Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98

April 23, 20219 counties in Oklahoma; 59 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 23, 2021, 12:37 PM CDT for 9 counties in Oklahoma; 59 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 23, 2021, 12:37 PM CDT (17:37 UTC)
Expired
Apr 23, 2021, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Archer County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 23, 1:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXCaldwell, Guadalupe23 min
Apr 23, 1:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Travis25 min
Apr 23, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Montague, Wise42 min
Apr 23, 2:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Rockwall63 min
Apr 23, 2:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague39 min
Apr 23, 3:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Jefferson, Murray, Stephens40 min
Apr 23, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHunt63 min
Apr 23, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, McLennan23 min
Apr 23, 4:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Love, Marshall45 min
Apr 23, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLampasas57 min
Apr 23, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Comanche, Erath, Hamilton57 min
Apr 23, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Wichita52 min
Apr 23, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Cotton, Kiowa, Tillman45 min
Apr 23, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBexar, Comal, Guadalupe45 min
Apr 23, 6:45 PM CDTTornado WarningFWDDenton19 min
Apr 23, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Wichita19 min
Apr 23, 7:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWichita, Wilbarger44 min
Apr 23, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger43 min
Apr 23, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Wichita46 min
Apr 23, 7:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-04-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 14 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-04-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 397 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
14 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
578 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
397 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

133 
WWUS20 KWNS 231735
SEL8  
SPC WW 231735
OKZ000-TXZ000-240100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 98
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Oklahoma
  North-Central and Central Texas

* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until
  800 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
across the watch area, with a few storms becoming severe.  Large
hail and damaging winds will be the main threats, although a tornado
or two is also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of Ardmore
OK to 35 miles south of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 23, 11:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Jefferson, Love, Marshall91 min
Apr 23, 3:14 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCComanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Jefferson and 2 more5 hr
Apr 23, 5:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCotton, Jackson, Tillman2 hr
Apr 23, 12:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Foard, Hall and 2 more3 hr
Apr 23, 12:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Brazoria, Chambers, Cherokee, Fort Bend and 25 more2 hr
Apr 23, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Chambers, Cherokee and 22 more7 hr
Apr 23, 3:27 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Foard, Hardeman, Wilbarger2 hr
Apr 23, 3:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hamilton and 11 more2 hr
Apr 23, 5:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Houston, Jasper, Nacogdoches, Newton, Polk and 7 more54 min
Apr 23, 6:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 19 more89 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.