Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 162
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 10, 2021, 1:48 PM CDT for 20 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 10, 2021, 1:48 PM CDT (18:48 UTC)
- Expired
- May 11, 2021, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 4 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Frio County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Real County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 70%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Real | 46 min |
| May 10, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr, Real | 37 min |
| May 10, 4:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble | 59 min |
| May 10, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard | 57 min |
| May 10, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch, Mason, Menard | 24 min |
| May 10, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Val Verde | 60 min |
| May 10, 6:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Val Verde | 58 min |
| May 10, 6:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Dimmit, Maverick, Zavala | 61 min |
| May 10, 7:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards | 16 min |
| May 10, 7:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Sutton | 37 min |
| May 10, 8:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Maverick, Real, Uvalde, Zavala | 54 min |
| May 10, 8:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Kinney, Uvalde | 16 min |
| May 10, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Kinney, Medina, Real and 1 more | 62 min |
| May 10, 9:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Uvalde | 53 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2989 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -152 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 828 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 151 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 205 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 4.7
The text
As transmitted.
174
WWUS20 KWNS 101846
SEL2
SPC WW 101846
TXZ000-110300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 162
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 PM CDT Mon May 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of the Edwards Plateua and south central Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 4
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorm development is expected from about
2-3pm CDT along a slow-moving front, and additional severe storms
will form in Mexico and cross the border later this
afternoon/evening. The storm environment favors splitting
supercells capable of producing very large to giant hail (3-4+"
diameter), damaging gusts, and possibly an isolated tornado. Some
clustering of storms may occur later this evening, which would be
accompanied by an increase in the threat for damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Junction TX to 75 miles southeast of Del Rio TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...ThompsonSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 8:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet, Comal and 32 more | 114 min |
| May 10, 10:28 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Delta, Fannin, Grayson, Lamar, Red River | 92 min |
| May 10, 1:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Terrell, Val Verde | 116 min |
| May 10, 2:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Grimes, Houston, Madison, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity and 2 more | 113 min |
| May 10, 5:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazos, Grimes, Jasper, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto and 2 more | 88 min |
| May 10, 6:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bee, Dimmit, Duval, Jim Wells, La Salle, Live Oak and 2 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.