Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 491

May 3, 202136 counties in Georgia; 10 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 3, 2021, 1:03 PM EDT for 36 counties in Georgia; 10 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 87 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2021, 1:03 PM EDT (17:03 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2021, 2:30 PM EDT
In force
87 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 127
All 46 counties

Barrow County, GA, Butts County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Cobb County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Coweta County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Madison County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Paulding County, GA, Pike County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Abbeville County, SC, Chester County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lexington County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Saluda County, SC

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 5.1 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 674 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
674 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
671 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
4.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

640 
ACUS11 KWNS 031704
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031703 
SCZ000-GAZ000-031830-

Mesoscale Discussion 0491
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1203 PM CDT Mon May 03 2021

Areas affected...north central Georgia into northern and central
South Carolina

Concerning...Tornado Watch 127...

Valid 031703Z - 031830Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 127 continues.

SUMMARY...Threat for isolated tornadoes will persist another couple
hours over north central Georgia. Severe threat is expected to
develop eastward into northern and central South Carolina this
afternoon where another WW will be needed soon.

DISCUSSION...Storms continue developing along several east-west
oriented boundaries across north central GA where the environment
remains favorable for occasional supercells with low-level
mesocyclones and isolated tornadoes. The atmosphere is destabilizing
from the southwest across central and north central GA into central
SC. Low-level hodographs will remain sufficient for supercells with
isolated tornadoes as the low-level jet continues to shift northeast
through northern GA and into western and central SC while the
atmospheres destabilize from the south and west.

..Dial/Grams.. 05/03/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   34158467 34298266 34978087 33738126 32918405 33368500
            33888517 34158467

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 10:04 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarrow, Butts, Carroll, Clayton, Cobb, Coweta and 15 more86 min
May 3, 10:29 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bartow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll and 45 more5 hr
May 3, 11:20 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClayton, DeKalb, Gwinnett, Rockdale55 min
May 3, 1:25 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBurke, Columbia, Elbert, Lincoln, McDuffie, Richmond6 hr
May 3, 3:05 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll, Chattahoochee and 36 more55 min
May 3, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaldwin, Barrow, Bibb, Butts, Carroll, Chattahoochee and 55 more6 hr
May 3, 4:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRichmond94 min
May 3, 5:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Bibb, Butts, Calhoun, Carroll, Chattahoochee and 45 more90 min
May 3, 2:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAbbeville, Greenwood, Laurens, Newberry, Union63 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.