Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 98
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 23, 2021, 12:37 PM CDT for 9 counties in Oklahoma; 59 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 23, 2021, 12:37 PM CDT (17:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 23, 2021, 8:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 68 counties
Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Archer County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 1:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Caldwell, Guadalupe | 23 min |
| Apr 23, 1:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Travis | 25 min |
| Apr 23, 2:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Jack, Montague, Wise | 42 min |
| Apr 23, 2:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Rockwall | 63 min |
| Apr 23, 2:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Montague | 39 min |
| Apr 23, 3:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Garvin, Jefferson, Murray, Stephens | 40 min |
| Apr 23, 3:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hunt | 63 min |
| Apr 23, 3:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, McLennan | 23 min |
| Apr 23, 4:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Johnston, Love, Marshall | 45 min |
| Apr 23, 5:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Lampasas | 57 min |
| Apr 23, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Comanche, Erath, Hamilton | 57 min |
| Apr 23, 6:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Baylor, Wichita | 52 min |
| Apr 23, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Cotton, Kiowa, Tillman | 45 min |
| Apr 23, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe | 45 min |
| Apr 23, 6:45 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Denton | 19 min |
| Apr 23, 6:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Wichita | 19 min |
| Apr 23, 7:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Wichita, Wilbarger | 44 min |
| Apr 23, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Baylor, Wichita, Wilbarger | 43 min |
| Apr 23, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Wichita | 46 min |
| Apr 23, 7:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton | 37 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
- Mesoscale Discussion 405 Severe potential...watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 407 Severe potential...tornado watch likely
- Mesoscale Discussion 409 Severe thunderstorm watch 98
- Mesoscale Discussion 410 Tornado watch 100
- Mesoscale Discussion 412 Severe thunderstorm watch 98
- Mesoscale Discussion 413 Tornado watch 100
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 37 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 14 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -89 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 578 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 397 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 249 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
133
WWUS20 KWNS 231735
SEL8
SPC WW 231735
OKZ000-TXZ000-240100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 98
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1240 PM CDT Fri Apr 23 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
North-Central and Central Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
across the watch area, with a few storms becoming severe. Large
hail and damaging winds will be the main threats, although a tornado
or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles north of Ardmore
OK to 35 miles south of Austin TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 11:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Jefferson, Love, Marshall | 91 min |
| Apr 23, 3:14 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Comanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Jefferson and 2 more | 5 hr |
| Apr 23, 5:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cotton, Jackson, Tillman | 2 hr |
| Apr 23, 12:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle, Foard, Hall and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 23, 12:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Brazoria, Chambers, Cherokee, Fort Bend and 25 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 23, 2:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Austin, Brazos, Burleson, Chambers, Cherokee and 22 more | 7 hr |
| Apr 23, 3:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Foard, Hardeman, Wilbarger | 2 hr |
| Apr 23, 3:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hamilton and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 23, 5:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Houston, Jasper, Nacogdoches, Newton, Polk and 7 more | 54 min |
| Apr 23, 6:46 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 19 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.