Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 84

April 9, 202129 counties in Arkansas; McCurtain County, Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 9, 2021, 8:44 PM CDT for 29 counties in Arkansas; McCurtain County, Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2021, 8:44 PM CDT (01:44 UTC)
Expired
Apr 10, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 39 counties

Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, McCurtain County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Morris County, TX, Red River County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
60%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Washington48 min
Apr 9, 10:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Madison23 min
Apr 9, 10:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Newton57 min
Apr 9, 10:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian42 min
Apr 9, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Scott, Yell65 min
Apr 9, 10:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLittle River, Sevier42 min
Apr 9, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPope32 min
Apr 9, 11:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier42 min
Apr 9, 11:24 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVLittle River36 min
Apr 9, 11:40 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVHempstead, Little River, Miller, Nevada50 min
Apr 9, 11:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMiller63 min
Apr 9, 11:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Franklin, Gregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood43 min
Apr 9, 11:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada65 min
Apr 10, 12:14 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Dallas, Ouachita46 min
Apr 10, 12:42 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGrant, Hot Spring, Saline48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 232 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-04-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-04-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1268 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
182 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

612 
WWUS20 KWNS 100142
SEL4  
SPC WW 100142
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-100700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 84
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Arkansas
  Far southeast Oklahoma
  Northeast Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 845 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Squall line with embedded bowing structures will likely
spread east-southeast from eastern Oklahoma. Damaging winds will be
the primary hazard.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast
of Fayetteville AR to 50 miles south southwest of Texarkana AR. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 78...WW 80...WW 81...WW
82...WW 83...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30040.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 12:52 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCColumbia, Union3 hr
Apr 9, 8:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBryan3 hr
Apr 9, 10:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 25 more118 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.