Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS State College, PA

July 12, 2021Lancaster County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 12, 2021, 3:56 PM EDT for Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 12, 2021, 3:56 PM EDT (19:56 UTC)
Expired
Jul 12, 2021, 6:00 PM EDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Lancaster County, PA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 974 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 10 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
974 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-83 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

316 
WGUS51 KCTP 121956
FFWCTP
PAC071-122200-
/O.NEW.KCTP.FF.W.0003.210712T1956Z-210712T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service State College PA
356 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

The National Weather Service in State College has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Lancaster County in south central Pennsylvania...

* Until 600 PM EDT.

* At 356 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or 
  expected to begin shortly, from rainfall rates exceeding 3 inches 
  per hour just north of Wakefield.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Quarryville, Wakefield, Kirkwood, Little Britain and Buck.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3980 7605 3978 7607 3974 7616 3976 7622
      3979 7629 3984 7630 3989 7625 3990 7615
      3992 7606 3990 7602 3989 7601 3985 7601
      3985 7602 3984 7602 3983 7603 3983 7604
      3981 7603 3981 7604 3980 7604

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

Lambert
1 follow-up statement
222 
WGUS71 KCTP 122125
FFSCTP

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service State College PA
525 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

PAC071-122200-
/O.CON.KCTP.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210712T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lancaster PA-
525 PM EDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING 
FOR SOUTHEASTERN LANCASTER COUNTY...

At 525 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain has diminished 
over the the warned area. Over 4 inches of rain have fallen to the 
southwest of Quarryville. Expect excessive runoff and ponding of 
water to continue over this area through 600 PM.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
         highways, streets and underpasses as well as other poor
         drainage and low-lying areas.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Quarryville, Wakefield, Kirkwood, Little Britain and Buck.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3980 7605 3978 7607 3974 7616 3976 7622
      3979 7629 3984 7630 3989 7625 3990 7615
      3992 7606 3990 7602 3989 7601 3985 7601
      3985 7602 3984 7602 3983 7603 3983 7604
      3981 7603 3981 7604 3980 7604

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

DeVoir

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 8:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton, Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder and 1 more42 min
Jul 11, 8:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan62 min
Jul 11, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill76 min
Jul 11, 8:52 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPDauphin23 min
Jul 11, 9:07 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan, Union2 hr
Jul 11, 9:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPFranklin37 min
Jul 11, 9:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPFulton28 min
Jul 11, 9:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York58 min
Jul 11, 9:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill53 min
Jul 11, 10:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York118 min
Jul 11, 10:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLebanon, York70 min
Jul 12, 12:04 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York116 min
Jul 12, 1:21 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchCTPColumbia, Cumberland, Dauphin, Juniata, Lebanon, Lycoming and 12 more13 hr
Jul 12, 2:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLancaster60 min
Jul 12, 2:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMifflin26 min
Jul 12, 2:36 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPPerry24 min
Jul 12, 2:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPAdams, Franklin60 min
Jul 12, 2:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Perry41 min
Jul 12, 2:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPMifflin31 min
Jul 12, 3:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPLebanon43 min
Jul 12, 3:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementCTPJuniata45 min
Jul 12, 3:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPLancaster119 min
Jul 12, 3:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Perry35 min
Jul 12, 3:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster63 min
Jul 12, 3:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, York46 min
Jul 12, 4:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York34 min
Jul 12, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPDauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York63 min
Jul 12, 4:57 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPLancaster2 hr
Jul 12, 5:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster61 min
Jul 12, 5:42 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPLancaster93 min
Jul 12, 6:31 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPLancaster119 min
Jul 12, 6:43 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryCTPTioga92 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.