Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91

April 11, 202129 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 11, 2021, 8:15 AM EDT for 29 counties in Florida. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2021, 8:15 AM EDT (12:15 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2021, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 29 counties

Alachua County, FL, Brevard County, FL, Citrus County, FL, DeSoto County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hardee County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Highlands County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Indian River County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Martin County, FL, Okeechobee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Polk County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Lucie County, FL, Sarasota County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 10:35 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBOrange, Seminole23 min
Apr 11, 10:56 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBSeminole, Volusia30 min
Apr 11, 11:09 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHernando, Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas, Sumter32 min
Apr 11, 12:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBLake, Orange, Osceola52 min
Apr 11, 1:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHardee, Hillsborough, Manatee, Polk29 min
Apr 11, 1:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHighlands28 min
Apr 11, 1:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBBrevard, Indian River36 min
Apr 11, 2:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMLBIndian River, Martin, Okeechobee, Saint Lucie58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cape Canaveral, FL (KXMR), launched 12:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 449 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cape Canaveral, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 202 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
449 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-181 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1002 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

922 
WWUS20 KWNS 111212
SEL1  
SPC WW 111212
FLZ000-CWZ000-112000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 91
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 AM EDT Sun Apr 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern and central Florida
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 810 AM until
  400 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm cluster is expected to organize over
the next few hours from activity initially over the northeastern
Gulf.  The resulting storm complex then should accelerate eastward
and southeastward down the peninsula today.  Isolated severe hail
and strong/damaging gusts also may occur from thunderstorms ahead of
the main complex.  Severe gusts will be the main threat, with
isolated large hail and a tornado also possible.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 10 miles west northwest
of Gainesville FL to 30 miles south of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30040.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 5:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Dixie, Flagler and 14 more3 hr
Apr 11, 10:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Citrus, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Manatee and 9 more2 hr
Apr 11, 12:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Hillsborough, Manatee, Orange, Osceola, Polk and 1 more2 hr
Apr 11, 1:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 11 more2 hr
Apr 11, 2:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBroward, Charlotte, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Lee and 3 more6 hr
Apr 11, 4:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Collier, Hendry, Lee2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Florida, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.