Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93

April 12, 202114 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 12, 2021, 3:51 PM CDT for 14 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 12, 2021, 3:51 PM CDT (20:51 UTC)
Expired
Apr 12, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Burnet County, TX, Concho County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch, Menard65 min
Apr 12, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, San Saba53 min
Apr 12, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMcCulloch, San Saba51 min
Apr 12, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason, San Saba63 min
Apr 12, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano60 min
Apr 12, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano60 min
Apr 12, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTMason60 min
Apr 12, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Llano33 min
Apr 12, 8:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Sutton44 min
Apr 12, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTKimble, Sutton32 min
Apr 12, 10:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, McCulloch40 min
Apr 12, 10:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr63 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-04-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 876 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-04-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
876 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-408 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
922 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

681 
WWUS20 KWNS 122048
SEL3  
SPC WW 122048
TXZ000-130300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 93
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Mon Apr 12 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  The Edwards Plateau of central Texas

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected from 4-5 pm CDT in
areas southeast of San Angelo, and other storms may approach the Rio
Grande near Del Rio later this evening.  The storm environment will
favor splitting supercells capable of producing isolated very large
hail (near or larger than tennis balls), as well as isolated
damaging outflow gusts through late evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast
of Junction TX to 35 miles west southwest of Del Rio TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28015.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 12, 3:00 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Coleman, Concho, Edwards, Kimble, McCulloch and 7 more2 hr
Apr 12, 6:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurnet, Concho, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble and 12 more92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.