Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 318

April 6, 202114 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 6, 2021, 9:11 PM CDT for 14 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 6, 2021, 9:11 PM CDT (02:11 UTC)
Expired
Apr 6, 2021, 11:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 72

Counties Barton County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Reno County, KS, Rice County, KS, Saline County, KS, Stafford County, KS

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2021-04-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 71 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2021-04-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 70 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
71 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-135 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3516 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
234 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

283 
ACUS11 KWNS 070211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070211 
KSZ000-070415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0318
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0911 PM CDT Tue Apr 06 2021

Areas affected...Central/Northern Kansas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72...

Valid 070211Z - 070415Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 72
continues.

SUMMARY...Greatest severe risk in the next few hours will spread
across central/northern Kansas.

DISCUSSION...Slow-moving thunderstorm cluster has evolved from
Jewell-Lincoln-Stafford County KS. Leading edge of this activity is
beginning to surge east into Ottawa County (ww73), well ahead of the
actual cold front. While the surface front will eventually catch up
to this developing squall line, strong LLJ focused across central KS
will continue to provide favorable inflow for eastward propagation
through the instability axis. Hail continues to be the primary
concern, though gusty winds may also be noted with the bowing
segment that is exiting the watch into Ottawa County. Southern-most
portion of this squall line should begin to accelerate as the
surface front will soon surge into this portion of the convective
line.

..Darrow.. 04/07/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   37889923 39699808 39709688 38949671 37829777 37889923

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 6, 7:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Edwards, Ellis, Ellsworth, Jewell, Kingman and 14 more2 hr
Apr 6, 9:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Coffey, Dickinson and 22 more5 hr
Apr 6, 11:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChase, Harvey, Kingman, Lyon, McPherson, Marion and 3 more113 min
Apr 7, 10:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJohnson, Miami, Wyandotte117 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.