Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 372

July 11, 2021Allegany County, Garrett County, Maryland; 45 counties in Pennsylvania; 25 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 11, 2021, 2:40 PM EDT for Allegany County, Garrett County, Maryland; 45 counties in Pennsylvania; 25 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 11, 2021, 2:40 PM EDT (18:40 UTC)
Expired
Jul 11, 2021, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 72 counties

Allegany County, MD, Garrett County, MD, Adams County, PA, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Butler County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Elk County, PA, Fayette County, PA, Forest County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Greene County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Indiana County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Potter County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Union County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Westmoreland County, PA, York County, PA, Barbour County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Brooke County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Mineral County, WV, Monongalia County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Preston County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tucker County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wetzel County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV

The radar

The Pittsburgh radar (KPBZ), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 4:41 PM EDTTornado WarningPBZJefferson14 min
Jul 11, 4:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Elk42 min
Jul 11, 4:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClearfield, Elk39 min
Jul 11, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Huntingdon24 min
Jul 11, 5:10 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCameron, Elk24 min
Jul 11, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPBZIndiana, Westmoreland34 min
Jul 11, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPElk46 min
Jul 11, 5:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Clearfield, Elk41 min
Jul 11, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Somerset65 min
Jul 11, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBlair, Centre, Clearfield, Huntingdon45 min
Jul 11, 5:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCameron, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton, Potter35 min
Jul 11, 6:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre, Clearfield, Huntingdon and 1 more57 min
Jul 11, 6:16 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCentre, Clinton29 min
Jul 11, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton52 min
Jul 11, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton51 min
Jul 11, 6:48 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPCentre, Clinton27 min
Jul 11, 6:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Centre, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon and 3 more63 min
Jul 11, 7:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Sullivan43 min
Jul 11, 7:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton50 min
Jul 11, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCentre, Clinton, Juniata, Mifflin, Snyder, Union44 min
Jul 11, 7:39 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPClinton, Lycoming36 min
Jul 11, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAllegany, Washington47 min
Jul 11, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Huntingdon, Juniata and 2 more62 min
Jul 11, 8:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPClinton, Columbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Snyder and 1 more42 min
Jul 11, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXAllegany, Washington47 min
Jul 11, 8:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Lycoming, Montour, Northumberland, Sullivan62 min
Jul 11, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, Perry, Schuylkill76 min
Jul 11, 8:52 PM EDTTornado WarningCTPDauphin23 min
Jul 11, 9:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York58 min
Jul 11, 9:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill53 min
Jul 11, 10:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningCTPCumberland, Dauphin, Lebanon, York118 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 51 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Pittsburgh, PA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 90 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-180 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
979 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

771 
WWUS20 KWNS 111837
SEL2  
SPC WW 111837
MDZ000-PAZ000-WVZ000-120100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 372
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM EDT Sun Jul 11 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Maryland
  Western and Central Pennsylvania
  Northern West Virginia

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
  900 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to develop
across the region through the afternoon. A moist air mass, moderate
instability, and seasonally strong deep-layer winds will support
organized storms including some supercells. Damaging winds should be
the most common risk, but a tornado could also occur, particularly
across Pennsylvania where low-level shear is maximized near the warm
front.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Wheeling WV to 45 miles east of State College PA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 371...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 2:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Garrett55 min
Jul 11, 5:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Blair, Cambria, Centre, Clearfield, Clinton and 12 more94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.