Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 93
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 12, 2021, 3:51 PM CDT for 14 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 12, 2021, 3:51 PM CDT (20:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 12, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Burnet County, TX, Concho County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 5%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 4:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch, Menard | 65 min |
| Apr 12, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch, San Saba | 53 min |
| Apr 12, 6:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | McCulloch, San Saba | 51 min |
| Apr 12, 6:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason, San Saba | 63 min |
| Apr 12, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 60 min |
| Apr 12, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Llano | 60 min |
| Apr 12, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Mason | 60 min |
| Apr 12, 7:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Burnet, Llano | 33 min |
| Apr 12, 8:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Sutton | 44 min |
| Apr 12, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Sutton | 32 min |
| Apr 12, 10:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch | 40 min |
| Apr 12, 10:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr | 63 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 876 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -408 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 922 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 139 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
The text
As transmitted.
681
WWUS20 KWNS 122048
SEL3
SPC WW 122048
TXZ000-130300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 93
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Mon Apr 12 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
The Edwards Plateau of central Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected from 4-5 pm CDT in
areas southeast of San Angelo, and other storms may approach the Rio
Grande near Del Rio later this evening. The storm environment will
favor splitting supercells capable of producing isolated very large
hail (near or larger than tennis balls), as well as isolated
damaging outflow gusts through late evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 70 miles north northeast
of Junction TX to 35 miles west southwest of Del Rio TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28015.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 3:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Coleman, Concho, Edwards, Kimble, McCulloch and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 12, 6:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burnet, Concho, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Kimble and 12 more | 92 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.