Alert archive / West Virginia / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021

Areal Flood Warning 12, NWS Charleston, WV

February 28, 20219 counties in West Virginia

NWS Charleston, WV issued this areal flood warning at Feb 28, 2021, 5:55 PM EST for 9 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 36 hr. 12 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2021, 5:55 PM EST (22:55 UTC)
Expired
Mar 2, 2021, 6:00 AM EST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Charleston, WV
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Barbour County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Clay County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Nicholas County, WV, Pocahontas County, WV, Randolph County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Webster County, WV

The radar

The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Mar 1, 3:27 AM ESTFLOODMarlinton, WVMARLINTON EVACUATED DUE TO GREENBRIER RIVER GOING INTO FLOOD. FIRST AVENUE THROUGH 5TH AVENUE AND EIGHTH AND NINETH STREET IN MARLINTON. SOME PEOPLE IN NEARBY GREENVIEW EVACUATED ALONG SPRUCE RIVER ABOUT AN HOUR EARLIER. NAPPS CREEK FLOODED BETWEEN MARLINTON A
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD11 Nnw Snowshoe, WVVALLEY FORK ROAD IN THE VALLEY HEAD AREA CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD1 E Mill Creek, WVBACK ROAD TO MILL CREEK CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD1 W Beverly, WVGEORGETOWN ROAD NEAR BEVERLY CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD2 E Marlinton, WVWV-39 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD2 Ese Mill Creek, WVDRY RUN ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD2 N Elkins, WVLAUREL MOUNTAIN ROAD IN THE CRYSTAL SPRINGS AREA CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD3 Nne Elkins, WVGILMAN ROAD IN GILMAN AREA CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:00 AM ESTFLOOD4 Nne Harman, WVRED CREEK ROAD IN THE HARMAN AREA CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 9:01 AM ESTFLOOD3 Ene Mill Creek, WVSEVERAL SECONDARY ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO FLOODING. BACK ROAD (MILL CREEK), DRY RUN ROAD (MILL CREEK), BACK ROAD (DAILEY), SCOTTS LAKE, LAUREL MT. ROAD (CRYSTAL SPRINGS SIDE).
Mar 1, 10:40 AM ESTFLOOD2 Nne Junior, WVRIVER RD. ALONG THE TYGART FROM JUNIOR TO BELINGTON AFFECTED BY HIGH WATER.
Mar 1, 10:45 AM ESTFLOOD8 Nnw Snowshoe, WVHOLLY BUSH ROAD CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Roanoke, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 419 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
506 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
419 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
497 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

188 
WGUS41 KRLX 282255
FLWRLX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
555 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-011045-
/O.NEW.KRLX.FA.W.0012.210228T2255Z-210301T1045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
555 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Charleston has issued a

* Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Braxton County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Clay County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Barbour County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Pocahontas County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Randolph County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Southern Upshur County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Webster County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Northeastern Fayette County in southeastern West Virginia...
  Nicholas County in southeastern West Virginia...

* Until 545 AM EST Monday.

* At 555 PM EST, Doppler radar indicated persistent light to 
  moderate rain. Flooding is ongoing or expected to begin in the 
  warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen. Melting 
  snow from the highest peaks of the northeast mountains will 
  contribute to the rainfall, and strong rises and flooding is 
  expected on area streams, creeks, and rivers. Low lying and poor 
  drainage areas are expected to experience high water issues as 
  well.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible in the 
warned area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are 
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded 
roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

26
7 follow-up statements
899 
WGUS41 KRLX 011008
FLWRLX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
508 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-011500-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210301T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
508 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Charleston has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Braxton County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Clay County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Barbour County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Pocahontas County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Randolph County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Southern Upshur County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Webster County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Northeastern Fayette County in southeastern West Virginia...
  Nicholas County in southeastern West Virginia...

* Until 1000 AM EST.

