Alert archive / Arkansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 84
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 9, 2021, 8:44 PM CDT for 29 counties in Arkansas; McCurtain County, Oklahoma; 9 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 9, 2021, 8:44 PM CDT (01:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 10, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 39 counties
Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Clark County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Garland County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Little River County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Newton County, AR, Perry County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Pope County, AR, Saline County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, McCurtain County, OK, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Morris County, TX, Red River County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 82 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 60%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Washington | 48 min |
| Apr 9, 10:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Carroll, Madison | 23 min |
| Apr 9, 10:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone, Newton | 57 min |
| Apr 9, 10:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 42 min |
| Apr 9, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Scott, Yell | 65 min |
| Apr 9, 10:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Little River, Sevier | 42 min |
| Apr 9, 10:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pope | 32 min |
| Apr 9, 11:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 42 min |
| Apr 9, 11:24 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Little River | 36 min |
| Apr 9, 11:40 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Hempstead, Little River, Miller, Nevada | 50 min |
| Apr 9, 11:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Miller | 63 min |
| Apr 9, 11:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Franklin, Gregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood | 43 min |
| Apr 9, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Columbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada | 65 min |
| Apr 10, 12:14 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Clark, Dallas, Ouachita | 46 min |
| Apr 10, 12:42 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 232 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1268 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 182 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
612
WWUS20 KWNS 100142
SEL4
SPC WW 100142
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-100700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 84
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
845 PM CDT Fri Apr 9 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Arkansas
Far southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 845 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Squall line with embedded bowing structures will likely
spread east-southeast from eastern Oklahoma. Damaging winds will be
the primary hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east northeast
of Fayetteville AR to 50 miles south southwest of Texarkana AR. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 78...WW 80...WW 81...WW
82...WW 83...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30040.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 12:52 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Columbia, Union | 3 hr |
| Apr 9, 8:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bryan | 3 hr |
| Apr 9, 10:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 25 more | 118 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.