Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 456
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 22, 2021, 5:01 PM CDT for 9 counties in Kansas; 23 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 22, 2021, 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 22, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 32 counties
Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 5:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Decatur | 42 min |
| Aug 22, 5:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Furnas | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 5:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Furnas, Harlan | 29 min |
| Aug 22, 6:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Furnas | 26 min |
| Aug 22, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Harlan | 41 min |
| Aug 22, 6:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips | 34 min |
| Aug 22, 6:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips | 47 min |
| Aug 22, 7:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Norton | 29 min |
| Aug 22, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Buffalo, Dawson, Sherman | 26 min |
| Aug 22, 7:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Phillips, Smith | 31 min |
| Aug 22, 8:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Buffalo, Greeley, Hall, Howard, Merrick, Nance and 1 more | 39 min |
| Aug 22, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 44 min |
| Aug 22, 8:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Franklin, Harlan, Kearney, Phelps | 48 min |
| Aug 22, 9:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | GID | Furnas, Harlan | 7 hr |
| Aug 22, 9:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID | Jewell, Smith | 43 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 26 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -584 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1143 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 537 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 608 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
588
WWUS20 KWNS 222158
SEL6
SPC WW 222158
KSZ000-NEZ000-230300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 456
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM CDT Sun Aug 22 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Kansas
South-central Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A couple splitting supercells may develop across central
portions of the Kansas-Nebraska border this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Hill City KS to 10 miles east southeast of Hastings NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 455...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...GramsSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 3:38 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo and 33 more | 97 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.