Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72

April 6, 202122 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 6, 2021, 4:48 PM CDT for 22 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 6, 2021, 4:48 PM CDT (21:48 UTC)
Expired
Apr 7, 2021, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 42 counties

Barton County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Ford County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 6, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson20 min
Apr 6, 6:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Pawnee, Rush51 min
Apr 6, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEllis, Rush46 min
Apr 6, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTRussell54 min
Apr 6, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDDawson30 min
Apr 6, 7:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDSmith15 min
Apr 6, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDOsborne, Smith46 min
Apr 6, 7:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Russell54 min
Apr 6, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPawnee, Rush49 min
Apr 6, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson20 min
Apr 6, 8:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith49 min
Apr 6, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPawnee, Stafford60 min
Apr 6, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton54 min
Apr 6, 8:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Lincoln45 min
Apr 6, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCPawnee, Stafford36 min
Apr 6, 9:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton55 min
Apr 6, 10:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton49 min
Apr 6, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCKiowa, Pratt, Stafford46 min
Apr 6, 10:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTBarton, Rice59 min
Apr 6, 10:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, Rice66 min
Apr 6, 11:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCBarber, Pratt54 min
Apr 6, 11:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTRice40 min
Apr 6, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTEllsworth, McPherson, Rice, Saline25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-04-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 91 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-04-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 136 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
91 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-649 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1066 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

207 
WWUS20 KWNS 062146
SEL2  
SPC WW 062146
KSZ000-NEZ000-070400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 72
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Tue Apr 6 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central Kansas
  South central Nebraska

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm initiation appears imminent just to the east
of Dodge City, and near the surface low in south central Nebraska. 
The storm environment favors a mix of multicell clusters to the
north with an accompanying large hail and damaging wind threat, and
supercells farther south toward central and south central Kansas. 
In addition to the hail/wind threat, there will be some potential
for a tornado or two with the southernmost supercells in a cluster
across Kansas this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Grand Island NE to 95 miles south of Russell KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 6, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln and 9 more117 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.