Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 372
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 11, 2021, 2:40 PM EDT for Allegany County, Garrett County, Maryland; 45 counties in Pennsylvania; 25 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 11, 2021, 2:40 PM EDT (18:40 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 11, 2021, 11:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 72 counties
Allegany County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA, Barbour County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Preston County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV
The radar
The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 4:41 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | PBZ | Jefferson | 14 min |
| Jul 11, 4:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Elk | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 4:51 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clearfield, Elk | 39 min |
| Jul 11, 5:06 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Huntingdon | 24 min |
| Jul 11, 5:10 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Cameron, Elk | 24 min |
| Jul 11, 5:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PBZ | Indiana, Westmoreland | 34 min |
| Jul 11, 5:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Elk | 46 min |
| Jul 11, 5:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Clearfield, Elk | 41 min |
| Jul 11, 5:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cambria, Somerset | 65 min |
| Jul 11, 5:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Blair, Centre, Clearfield, Huntingdon | 45 min |
| Jul 11, 5:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton, Potter | 35 min |
| Jul 11, 6:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre, Clearfield, Huntingdon and 1 more | 57 min |
| Jul 11, 6:16 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 29 min |
| Jul 11, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 52 min |
| Jul 11, 6:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 51 min |
| Jul 11, 6:48 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton | 27 min |
| Jul 11, 6:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Centre, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon and 3 more | 63 min |
| Jul 11, 7:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Sullivan | 43 min |
| Jul 11, 7:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clinton | 50 min |
| Jul 11, 7:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Centre, Clinton, Juniata, Mifflin, Snyder, Union | 44 min |
| Jul 11, 7:39 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Clinton, Lycoming | 36 min |
| Jul 11, 7:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 47 min |
| Jul 11, 7:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Bedford, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata and 2 more | 62 min |
| Jul 11, 8:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Clinton, Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder and 1 more | 42 min |
| Jul 11, 8:28 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Allegany, Washington | 47 min |
| Jul 11, 8:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan | 62 min |
| Jul 11, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill | 76 min |
| Jul 11, 8:52 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | CTP | Dauphin | 23 min |
| Jul 11, 9:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York | 58 min |
| Jul 11, 9:52 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Schuylkill | 53 min |
| Jul 11, 10:06 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York | 118 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -180 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 979 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 135 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
771 WWUS20 KWNS 111837 SEL2 SPC WW 111837 MDZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-120100- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 372 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 240 PM EDT Sun Jul 11 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Maryland Western and Central Pennsylvania Northern West Virginia * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until 900 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop across the region through the afternoon. A moist air mass, moderate instability, and seasonally strong deep-layer winds will support organized storms including some supercells. Damaging winds should be the most common risk, but a tornado could also occur, particularly across Pennsylvania where low-level shear is maximized near the warm front. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of Wheeling WV to 45 miles east of State College PA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 371... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allegany, Garrett | 55 min |
| Jul 11, 5:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton and 12 more | 94 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.