Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 367

April 11, 20217 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 11, 2021, 12:08 PM EDT for 7 counties in Florida. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 11, 2021, 12:08 PM EDT (16:08 UTC)
Expired
Apr 11, 2021, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 91

Counties Brevard County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Orange County, FL, Osceola County, FL, Polk County, FL, Seminole County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 29 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 29 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1004 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2021-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 288 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1004 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1005 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
288 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
296 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

320 
ACUS11 KWNS 111609
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111608 
FLZ000-111815-

Mesoscale Discussion 0367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1108 AM CDT Sun Apr 11 2021

Areas affected...central Florida

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91...

Valid 111608Z - 111815Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 91
continues.

SUMMARY...Risk for locally damaging winds continues -- and is
shifting gradually southward with time.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows the initial/small bowing
cluster of storms moving eastward just to the northeast of Tampa
Bay, and is moving eastward at around 50 kt.  This cluster will
affect the Orlando area, bringing gusty winds, in the next 30 to 45
minutes.

Meanwhile, a second small bowing cluster appears to be organizing 
to the west-southwest along this same convective band, and should 
cross the Tampa Bay area and areas just south over the next half
hour to hour.  Here also, gusty winds -- possibly reaching severe
levels locally -- can be expected.

..Goss.. 04/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...

LAT...LON   27488382 27758342 27888280 28078231 28288216 28558188
            28738098 28288048 27708140 27358260 27488382

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 11, 5:27 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Dixie, Flagler and 14 more3 hr
Apr 11, 8:15 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlachua, Brevard, Citrus, DeSoto, Dixie, Flagler and 23 more8 hr
Apr 11, 10:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrevard, Citrus, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Manatee and 9 more2 hr
Apr 11, 1:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee and 11 more2 hr
Apr 11, 2:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBroward, Charlotte, Collier, Glades, Hendry, Lee and 3 more6 hr
Apr 11, 4:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroward, Collier, Hendry, Lee2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.