Areal Flood Warning 70, NWS Springfield, MO

921 
WGUS43 KSGF 161011
FLWSGF

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Springfield MO
511 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

MOC059-105-167-225-161600-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FA.W.0070.000000T0000Z-210716T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Dallas MO-Laclede MO-Polk MO-Webster MO-
511 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Springfield has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Southern Dallas County in southwestern Missouri...
  Western Laclede County in southwestern Missouri...
  Southeastern Polk County in southwestern Missouri...
  Northern Webster County in southwestern Missouri...

* Until 1100 AM CDT.

* At 511 AM CDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to 
  thunderstorms. Flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly in 
  the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have fallen.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Lebanon, Conway, Pleasant Hope, Morgan, Phillipsburg, Twin 
  Bridges, Long Lane and Rader.

This includes the following low water crossings...
  Osage Fork at Auburn Road, Osage Fork at Highway J, North Cobb 
  Creek at Highway B, Niangua River at Highway Y and North Cobb 
  Creek at Ripley Drive.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Many flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3755 9334 3781 9245 3750 9242 3748 9251
      3748 9269 3743 9270 3741 9307 3743 9328

$$

EW

862 
WGUS83 KSGF 161559
FLSSGF

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1059 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

MOC059-105-167-225-161609-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FA.W.0070.000000T0000Z-210716T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Dallas MO-Laclede MO-Polk MO-Webster MO-
1059 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR SOUTHERN 
DALLAS, WESTERN LACLEDE, SOUTHEASTERN POLK AND NORTHERN WEBSTER 
COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended and water levels have are either remaining 
below flood stage or have already crested and are receding. Flooding 
is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed 
remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3755 9334 3781 9245 3750 9242 3748 9251
      3748 9269 3743 9270 3741 9307 3743 9328

$$

Rothstein

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
230 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

Convection with very heavy rainfall was occurring mainly northwest
of the I44 corridor so far tonight. Several places have received
over 3 inches of rain so far where storms have trained across the
same location. An upper level shortwave, weak surface front
southwest-northeast oriented low level jet and PW values of 2.0+
in. were all over the region contributing to the training of
storms, heavy rain and likely flooding.

The upper level trough will shift east across the forecast area
this morning and the heavy rain axis will slide southeast during
the remainder of the overnight hours through Friday morning, with
the highest concentration of heavy rain over the southwest corner
of the CWA. The flash flood watch remains in effect through 18z
for the western two tiers of our counties. A few strong storms may
produce wind gusts up to 50 mph.

Some scattered redevelopment will be possible this afternoon behind
the main convection which will linger into the evening.

A weak front will linger over southern MO through Saturday which
will keep a risk of scattered convection, mainly over the southern
portion of the forecast area.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 230 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

The front will move into northern AR on Saturday night but could
see some lingering convection over southern MO into Sunday.

On Sunday night, an upper level system will begin to track south
over central and eastern KS with an upper low eventually closing
off southwest of us Monday night into Tuesday. This low will then
begin to retrograde westward and undercut a highly amplified ridge
through the end of the period. While this is occurring, surface
high pressure will build into the area bringing a drier air mass
into the area for the middle portion of next week. Temperatures
will generally be in the low to mid 80s for highs, but could get
in the upper 80s to around 90 by next Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1148 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

Convection will continue to shift southeast into the forecast area
overnight and into Friday morning and affecting all 3 TAF sites.
Have thunderstorm chances through about midday Friday. Do have
MVFR and IFR conditions within the convection but should go back
into VFR by the mid afternoon on Friday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for MOZ066-077-
     088-093-101.

KS...Flash Flood Watch until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for KSZ073-097-
     101.

&&

SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
725 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170030-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
725 PM CDT Thu Jul 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Limited thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Limited flooding risk.
  Significant lightning risk.

DISCUSSION...

Some strong to possibly severe storms will be possible this evening,
mainly along and north of the Interstate 44 corridor. Damaging
wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the main severe weather risk.

Heavy rain will be possible with any thunderstorm across the area.
Some thunderstorms will move or train repeatedly across the same
locations with the chance of localized excessive rain leading to
flash flooding. The best chances for heavy rain tonight will be
from southeast Kansas and far southwest Missouri into central
Missouri.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorm chances will continue across the area on Friday with
only a limited chance for stronger storms.

A few storms may affect parts of the area over the weekend but
severe weather is not expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/sitrep

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

Ungar

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Springfield MO
159 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

KSZ101-160745-
Cherokee KS-
159 AM CDT Fri Jul 16 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN CHEROKEE COUNTY UNTIL
245 AM CDT...

At 159 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Chetopa, moving east at 40 mph.

Wind gusts up to 40 to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Baxter Springs...                 Columbus...
Galena...                         Lowell...
Treece...                         Neutral...
Melrose...                        Riverton...
Faulkner...                       Crestline...

This includes Interstate 44 near mile marker 0.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3720 9462 3700 9462 3700 9507 3713 9507
TIME...MOT...LOC 0659Z 262DEG 33KT 3702 9519

Wise