Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 456

August 22, 20219 counties in Kansas; 23 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 22, 2021, 5:01 PM CDT for 9 counties in Kansas; 23 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 22, 2021, 5:01 PM CDT (22:01 UTC)
Expired
Aug 22, 2021, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 32 counties

Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Jewell County, KS, Norton County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Smith County, KS, Adams County, NE, Buffalo County, NE, Clay County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Franklin County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Greeley County, NE, Hall County, NE, Hamilton County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Howard County, NE, Kearney County, NE, Merrick County, NE, Nance County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE, Sherman County, NE, Valley County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 5:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur42 min
Aug 22, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas47 min
Aug 22, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas, Harlan29 min
Aug 22, 6:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas26 min
Aug 22, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHarlan41 min
Aug 22, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips34 min
Aug 22, 6:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips47 min
Aug 22, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDNorton29 min
Aug 22, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Sherman26 min
Aug 22, 7:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips, Smith31 min
Aug 22, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDBuffalo, Greeley, Hall, Howard, Merrick, Nance and 1 more39 min
Aug 22, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDJewell, Smith44 min
Aug 22, 8:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFranklin, Harlan, Kearney, Phelps48 min
Aug 22, 9:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDFurnas, Harlan7 hr
Aug 22, 9:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGIDJewell, Smith43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 137 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 26 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-08-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 537 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
26 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-584 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1143 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
537 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
608 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

588 
WWUS20 KWNS 222158
SEL6  
SPC WW 222158
KSZ000-NEZ000-230300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 456
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM CDT Sun Aug 22 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  North-central Kansas
  South-central Nebraska

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 500 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A couple splitting supercells may develop across central
portions of the Kansas-Nebraska border this evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Hill City KS to 10 miles east southeast of Hastings NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 455...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Grams

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 3:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Blaine, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Buffalo and 33 more97 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Nebraska, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.