Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 374
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 12, 2021, 3:34 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 12, 2021, 3:34 PM EDT (19:34 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 12, 2021, 8:49 PM EDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
New Castle County, DE, Baltimore County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Bergen County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, York County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 3:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Perry | 35 min |
| Jul 12, 3:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 2 hr |
| Jul 12, 3:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 63 min |
| Jul 12, 3:59 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, York | 46 min |
| Jul 12, 4:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 34 min |
| Jul 12, 4:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Monmouth, Ocean | 42 min |
| Jul 12, 4:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 63 min |
| Jul 12, 5:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Mercer | 67 min |
| Jul 12, 5:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 61 min |
| Jul 12, 5:41 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Chester | 34 min |
| Jul 12, 5:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Passaic | 39 min |
| Jul 12, 5:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Morris, Sussex | 63 min |
| Jul 12, 6:01 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Camden | 102 min |
| Jul 12, 6:09 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Passaic | 3 hr |
| Jul 12, 6:15 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | OKX | Bergen, Passaic | 45 min |
| Jul 12, 6:18 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Delaware | 84 min |
| Jul 12, 6:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford | 47 min |
| Jul 12, 6:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Morris, Sussex | 34 min |
| Jul 12, 6:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX | Bergen, Essex, Passaic | 41 min |
| Jul 12, 7:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Cecil | 20 min |
| Jul 12, 7:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | New Castle | 69 min |
| Jul 12, 7:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford | 52 min |
| Jul 12, 7:11 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Morris, Sussex | 35 min |
| Jul 12, 7:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Cecil, Harford | 52 min |
| Jul 12, 7:55 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Cecil, Harford | 77 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 974 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -83 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 724 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 53 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
The text
As transmitted.
984 WWUS20 KWNS 121931 SEL4 SPC WW 121931 DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-130300- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 374 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of northern Delaware northern Maryland New Jersey southeast New York southeast Pennsylvania northeast Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Storms developing along and east of the central Appalachians will spread east and become capable of producing isolated damaging wind over a portion of the Middle Atlantic and Northeast States this afternoon and early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west of Harrisburg PA to 25 miles northeast of Lakehurst NJ. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26035. ...Dial
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 1:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 88 min |
| Jul 12, 7:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | New Castle | 2 hr |
| Jul 11, 8:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carroll, Washington | 62 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.