Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Springfield, MO

July 16, 2021Cherokee County, Kansas

NWS Springfield, MO issued this special weather statement at Jul 16, 2021, 1:59 AM CDT for Cherokee County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2021, 1:59 AM CDT (06:59 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2021, 2:45 AM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO

County Cherokee County, KS

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 92 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1362 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 77 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1362 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1225 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
77 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
112 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 15, 11:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 11:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1151 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

Have started to see an uptick in convection this past hour from
southeast KS into west central MO where mlcape of 2000 j/kg
exists. Sfc front that extends roughly from southeast IA to
northern KS and will gradually moves southeast this evening. Low
level convergence along the front will increase as 925/850mb sw
flow strengthens over eastern KS/western MO this evening.
Initially, with stronger instability present this evening, some
stronger/severe storms/wind gusts will be possible with general
0-6km bulk shear of 20-30kts. Some wsw-ene training of storms with
pwats of near 2.0 inches will support flash flood potential as
well in the northwest cwfa. Will monitor for potential further
hydro watches/warnings.

Diffuse sfc front will continue to move south into
central/southern MO Friday as a positively tilted shortwave axis
moves through. Looks like heavier rain will gradually shift
south/southeast with time. Cooler temperatures/cloud cover should
limit overall severe potential and heavier rain by afternoon.
Clouds/rain should keep temperatures cool with many areas staying
in the 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 238 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

Frontal zone will gradually become nw-se oriented over eastern KS
into northern AR and high rain chances will be tied to that
boundary over the weekend. Best chances for rain will be over the
southwest and southern portion of the cwfa. Overall, heavy rain
and severe potential looks limited or nil. Cooler and drier
weather is then expected Tuesday-Thursday with high pressure over
the Midwest.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

Convection will continue to shift southeast into the forecast area
overnight and into Friday morning and affecting all 3 TAF sites.
Have thunderstorm chances through about midday Friday. Do have
MVFR and IFR conditions within the convection but should go back
into VFR by the mid afternoon on Friday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for MOZ066-077-088-
     093-101.

KS...Flash Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Lindenberg
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 7:25 PM CDT, 6 hours 34 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
725 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
725 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Some strong to possibly severe storms will be possible this evening,
mainly along and north of the Interstate 44 corridor. Damaging
wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the main severe weather risk.

Heavy rain will be possible with any thunderstorm across the area.
Some thunderstorms will move or train repeatedly across the same
locations with the chance of localized excessive rain leading to
flash flooding. The best chances for heavy rain tonight will be
from southeast Kansas and far southwest Missouri into central
Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorm chances will continue across the area on Friday with
only a limited chance for stronger storms.

A few storms may affect parts of the area over the weekend but
severe weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Ungar

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 16, 1:59 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
159 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

KSZ101-160745-
Cherokee KS-
159 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY UNTIL
245 AM CDT...

At 159 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chetopa, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Baxter Springs...                 Columbus...
Galena...                         Lowell...
Treece...                         Neutral...
Melrose...                        Riverton...
Faulkner...                       Crestline...

This includes Interstate 44 near mile marker 0.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 9462 3700 9462 3700 9507 3713 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 262DEG 33KT 3702 9519

Wise

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 8:58 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFVernon5 days
Jul 15, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Jasper51 min
Jul 15, 11:29 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFSt. Clair9 days
Jul 15, 11:45 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFVernon5 days
Jul 16, 12:54 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFDallas, Laclede, Polk, Webster97 min
Jul 16, 1:14 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFVernon26 min
Jul 16, 1:35 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFCedar8 hr
Jul 16, 1:40 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFVernon15 hr
Jul 16, 2:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFVernon6 hr
Jul 16, 2:31 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Polk, Webster8 hr
Jul 16, 2:59 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFBarton, Vernon14 hr
Jul 16, 4:39 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFBates, Vernon39 hr
Jul 16, 4:53 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFCamden, Cedar, Dade, Dallas, Hickory, Polk and 2 more6 hr
Jul 16, 5:28 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFBarton, Jasper8 hr
Jul 16, 7:12 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFMcDonald3 hr
Jul 15, 11:46 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFBourbon37 hr
Jul 16, 2:22 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisorySGFCherokee, Crawford37 min
Jul 16, 3:08 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningSGFBourbon47 hr
Jul 16, 4:21 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementSGFCherokee39 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.