* At 508 AM EST, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicate 
  heavy rain fell across the warned area. Flooding is ongoing.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are possible in the 
warned area. Melting out of the higher terrain is also contributing 
to rises on creeks and streams in this area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay away or be swept away. River banks and culverts can become 
unstable and unsafe.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

JP
333 
WGUS41 KRLX 011339
FLWRLX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
839 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-011700-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210301T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
839 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Charleston has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Braxton County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Clay County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Barbour County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Pocahontas County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Randolph County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Southern Upshur County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Webster County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Northeastern Fayette County in southeastern West Virginia...
  Nicholas County in southeastern West Virginia...

* Until noon EST.

* At 839 AM EST, Flooding continues across much of the warned area 
  with creeks, streams, and even main stem rivers experiencing 
  significant rises. Many roadways remain closed due to high water. 
  The high water levels will persist through the morning.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

HART
150 
WGUS81 KRLX 011553
FLSRLX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1053 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-011700-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210301T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
1053 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN BRAXTON, SOUTHEASTERN CLAY, SOUTHEASTERN BARBOUR, 
POCAHONTAS, RANDOLPH, SOUTHERN UPSHUR, WEBSTER, NORTHEASTERN FAYETTE 
AND NICHOLAS COUNTIES...

At 1053 AM EST, Flooding continues across much of the warned area 
with creeks, streams, and even main stem rivers experiencing 
significant rises. Many roadways remain closed due to high water. 
The high water levels will persist through the morning.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

HART
271 
WGUS41 KRLX 011653
FLWRLX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1153 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-020300-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210302T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
1153 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Charleston has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Braxton County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Clay County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Barbour County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Pocahontas County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Randolph County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Southern Upshur County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Webster County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Northeastern Fayette County in southeastern West Virginia...
  Nicholas County in southeastern West Virginia...

* Until 1000 PM EST Monday.

* At 1153 AM EST, Flooding, significant in many areas, persists 
  across the area. Many roads remain closed as a result, especially 
  secondary roads. Despite rain having ended, flood waters will 
  remain high for much of the remainder of the day. In addition, 
  flood waters along many creeks, streams, and rivers remain high. 
  Do not cross flooded roadways.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

HART
157 
WGUS81 KRLX 011834
FLSRLX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
134 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-020300-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210302T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
134 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN BRAXTON, SOUTHEASTERN CLAY, SOUTHEASTERN BARBOUR, 
POCAHONTAS, RANDOLPH, SOUTHERN UPSHUR, WEBSTER, NORTHEASTERN FAYETTE 
AND NICHOLAS COUNTIES...

At 134 PM EST, Flooding, significant in many areas, persists across 
the area. Many roads remain closed as a result, especially secondary 
roads. Despite rain having ended, flood waters will remain high for 
much of the remainder of the day. In addition, flood waters along 
many creeks, streams, and rivers remain high. Do not cross flooded 
roadways.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

HART
584 
WGUS41 KRLX 020230
FLWRLX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Charleston WV
930 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-021100-
/O.EXT.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210302T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
930 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

The National Weather Service in Charleston has extended the

* Flood Warning for...
  Southeastern Braxton County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Clay County in north central West Virginia...
  Southeastern Barbour County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Pocahontas County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Randolph County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Southern Upshur County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Webster County in northeastern West Virginia...
  Northeastern Fayette County in southeastern West Virginia...
  Nicholas County in southeastern West Virginia...

* Until 600 AM EST Tuesday.

* At 930 PM EST, Flooding from heavy rains over the weekend remains 
  a widespread issue across the warned area. Area streams, creeks, 
  and rivers are still running very high and fast, and are in flood 
  in many cases. Along the mainstem rivers, backwater from the 
  feeder streams and creeks will be an issue well into Tuesday. Some 
  area river gages, however, are showing signs of water recession, 
  and most locations, if they have not crested already, should crest 
  overnight. Continue to heed road closures due to flooding.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
  Elkins, Summersville, Richwood, Marlinton, Webster Springs, Cass 
  Scenic Railroad, Greenbank, Belington, Addison (Webster Springs), 
  Mill Creek, Camden-On-gauley, Holly River State Park, Snowshoe, 
  Camden On Gauley, Dailey, Craigsville, Birch River, Mingo, Beverly 
  and Cowen.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Please report Severe Weather to the National Weather Service by 
calling toll free, 800 401 9535, when you can do so safely. You may 
also report severe weather by posting your report to the Charleston 
West Virginia National Weather Service Facebook Page, or by using 
the Twitter Hashtag, NWSRLX.

