Tornado Warning 39, NWS Paducah, KY

044 
WWUS53 KPAH 110346
SVSPAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
946 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

KYC083-110356-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-211211T0430Z/
Graves KY-
946 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GRAVES COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for western
Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3686 8846 3717 8804 3707 8797 3699 8790
      3680 8842
TIME...MOT...LOC 0346Z 237DEG 44KT 3687 8840 

$$

KYC139-143-157-110430-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-211211T0430Z/
Livingston KY-Marshall KY-Lyon KY-
946 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON...CENTRAL MARSHALL AND LYON COUNTIES...
        
At 946 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Benton, moving northeast at 50 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Eddyville around 1015 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Kuttawa and Grand Rivers.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 24 in Kentucky between Mile Markers 36 and 52.
 Interstate 69 in Kentucky between Mile Markers 38 and 48, and
between Mile Markers 68 and 73.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3686 8846 3717 8804 3707 8797 3699 8790
      3680 8842
TIME...MOT...LOC 0346Z 237DEG 44KT 3687 8840 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
MAX HAIL SIZE...2.00 IN

$$

PS

274 
WWUS53 KPAH 110403
SVSPAH

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
Issued by National Weather Service Springfield MO
1003 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

KYC157-110412-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-211211T0430Z/
Marshall KY-
1003 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL MARSHALL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out 
of the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM CST for western
Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3690 8818 3694 8819 3698 8824 3701 8826
      3717 8804 3707 8798 3699 8791 3689 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 232DEG 38KT 3697 8818 

$$

KYC139-143-110430-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-211211T0430Z/
Livingston KY-Lyon KY-
1003 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 PM CST FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON AND LYON COUNTIES...
        
At 1002 PM CST, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located 9 miles southwest of Eddyville, moving northeast at 45 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

The tornado will be near...
  Eddyville around 1015 PM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Kuttawa and Grand Rivers.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3690 8818 3694 8819 3698 8824 3701 8826
      3717 8804 3707 8798 3699 8791 3689 8817
TIME...MOT...LOC 0402Z 232DEG 38KT 3697 8818 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

Perez

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
630 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

.UPDATE...
Issued at 630 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

Updated aviation discussion.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Saturday night)
Issued at 1250 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

Shortwave energy out over the south central Plains will continue
ENE toward the area through sunset, and provide the initial focus
for scattered convection, especially from 4 or 5 pm to 7 p.m. The
short range hi-res guidance continues to be more and more bullish
on scattered severe storms, likely Supercells in some cases.
Looking at what the models are depicting, this event seems to
compare favorably to 2/28/17 and 11/17/13 (Perryville, Crossville
and Brookport). So the concern for significant severe including
strong tornadoes is elevated. The shear and instability are more
than adequate, and in some of the data, slightly stronger.
Anomalously high dew point air is over the area, serving to lower
LCL's coupled with increasing SRH and MLCAPE values over the next
several hours.

The activity will continue tonight, coming in a couple of rounds.
Scattered activity initially into the evening hours, that may be
followed by slightly more organization in a linear fashion toward
midnight and beyond (especially west KY). Outside of the
convection, we may see near Wind Advisory level winds at times,
SSW gusts 30 to 40 mph tonight. Will hold for now on a headline
given it's borderline and with all that's going on.

Precip will be mostly over by Saturday, with decreasing cloud
cover, and steady or falling temperatures (back into the 40s) in
the wake of a strong cold front.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 153 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

A large 500 mb ridge will encompass much of the central and eastern
US early next week. Dry conditions are expected through Wednesday,
with a slow warming trend. Highs will rise from around 50 on Sunday
to around 70 on Wednesday. The records for Wednesday may be
threatened, depending on how much if any sunshine occurs. The ecmwf
ensemble situational awareness table shows the ensemble mean max
temps for Wed are in the 99th percentile of the 20-year model
climate. The following are the records for Wed...

Record Highs for Wednesday:
PAH.. 71 (1984)
EVV.. 70 (1933)
CGI.. 69 (1984)
POF.. 73 (1933)
MDH.. 74 (1933)

Beyond Wednesday, a cold front will sag southeast across our region
as a 500 mb shortwave rides over the northern part of the ridge.
This cold front will be accompanied by a chance of showers. Some
thunder cannot be ruled out, but the system track will be far to our
north across Minnesota. 500 mb heights will remain anomalously high
even during and after the passage of the shortwave. The weakening
cold front will be weakening and slowing down, possibly stalling
just to our south Friday. There is really not a strong model signal
for significant rainfall, given the persistence of the sub-tropical
ridge over the southern half of the US.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 630 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

Scattered thunderstorms will continue to develop and move
northeastward this evening, especially across areas east of the MS
River. Some storms will likely be severe with damaging wind, hail,
and tornadoes a concern. The activity is expected to make better
progress east overnight just ahead of a cold front, which will be
moving through the region by around daybreak. Outside of the storms,
gusty south/southwest winds 15 to 20 kts with gusts to 30 knots or
more will be common tonight.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

Long Term...MY
AVIATION...DB

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
636 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-120045-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
636 PM CST Fri Dec 10 2021

...Organized Outbreak of Severe Thunderstorms and Tornadoes
Tonight...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Tornado Watches are in effect for western Kentucky, southeast
Missouri, southern Illinois, and southwest Indiana. Thunderstorms
are expected to increase in coverage and intensity through this
evening. The main hazards will be damaging winds and tornadoes,
including the potential for a couple of strong, destructive
tornadoes.

Numerous storms will continue through the overnight hours across
southwest Indiana and the rest of western Kentucky. Conditions will
be favorable for damaging winds and tornadoes along a broken line of
storms, and a couple long-track tornadoes are possible.

Outside of thunderstorms, strong gradient non-thunderstorm wind
gusts of 30 to 40 mph are possible into early Saturday morning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested.

MY/CN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
841 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     TORNADO          2 WSW CENTRAL CITY      37.29N 87.16W
12/10/2021                   MUHLENBERG         KY   STORM CHASER

            POWER FLASHES JUST NORTH OF THE WEST
            KENTUCKY PARKWAY JUST WEST OF CENTRAL CITY.
            POWER IS OUT.

&&

DWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
854 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0839 PM     TORNADO          1 SW CENTRAL CITY       37.28N 87.14W
12/10/2021                   MUHLENBERG         KY   STORM CHASER

            DEBRIS FROM HOMES AND BILLBOARDS ALONG THE
            WEST KENTUCKY PARKWAY JUST WEST OF CENTRAL
            CITY.

&&

DWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
904 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             4 S HICKMAN             36.51N 89.19W
12/10/2021  E1.75 INCH       FULTON             KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
906 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0901 PM     TORNADO          CAYCE                   36.56N 89.04W
12/10/2021                   FULTON             KY   AMATEUR RADIO

            DAMAGE REPORTED IN CAYCE TO A CAFE AND THE
            FIRE DEPARTMENT.

&&

DWS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
910 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     TORNADO          CENTRAL CITY            37.30N 87.13W
12/10/2021                   MUHLENBERG         KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DAMAGE TO HARDWARE STORE ON WEST EVERLY
            BROS. BLVD.

&&

ML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
918 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0915 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 WNW SCOTT CITY        37.23N 89.58W
12/10/2021  M58 MPH          SCOTT              MO   ASOS

            ASOS STATION KCGI CAPE GIRARDEAU MO.

&&

DWS