Alert archive / New Jersey / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 491

September 8, 20215 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 8, 2021, 7:54 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 8, 2021, 7:54 PM EDT (23:54 UTC)
Expired
Sep 9, 2021, 12:00 AM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 26 counties

Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bergen County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Greene County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Pike County, PA

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

12 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 8, 7:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton61 min
Sep 8, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire66 min
Sep 8, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Greene, Ulster42 min
Sep 8, 8:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire59 min
Sep 8, 8:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningALYGreene, Ulster3 hr
Sep 8, 9:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire21 min
Sep 8, 9:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHILehigh, Northampton7 hr
Sep 8, 10:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks49 min
Sep 8, 10:23 PM EDTTornado WarningPHIBerks22 min
Sep 8, 10:42 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIWarren6 hr
Sep 8, 10:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton58 min
Sep 8, 11:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 11.9 hours before the alert went out and 128 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-09-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2021-09-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1380 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

973 
WWUS20 KWNS 082350
SEL1  
SPC WW 082350
CTZ000-MAZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-090400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 491
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
755 PM EDT Wed Sep 8 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Far western Connecticut
  Far western Massachusetts
  Western to northern New Jersey
  Southeast New York
  Eastern Pennsylvania

* Effective this Wednesday night from 755 PM until Midnight EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Line segments will continue to push east from eastern
Pennsylvania into southwest New England this evening with a threat
for damaging winds and a tornado or two.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles northwest of
Pittsfield MA to 35 miles south southwest of Allentown PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 8, 4:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSussex, Warren2 hr
Sep 8, 4:40 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCErie, Niagara3 hr
Sep 8, 6:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaratoga, Washington90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.