&&

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

26
796 
WGUS81 KRLX 021055
FLSRLX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
555 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

WVC001-007-015-019-067-075-083-097-101-021105-
/O.EXP.KRLX.FA.W.0012.000000T0000Z-210302T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Barbour WV-Braxton WV-Clay WV-Fayette WV-Nicholas WV-Pocahontas WV-
Randolph WV-Upshur WV-Webster WV-
555 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR 
SOUTHEASTERN BRAXTON, SOUTHEASTERN CLAY, SOUTHEASTERN BARBOUR, 
POCAHONTAS, RANDOLPH, SOUTHERN UPSHUR, WEBSTER, NORTHEASTERN FAYETTE 
AND NICHOLAS COUNTIES...

Flood waters have receded. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 3848 8086 3851 8091 3858 8081 3854 8065
      3877 8049 3873 8029 3913 7983 3904 7978
      3904 7979 3896 7935 3889 7952 3878 7951
      3836 7973 3806 7996 3805 8026 3827 8044
      3808 8071 3810 8088 3806 8080 3826 8124

$$

JP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Feb 28, 5:49 PM EST, 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 5:49 PM EST, 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
549 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Threat of flooding continues tonight with periods of moderate
to heavy rainfall. Drier conditions arrive on Monday in the wake
of a cold front, then persisting through most of the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 540 PM Sunday...

The main forecast is on track and only modified POPs slightly to
better represent the current observations and trends. Also, held
a bit more cloud coverage for Monday afternoon as frontal
passage will be more of an anafrontal event.

As of 200 PM Sunday...

A warm front continues to march northward through the area this
afternoon with a plethora of Areal Flood Warnings in place in
response to periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. Local and
regional gages depict a swath of 1.5 to 2 inches has already
fallen along the I-64 corridor from eastern Kentucky into the
western portions of West Virginia, where the bulk of flooding
reports have occurred today. Many roads and highways are already
taking on high water issues in the forecast area, so continue to
heed caution if going out and about today.

An area of renewed precipitation rides in along the boundary and
further enhanced by jet dynamics aloft this evening, prompting
an additional 1 to 3 inches of rain across the area. Given the
overly saturated soil conditions already in place from the past
24 hours, most of the rain (and melting snowpack in the
mountains) will become runoff and hike up water levels of many
creeks, streams, and rivers, already noted by real-time river
gages. The Flood Watch remains in effect through the course of
the overnight period for this reason along with the individual
Areal and River Flood Warnings already in place.

To top it all off, warm air advection and breaks in cloud cover
in the southern extent of the forecast area could prompt a few
thunderstorms to sprout this afternoon along the frontal
boundary. Latest obs in southwest Virginia and southern West
Virginia show temperatures outside of the rain shield have
reached the upper 60s. This trend could continue up into the
Charleston metro area, establishing a local unstable
environment that will have to be monitored this evening when
renewed precipitation ushers in from the Tennessee Valley.

A cold front will drive through the area overnight into Monday
morning, which will provide one last shot, albeit short given
its progressive nature, of rain for the first half of Monday.
The chance for precip will quickly diminish from west to east
after daybreak and finally conclude along the higher terrain,
potentially as a combination of rain and snow showers, by the
afternoon. Lingering low level moisture will keep
stratus/stratocu over much of the area Monday before a
reinforcing cold front drops down along the parent upper level
low overnight Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 200 PM Sunday...

Upper level low pressure swings through the Upper Great Lakes
late Monday afternoon and drives a reinforcing cold front
through the forecast area. This will establish much drier
conditions to take hold through the period and much of the work
week as well.

