77 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 448 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 525 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 65 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 396 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 396 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.8
The text
As transmitted.
175
WWUS20 KWNS 282020
SEL3
SPC WW 282020
ARZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-010400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM CST Sun Feb 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Arkansas
Southwest Kentucky
Missouri Bootheel
Northern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to develop across the watch
area through the afternoon and evening hours - with a few intense
thunderstorms expected. Damaging winds are the most likely threat,
but large hail and a few tornadoes are also possible from the most
organized storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Hot Springs AR
to 15 miles east northeast of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 9:59 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Howard, Polk, Sevier | 91 min |
| Feb 28, 10:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Montgomery and 5 more | 7 hr |
| Feb 28, 1:01 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Conway and 32 more | 119 min |
| Feb 28, 2:25 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Pike, Sevier | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 4:40 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Craighead and 23 more | 95 min |
| Feb 28, 5:28 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Miller, Nevada and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 28, 5:54 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada, Union | 4 hr |
| Feb 28, 7:49 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Calloway, Christian, Graves, Logan, Marshall and 4 more | 116 min |
| Feb 27, 6:06 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Benton, Cannon, Carroll, Cheatham, Chester and 28 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.