Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 295

June 20, 202144 counties in Indiana; 28 counties in Michigan; 22 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2021, 6:06 PM EDT for 44 counties in Indiana; 28 counties in Michigan; 22 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2021, 6:06 PM EDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2021, 1:00 AM EDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 94 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clinton County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Noble County, IN, Parke County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI, Allen County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Erie County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Henry County, OH, Huron County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 6:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, Marshall51 min
Jun 20, 6:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph26 min
Jun 20, 6:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXMarshall, Starke22 min
Jun 20, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien, Cass28 min
Jun 20, 7:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren55 min
Jun 20, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, Kosciusko, Marshall, Saint Joseph23 min
Jun 20, 7:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXElkhart, LaGrange, Noble41 min
Jun 20, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale31 min
Jun 20, 7:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBoone, Hamilton, Marion25 min
Jun 20, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXAllen, DeKalb10 min
Jun 20, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale26 min
Jun 20, 7:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRAllegan, Barry, Calhoun, Kalamazoo, Van Buren64 min
Jun 20, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Saint Joseph32 min
Jun 20, 8:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Saint Joseph37 min
Jun 20, 8:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun, Eaton, Ingham, Jackson63 min
Jun 20, 8:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton32 min
Jun 20, 8:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee67 min
Jun 20, 8:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXHillsdale33 min
Jun 20, 9:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMonroe58 min
Jun 20, 9:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWayne63 min
Jun 20, 9:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDefiance, Fulton, Henry, Williams47 min
Jun 20, 9:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston, Shiawassee44 min
Jun 20, 9:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch, Hillsdale52 min
Jun 20, 9:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee, Monroe, Washtenaw, Wayne63 min
Jun 20, 9:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXFulton, Henry34 min
Jun 20, 9:57 PM EDTTornado Warning Tornado observedIWXBranch, Hillsdale33 min
Jun 20, 10:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCLELucas, Wood46 min
Jun 20, 10:15 PM EDTTornado WarningIWXBranch, Hillsdale45 min
Jun 20, 10:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland41 min
Jun 20, 10:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee61 min
Jun 20, 11:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXDeKalb, LaGrange, Noble, Steuben22 min
Jun 21, 12:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBerrien38 min
Jun 21, 12:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren67 min
Jun 21, 12:47 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXLaPorte, Saint Joseph43 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 195 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 46 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
46 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-265 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
737 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

516 
WWUS20 KWNS 202205
SEL5  
SPC WW 202205
INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-LEZ000-210500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 295
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
605 PM EDT Sun Jun 20 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central and Northern Indiana
  Southern Lower Michigan
  Northern Ohio
  Lake Erie

* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 605 PM
  until 100 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to intensify, initially
across northern/central Indiana early this evening. Some supercell
storms are possible, with storms otherwise organize into clusters
and bands capable of damaging winds and severe hail. A low tornado
risk could also materialize as low-level winds increase later this
evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Lafayette IN to 30 miles east southeast of Mount Clemens MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 293...WW 294...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 8:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Blackford, Carroll, Cass, Clinton and 30 more91 min
Jun 19, 8:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allen, Cass, DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton and 14 more3 hr
Jun 20, 11:57 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Warren2 hr
Jun 20, 4:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll, Cass, Clinton, Elkhart, Fountain and 20 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.