Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 6, 2021, 4:48 PM CDT for 22 counties in Kansas; 20 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 6, 2021, 4:48 PM CDT (21:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Apr 7, 2021, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 42 counties
Barton County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Ellis County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Ford County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Rush County, KS, Russell County, KS, Smith County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Dawson | 20 min |
| Apr 6, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Edwards, Pawnee, Rush | 51 min |
| Apr 6, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Ellis, Rush | 46 min |
| Apr 6, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Russell | 54 min |
| Apr 6, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Dawson | 30 min |
| Apr 6, 7:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Smith | 15 min |
| Apr 6, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Osborne, Smith | 46 min |
| Apr 6, 7:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton, Russell | 54 min |
| Apr 6, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Pawnee, Rush | 49 min |
| Apr 6, 7:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Buffalo, Dawson | 20 min |
| Apr 6, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 49 min |
| Apr 6, 8:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Pawnee, Stafford | 60 min |
| Apr 6, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton | 54 min |
| Apr 6, 8:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln | 45 min |
| Apr 6, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Pawnee, Stafford | 36 min |
| Apr 6, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton | 55 min |
| Apr 6, 10:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton | 49 min |
| Apr 6, 10:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Kiowa, Pratt, Stafford | 46 min |
| Apr 6, 10:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Barton, Rice | 59 min |
| Apr 6, 10:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Rice | 66 min |
| Apr 6, 11:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Barber, Pratt | 54 min |
| Apr 6, 11:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Rice | 40 min |
| Apr 6, 11:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, McPherson, Rice, Saline | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 229 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 91 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -649 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1066 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 136 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 208 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
207
WWUS20 KWNS 062146
SEL2
SPC WW 062146
KSZ000-NEZ000-070400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 72
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CDT Tue Apr 6 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Kansas
South central Nebraska
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm initiation appears imminent just to the east
of Dodge City, and near the surface low in south central Nebraska.
The storm environment favors a mix of multicell clusters to the
north with an accompanying large hail and damaging wind threat, and
supercells farther south toward central and south central Kansas.
In addition to the hail/wind threat, there will be some potential
for a tornado or two with the southernmost supercells in a cluster
across Kansas this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Grand Island NE to 95 miles south of Russell KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 3:03 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Jewell, Lincoln and 9 more | 117 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.