A weak southern stream system forming on the tail end of the
cold front emerges out of the GoM on Wednesday and grazes the
southern portions of the forecast area with a chance of rain and
snow showers, pending surface temperatures at the time of its
arrival. This feature appears to be fairly progressive, so
showers should be east of the Appalachians by Wednesday
afternoon. This will bring the return of quiet and dry weather
at the break point between the short and long term period.

Northwesterly flow in the wake of the secondary frontal passage
will cause morning temperatures to plummet into the 20s and that
appears to be the trend through the week. Given the flattened
upper level pattern and no signs of strong systems encroaching
the forecast area, very little change to the low level flow is
expected. Therefore, there will likely be very little
fluctuation in daily max/min temperatures through the extended
forecast.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 200 PM Sunday...

Arctic high pressure settles into the area by Thursday,
maintaining dry, but colder weather through the end of the
period. Subfreezing H85 temperatures suggest temperatures will
stay below their climatological norm for the first full week of
March.

Models for the back end of the work week suggest a southern
stream system attempting to reach the Central Appalachians by
Thursday, but upper level longwave troughing will shunt the bulk
of precipitation to our south, with perhaps only very light PoPs
sneaking into our southern zones.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 1245 PM Sunday...

Warm front lifting north through the area at the time of writing
has allowed for a few terminals (CRW, HTS, BKW) to break free of
flight restrictions for a fleeting moment this afternoon.
Otherwise, northern terminals will remain under the constraints
of a combination of vsbys/ceiling restrictions as the front and
its accompanying rain shield, heavy at times, continues its
northward progression.

All terminals return to IFR or worse overnight as a renewed area
of rain enters in from eastern Kentucky. Flight conditions
overnight will be bleak beneath low stratus holding dominance
overhead. Heavy rainfall will maintain low visibility at most,
if not all, sites through the predawn hours.

A cold front will cross through the region on Monday morning,
prompting one last shot of showers, but will prove to be more
progressive than its predecessors and quickly rid the area of
rain from west to east. By the conclusion of the current TAF
period, all sites outside of the mountains are expected to have
returned to VFR as drier air filters in from the west. For our
mountain terminals, lingering stratus/stratocu will hug the
higher terrain through the remainder of the day Monday, before a
reinforcing cold front dismisses loitering moisture overnight
into Tuesday.

Winds today will be primarily out of the south/southwest in
response to the warm front lifting north and could create a few
gusts at TAF sites as it passes through. Steady winds of 5-10
kts remain prevalent overnight out of the southwest, then veers
more westerly in the wake of the cold front by Monday afternoon.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Low to Medium.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Ceilings likely waver significantly during
periods of moderate to heavy rain through the overnight hours.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09
EST 1HRLY       17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    H    H    H    M    M    M    M    M    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    H    M    M    H    H    H    L    M    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    M    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    H    H    L    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 00Z TUESDAY...
No IFR conditions in the foreseeable future after Monday
afternoon.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flood Watch through Monday morning for WVZ005>008-013>020-
     024>034-039-040-515>526.
OH...Flood Watch through Monday morning for OHZ086-087.
KY...Flood Watch through Monday morning for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...Flood Watch through Monday morning for VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEK
NEAR TERM...JZ/MEK
SHORT TERM...MEK
LONG TERM...MEK
AVIATION...MEK
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 5:12 AM EST, 12 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston WV
512 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ086-087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>008-013>020-024>034-039-
040-515>526-011015-
Greenup-Carter-Boyd-Lawrence KY-Gallia-Lawrence OH-Dickenson-
Buchanan-Wayne-Cabell-Mason-Jackson WV-Lincoln-Putnam-Kanawha-Roane-
Wirt-Calhoun-Ritchie-Doddridge-Mingo-Logan-Boone-Clay-Braxton-Gilmer-
Lewis-Harrison-Taylor-McDowell-Wyoming-Upshur-Barbour-
Northwest Raleigh-Southeast Raleigh-Northwest Fayette-
Southeast Fayette-Northwest Nicholas-Southeast Nicholas-
Northwest Webster-Southeast Webster-Northwest Pocahontas-
Southeast Pocahontas-Northwest Randolph-Southeast Randolph-
512 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Kentucky, portions
of southeast Ohio, southwest Virginia and much of West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

