Alert archive / Missouri / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021
Areal Flood Warning 81, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this areal flood warning at Dec 18, 2021, 8:36 AM CST for Howell County, Oregon County, Missouri. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 18, 2021, 8:36 AM CST (14:36 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 18, 2021, 9:00 PM CST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 166 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 2.6 hours before the alert went out and 193 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 616 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 79 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -140 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Dec 18, 5:39 AM CST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 18, 5:39 AM CST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Springfield MO 539 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021 ...AVIATION UPDATE... Key Messages: 1. Cooler through Sunday night, then trending increasingly above normal. 2. Dry through the next 7 days and probably through the end of the month. .SHORT TERM...(Today through Sunday night) Issued at 214 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021 Rain will continue to exit the area early this morning as a cold front moves through. Clouds will linger across much of the area today as an upper trough moves into the area. Temperatures will be just a little below normal through Sunday night. Highs today and Sunday will be in the low to mid 40s while lows tonight and Sunday night will be in the upper teens to mid 20s. Overnight winds will be light so wind chills will not be a factor in most locations. Normal highs for SGF are in the mid 40s and normal lows are in the mid 20s. .LONG TERM...(Monday through Friday) Issued at 214 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021 Long story short in the long range is that it will be dry with above normal temperatures over at least the next week and probably through the end of the month. Precipitation chances through the end of the month: Looking at ECMWF, GEFS, and GEPS ensemble probabilities of >0.1" of rain in any 24 hour period, the highest values through the end of the month are generally around 20%. Most time frames are 10% or less. This is backed up by CPC outlooks showing preference for below normal precipitation. Temperatures through the end of the month: Great agreement between ensemble systems showing increasing positive temperature anomalies through the end of next week, then continued positive values through the end of the month. This is backed up by CPC outlooks showing preference for above normal temperatures. More specifically, Monday and Tuesday will see highs around 50, gradually increasing into the 60s by next weekend. Lows increase from the 20s Monday night to the 40s by the weekend. && .AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning) Issued at 537 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021 Rain has ended at all TAF sites, with no rain expected through at least the next week. At KJLN, low clouds have scattered out, which will also occur at KSGF and KBBG in the next few hours. && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. && SHORT TERM...Titus LONG TERM...Titus AVIATION...Titus
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 18, 3:00 AM CST, 5 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Springfield MO 300 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-190900- Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon- St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas- Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton- Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone- Taney-Ozark-Oregon- 300 AM CST Sat Dec 18 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight. Weather hazards expected... Limited flooding risk. DISCUSSION... Flooding will be continue to be possible over far southern Missouri into this morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed through tonight. && More detailed information can be accessed at: http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket This product in graphical format...along with other weather... hydrological and climate information...at http://www.weather.gov/sgf Titus
In the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 18, 7:16 AM CST, 1 hour 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
716 AM CST SAT DEC 18 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN 1 WNW KIRBYVILLE 36.63N 93.18W
12/18/2021 M4.19 INCH TANEY MO COCORAHS
24 HOUR RAINFALL. COCORAHS STATION MO-TY1.
&&
TITUSLocal storm report, Dec 18, 7:30 AM CST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
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</html>Local storm report, Dec 18, 7:33 AM CST, 1 hour 3 minutes before
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</html>The office that day
Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 6:10 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Douglas, Ozark, Taney | 5 hr |
| Dec 17, 6:42 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Barry | 4 hr |
| Dec 17, 7:58 PM CST | River Flood Warning | SGF | Pulaski | 43 hr |
| Dec 17, 8:08 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Howell, Texas | 6 hr |
| Dec 17, 8:40 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | SGF | McDonald | 13 hr |
| Dec 17, 9:25 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Shannon | 5 hr |
| Dec 17, 10:58 PM CST | Areal Flood Warning | SGF | Christian, Douglas, Ozark, Stone, Taney | 22 hr |
| Dec 18, 2:00 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Shannon, Texas | 19 hr |
| Dec 18, 3:10 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Howell, Oregon, Ozark | 7 hr |
| Dec 18, 3:49 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | SGF | Barry, Christian, McDonald, Stone | 3 hr |
| Dec 18, 7:08 AM CST | River Flood Warning | SGF | Shannon | 13 hr |
| Dec 18, 7:08 AM CST | River Flood Warning | SGF | Shannon | 12 hr |
| Dec 18, 7:16 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | SGF | Barry, Stone | 3 hr |
| Dec 18, 9:54 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | SGF | Barry | 8 hr |
| Dec 18, 9:59 AM CST | Areal Flood Warning | SGF | McDonald | 8 hr |
Nearby
Areal Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2021Every areal flood warning in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.