Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 464

August 26, 202126 counties in Nebraska; 42 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 26, 2021, 8:03 PM CDT for 26 counties in Nebraska; 42 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 26, 2021, 8:03 PM CDT (01:03 UTC)
Expired
Aug 27, 2021, 3:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 68 counties

Antelope County, NE, Blaine County, NE, Boone County, NE, Boyd County, NE, Brown County, NE, Cedar County, NE, Cherry County, NE, Cuming County, NE, Dakota County, NE, Dixon County, NE, Garfield County, NE, Grant County, NE, Holt County, NE, Hooker County, NE, Keya Paha County, NE, Knox County, NE, Loup County, NE, Madison County, NE, Pierce County, NE, Rock County, NE, Sheridan County, NE, Stanton County, NE, Thomas County, NE, Thurston County, NE, Wayne County, NE, Wheeler County, NE, Aurora County, SD, Beadle County, SD, Bennett County, SD, Bon Homme County, SD, Brookings County, SD, Brule County, SD, Buffalo County, SD, Charles Mix County, SD, Clay County, SD, Custer County, SD, Davison County, SD, Douglas County, SD, Gregory County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Hand County, SD, Hanson County, SD, Hughes County, SD, Hutchinson County, SD, Hyde County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Jerauld County, SD, Jones County, SD, Kingsbury County, SD, Lake County, SD, Lincoln County, SD, Lyman County, SD, McCook County, SD, Meade County, SD, Mellette County, SD, Miner County, SD, Minnehaha County, SD, Moody County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Sanborn County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Sully County, SD, Todd County, SD, Tripp County, SD, Turner County, SD, Union County, SD, Yankton County, SD

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 26, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatUNRCuster, Pennington57 min
Aug 26, 9:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade, Pennington52 min
Aug 26, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDHutchinson, Turner, Yankton25 min
Aug 26, 11:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Jackson, Ziebach59 min
Aug 26, 11:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAXMadison, Pierce, Wayne38 min
Aug 27, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRStanley55 min
Aug 27, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDClay, Lincoln, Turner, Union37 min
Aug 27, 12:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDLincoln28 min
Aug 27, 12:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFSDLincoln, Union41 min
Aug 27, 1:06 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHughes, Stanley, Sully39 min
Aug 27, 1:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRHughes, Hyde, Potter, Sully46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-08-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1372 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2021-08-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1372 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1154 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
214 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
2.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

571 
WWUS20 KWNS 270101
SEL4  
SPC WW 270101
NEZ000-SDZ000-270800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 464
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
800 PM CDT Thu Aug 26 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Nebraska
  Southern South Dakota

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 800 PM
  until 300 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop and increase in
coverage this evening and pose a risk for damaging winds and large
hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles north
northwest of Chadron NE to 20 miles northeast of Yankton SD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.

...Bunting

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 26, 7:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoyd, Brown, Cherry, Holt, Keya Paha, Rock2 hr
Aug 26, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDakota2 hr
Aug 27, 6:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDouglas, Sarpy, Washington92 min
Aug 27, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Harding, Perkins2 hr
Aug 27, 6:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Perkins, Ziebach117 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.