OHZ075-076-083>085-WVZ009>011-011015-
Athens-Washington-Jackson OH-Vinton-Meigs-Wood-Pleasants-Tyler-
512 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast Ohio
and northern West Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

A low pressure system will bring rounds of rain today and tonight.
This will lead to strong rises of area creeks and rivers, which may
result in high water issues. Poor drainage flooding and hydroplaning
are also possible. This area is in a marginal to slight risk for
excessive rainfall today through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

OHZ066-067-011015-
Perry-Morgan-
512 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Perry and Morgan counties in
interior southeast Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

A low pressure system will bring rounds of rain today and tonight.
This could lead to rises of area creeks and rivers, which may result
in high water issues. Poor drainage flooding and hydroplaning are
also possible. This area is in a marginal risk for excessive rainfall
today through tonight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions by calling the toll-free spotter hotline, or by other
methods detailed at www.weather.gov/rlx/reports.

JP / TRM

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 28, 2:29 PM EST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
229 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1244 PM     FLOOD            ALBANY                  39.22N 82.20W
02/28/2021                   ATHENS             OH   PUBLIC

            PICTURES SUBMITTED OF SECONDARY ROADS
            FLOODED NEAR ALBANY.

&&

HART
Local storm report, Feb 28, 3:23 PM EST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
323 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     FLOOD            SR-850                  38.89N 82.30W
02/28/2021                   GALLIA             OH   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            SR850 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

HART
Local storm report, Feb 28, 3:24 PM EST, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
324 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     FLOOD            5 WNW CHESHIRE          38.98N 82.19W
02/28/2021                   GALLIA             OH   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE 554 CLOSED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS DUE TO
            FLOODING.

&&

HART
Local storm report, Feb 28, 3:25 PM EST, 2 hours 30 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
325 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     FLOOD            2 NW POMEROY            39.05N 82.06W
02/28/2021                   MEIGS              OH   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            SR 143 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

HART
Local storm report, Feb 28, 3:59 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
359 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0134 PM     FLOOD            RY 36 SSE SPENCER       38.79N 81.35W
02/28/2021                   ROANE              WV   PUBLIC

            RT 36 NEAR SPENCER FLOODED. NEARBY SIDEROADS
            WASHED OUT ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT DEBRIS.
            PICTURES SUBMITTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

HART
Local storm report, Feb 28, 4:10 PM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
410 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0349 PM     FLOOD            SPENCER                 38.80N 81.35W
02/28/2021                   ROANE              WV   PUBLIC

            PICTURES SUBMITTED OF FLOODING THROUGHOUT
            SPENCER. WATER APPROACHING SOME HOMES AND
            BUSINESSES.

&&

HART

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 5:02 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRLXWayne3 hr
Feb 28, 8:09 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXCabell, Kanawha, Lincoln, Putnam, Wayne5 hr
Feb 28, 8:46 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXCalhoun, Clay, Jackson, Kanawha, Roane5 hr
Feb 28, 9:10 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXCabell, Mason, Putnam, Wayne3 hr
Feb 28, 10:41 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXCalhoun, Gilmer33 hr
Feb 28, 10:42 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXCalhoun, Wirt33 hr
Feb 28, 11:24 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXJackson, Mason, Roane, Wirt, Wood59 hr
Feb 28, 11:30 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXMingo, Wayne61 hr
Feb 28, 11:53 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXMason4 days
Feb 28, 12:14 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXCabell, Jackson, Lincoln, Mason, Putnam, Wayne4 days
Feb 28, 12:18 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXCalhoun, Doddridge, Gilmer, Lewis, Pleasants, Ritchie and 1 more39 hr
Feb 28, 12:53 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningRLXMingo51 hr
Feb 28, 1:17 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBoone, Clay, Jackson, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan and 3 more47 hr
Feb 28, 1:45 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBarbour, Braxton, Harrison, Lewis, Taylor, Upshur31 hr
Feb 28, 4:25 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Logan, McDowell, Mingo and 3 more38 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in West Virginia, 2021Every areal flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.