Alert archive / South Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 493

May 3, 20215 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 3, 2021, 2:42 PM EDT for 5 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 63 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2021, 2:42 PM EDT (18:42 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2021, 3:45 PM EDT
In force
63 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 129

Counties Abbeville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Union County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Charleston AFB, SC (KCHS), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1333 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Charleston AFB, SC at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 128 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1333 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
765 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.9
Supercell composite
5.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

269 
ACUS11 KWNS 031843
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031842 
SCZ000-031945-

Mesoscale Discussion 0493
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0142 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021

Areas affected...northern South Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 129...

Valid 031842Z - 031945Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 129 continues.

SUMMARY...Greatest short-term threat for tornadoes is expected to
remain across northern South Carolina through.

DISCUSSION...A couple of supercells with persistent strong low-level
mesocyclones and history of tornadoes have crossed into western
South Carolina. These storms are moving east near 30 kt along a
stalled boundary. Effective bulk shear around 45 kt remains
favorable for supercells. Tendency has been for near surface winds
to veer to southwesterly with time which has reduced the size of 0-2
km hodographs in the moist warm sector. This suggests greatest
near-term tornado threat will probably remain with storms moving
east and interacting with the boundary where augmented low-level
shear/vorticity resides.

..Dial.. 05/03/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   34378267 34608200 34818150 34498123 34238151 33998234
            34378267

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 1:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAbbeville, Chester, Edgefield, Fairfield, Greenwood, Laurens and 4 more87 min
May 3, 1:25 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAbbeville, Aiken, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Chester and 18 more6 hr
May 3, 4:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Calhoun, Clarendon and 11 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.