Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 11, 2021, 8:15 AM EDT for 29 counties in Florida. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 11, 2021, 8:15 AM EDT (12:15 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 11, 2021, 4:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 29 counties
Alachua County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Citrus County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL
The radar
The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 10:35 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Orange, Seminole | 23 min |
| Apr 11, 10:56 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Seminole, Volusia | 30 min |
| Apr 11, 11:09 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hernando, Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas, Sumter | 32 min |
| Apr 11, 12:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Lake, Orange, Osceola | 52 min |
| Apr 11, 1:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk | 29 min |
| Apr 11, 1:47 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Highlands | 28 min |
| Apr 11, 1:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Brevard, Indian River | 36 min |
| Apr 11, 2:17 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MLB | Indian River, Martin, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie | 58 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 449 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -181 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1002 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 202 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 199 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.2
The text
As transmitted.
922
WWUS20 KWNS 111212
SEL1
SPC WW 111212
FLZ000-CWZ000-112000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 91
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 AM EDT Sun Apr 11 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern and central Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 810 AM until
400 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm cluster is expected to organize over
the next few hours from activity initially over the northeastern
Gulf. The resulting storm complex then should accelerate eastward
and southeastward down the peninsula today. Isolated severe hail
and strong/damaging gusts also may occur from thunderstorms ahead of
the main complex. Severe gusts will be the main threat, with
isolated large hail and a tornado also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles west northwest
of Gainesville FL to 30 miles south of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30040.
...EdwardsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 5:27 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Dixie, Flagler and 14 more | 3 hr |
| Apr 11, 10:54 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Citrus, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Manatee and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 11, 12:08 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brevard, Hillsborough, Manatee, Orange, Osceola, Polk and 1 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 11, 1:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broward, Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Apr 11, 2:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Broward, Charlotte, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Lee and 3 more | 6 hr |
| Apr 11, 4:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broward, Collier, Hendry, Lee | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Florida, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.