Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 500

September 14, 202129 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 14, 2021, 4:04 PM CDT for 29 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 14, 2021, 4:04 PM CDT (21:04 UTC)
Expired
Sep 14, 2021, 10:37 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 29 counties

Barber County, KS, Butler County, KS, Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Edwards County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Pratt County, KS, Reno County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stafford County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Sumner County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTKingman, Reno52 min
Sep 14, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTKingman33 min
Sep 14, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatDDCEdwards, Pawnee, Stafford53 min
Sep 14, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Pawnee25 min
Sep 14, 6:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCStafford33 min
Sep 14, 6:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Pawnee, Stafford31 min
Sep 14, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Kearny34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 16 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2021-09-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2021-09-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1866 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

623 
WWUS20 KWNS 142101
SEL0  
SPC WW 142101
KSZ000-150400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 500
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM CDT Tue Sep 14 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest and south central Kansas

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop late this
afternoon along a stalled front across southern Kansas.  The storm
environment will support a threat for supercells capable of
producing large hail of 1.5 to 2 inch diameter, and isolated severe
outflow gusts of 60-70 mph through early tonight.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west southwest
of Garden City KS to 20 miles east southeast of Wichita KS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 498...WW 499...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27020.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 3:40 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Cowley, Edwards, Finney and 22 more95 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.