Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 295
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2021, 6:06 PM EDT for 44 counties in Indiana; 28 counties in Michigan; 22 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 20, 2021, 6:06 PM EDT (22:06 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 21, 2021, 1:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 94 counties
Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Noble County, IN, Parke County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Henry County, OH, Huron County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH
The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 6:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall | 51 min |
| Jun 20, 6:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph | 26 min |
| Jun 20, 6:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Marshall, Starke | 22 min |
| Jun 20, 6:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Berrien, Cass | 28 min |
| Jun 20, 7:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Van Buren | 55 min |
| Jun 20, 7:07 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph | 23 min |
| Jun 20, 7:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Elkhart, LaGrange, Noble | 41 min |
| Jun 20, 7:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Hillsdale | 31 min |
| Jun 20, 7:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IND | Boone, Hamilton, Marion | 25 min |
| Jun 20, 7:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Allen, DeKalb | 10 min |
| Jun 20, 7:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Hillsdale | 26 min |
| Jun 20, 7:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo, Van Buren | 64 min |
| Jun 20, 7:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Branch, Saint Joseph | 32 min |
| Jun 20, 8:11 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Branch, Saint Joseph | 37 min |
| Jun 20, 8:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Calhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 8:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Fulton | 32 min |
| Jun 20, 8:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Lenawee | 67 min |
| Jun 20, 8:57 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Hillsdale | 33 min |
| Jun 20, 9:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Monroe | 58 min |
| Jun 20, 9:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Wayne | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 9:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Defiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams | 47 min |
| Jun 20, 9:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Livingston, Shiawassee | 44 min |
| Jun 20, 9:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Branch, Hillsdale | 52 min |
| Jun 20, 9:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Lenawee, Monroe, Washtenaw, Wayne | 63 min |
| Jun 20, 9:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Fulton, Henry | 34 min |
| Jun 20, 9:57 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Branch, Hillsdale | 33 min |
| Jun 20, 10:02 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CLE | Lucas, Wood | 46 min |
| Jun 20, 10:15 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | IWX | Branch, Hillsdale | 45 min |
| Jun 20, 10:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Oakland | 41 min |
| Jun 20, 10:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Lenawee | 61 min |
| Jun 20, 11:39 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | DeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben | 22 min |
| Jun 21, 12:37 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Berrien | 38 min |
| Jun 21, 12:38 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Van Buren | 67 min |
| Jun 21, 12:47 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | LaPorte, Saint Joseph | 43 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 46 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -265 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 737 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 77 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
The text
As transmitted.
516 WWUS20 KWNS 202205 SEL5 SPC WW 202205 INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-210500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 295 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Northern Indiana Southern Lower Michigan Northern Ohio Lake Erie * Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 605 PM until 100 AM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to intensify, initially across northern/central Indiana early this evening. Some supercell storms are possible, with storms otherwise organize into clusters and bands capable of damaging winds and severe hail. A low tornado risk could also materialize as low-level winds increase later this evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of Lafayette IN to 30 miles east southeast of Mount Clemens MI. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 293...WW 294... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 25025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 8:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, Clinton and 30 more | 91 min |
| Jun 19, 8:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Allen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton and 14 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 20, 11:57 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Warren | 2 hr |
| Jun 20, 4:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Cass, Clinton, Elkhart, Fountain and 20 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.