Alert archive / Kentucky / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Paducah, KY

May 6, 20215 counties in Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this special weather statement at May 6, 2021, 3:14 PM CDT for 5 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 6, 2021, 3:14 PM CDT (20:14 UTC)
Expired: May 6, 2021, 4:00 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY

Counties Caldwell County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Webster County, KY

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 155 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1719 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -90 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -71 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 6, 2:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 2:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 4 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
210 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

Approaching cold front now on doorstep of FA, setting off active
convection, strong-severe, across FA along/ahead of its approach.
There will continue to be a marginal to slight risk of severe as
the front approaches, with low topped supercells possible. With
freezing level near -8C and -20C level roughly 10K higher, large
hail also possible along with damaging wind gusts. Should be
short-lived during peak heating/tied to front.

Afterward, drier dew points sweep in, with potentially some 30s
dew points forecast thru tmrw. These will begin moderating again
by tmrw night as a warm frontal boundary returns to the area,
bringing the next chance of rain.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

The wet weekend signal is still there, but storm total qpf amounts
appear to be improving, as the heaviest qpf axis shifts north and
west of the FA. Still, with the warm front's lift across the area
Saturday, then warm sectoring Saturday night, ahead of the
approaching cold front Sunday (passage Sunday night), anticipate
gradual re-moistening/destabilizing environ with high pops
returning, including thunder chances. By the end of the weekend,
storm total average qpf in the 1 to 2 inch range seems likely.

Behind the cold fropa, a cooler than climo norm airmass settles
across the FA next week. 60s for highs and 40s for lows can be
expected each day. While spotty rain chances cannot be completely
ruled out any day, an early week drier, versus mid week wetter,
approach appears the most likely scenario given the synoptic scale
evolution from quasi zonal (early) to more amplified troffing
(mid-late) week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

Lower bases/cigs and potential thunderstorms with vsby
restrictions are anticipated at terminals, at least in vicinity
fashion if not categorical, thru late pm hours. A cold front's
passage will then end restrictions associated with frontal
convection, and improve skies overnight. Winds will shift to gusty
northwest behind the front, then wane as higher pressure moves
in/takes over, returning all Visual Flight Rules for the latter
half of the flight forecast package.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 12:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 25 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1249 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-071000-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-
White-Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-
Hardin-Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-
Warrick-Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-
Livingston-Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-
Union KY-Webster-Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-
Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-
Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
1249 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southern
Illinois, southwest Indiana, western Kentucky, and southeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible as a cold front makes
its approach and passage this afternoon. A Severe Thunderstorm
Watch is in effect until 6 PM CDT for much of the area. Refer to
the Watch for details.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

A chance of thunderstorms this weekend will bring heavy rain and
lightning as the primary storm associated hazards.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is requested this afternoon.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 6, 1:09 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
109 PM CDT THU MAY 6 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1256 PM     HAIL             NEELYVILLE              36.56N 90.51W
05/06/2021  M0.25 INCH       BUTLER             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZED HAIL REPORTED IN NEELYVILLE, MO BY
            A TRAINED SPOTTER. RELAYED BY EM.

&&

Local storm report, May 6, 1:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
137 PM CDT THU MAY 6 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0128 PM     HAIL             2 E POPLAR BLUFF        36.76N 90.37W
05/06/2021  M0.25 INCH       BUTLER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PEA SIZED HAIL IN AND AROUND POPLAR BLUFF
            FROM 128-130 PM CDT, REPORTED BY LOCAL LAW
            ENFORCEMENT, RELAYED BY EM.

&&

Special weather statement, May 6, 2:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
205 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

ILZ076>078-082-083-086-087-INZ081-085>087-KYZ010-018-061945-
White IL-Gallatin IL-Wayne IL-Saline IL-Edwards IL-Hamilton IL-
Wabash IL-Posey IN-Warrick IN-Vanderburgh IN-Gibson IN-Henderson KY-
Crittenden KY-
205 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WHITE...WAYNE...
WABASH...EDWARDS...SALINE...HAMILTON... GALLATIN...
WARRICK...GIBSON...VANDERBURGH...POSEY AND HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL
245 PM CDT...

At 203 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms just
west of a line extending from Albion Illinois to Crossville to
Eldorado. Movement was southeast at 45 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Evansville, Henderson, Princeton, Mount Carmel, Mount Vernon, Carmi,
and Eldorado.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for
southern, south central and southeastern Illinois...southwestern
Indiana...and western and northwestern Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3842 8774 3833 8740 3779 8747 3764 8761
      3764 8774 3739 8785 3739 8786 3765 8774
      3790 8793 3789 8793 3780 8791 3766 8816
      3749 8798 3748 8793 3746 8794 3785 8852
      3819 8819 3857 8813 3857 8793
TIME...MOT...LOC 1903Z 305DEG 40KT 3856 8808 3816 8812 3787 8839

York

Special weather statement, May 6, 2:41 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
241 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

ILZ078-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ014-018-062030-
Wabash IL-Posey IN-Warrick IN-Vanderburgh IN-Gibson IN-Spencer IN-
Pike IN-Henderson KY-Union KY-
241 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WABASH...WARRICK...
SPENCER...GIBSON...VANDERBURGH...POSEY...PIKE... HENDERSON AND UNION
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

At 240 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Mount Carmel to near Poseyville to 6
miles southeast of Shawneetown. Movement was east southeast at 40
mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Evansville, Henderson, Princeton, Mount Carmel, Mount Vernon,
Boonville, Newburgh, Morganfield, and Petersburg.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for
southern and southeastern Illinois...southwestern Indiana...and
western and northwestern Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3849 8769 3844 8763 3854 8743 3854 8710
      3787 8726 3788 8727 3782 8732 3777 8729
      3765 8750 3764 8773 3747 8798 3767 8815
      3808 8776 3846 8775 3842 8771 3846 8766
      3848 8775 3857 8774 3857 8765
TIME...MOT...LOC 1940Z 325DEG 33KT 3853 8770 3803 8772 3768 8806

York

Special weather statement, May 6, 2:56 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
256 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

KYZ006-008-009-011-012-062045-
Marshall KY-Calloway KY-Graves KY-Lyon KY-Trigg KY-
256 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CALLOWAY...MARSHALL...
TRIGG...SOUTHERN GRAVES AND LYON COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

At 255 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles northeast of Benton to near Mayfield.
Movement was southeast at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Murray, Mayfield, Benton, and Land Between The Lakes Area.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for
western Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3650 8869 3666 8879 3701 8819 3664 8776
      3663 8785 3667 8786 3668 8807 3654 8803
      3650 8805
TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 324DEG 30KT 3692 8822 3666 8867

York

Special weather statement, May 6, 3:14 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Paducah KY
314 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

KYZ012-013-015>017-019>022-062100-
Muhlenberg KY-Todd KY-Webster KY-Christian KY-Caldwell KY-McLean KY-
Hopkins KY-Daviess KY-Trigg KY-
314 PM CDT Thu May 6 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DAVIESS...MUHLENBERG...
CHRISTIAN...CALDWELL...MCLEAN...TRIGG...HOPKINS...TODD AND WEBSTER
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 312 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sebree to near Providence to near
Princeton. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms. A wind gust to 46 mph was measured as this line
passed through Morganfield.

Locations impacted include...
Owensboro, Madisonville, Princeton, Central City, Providence, Dawson
Springs, and Calhoun.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CDT for
portions of western and northwestern Kentucky.

LAT...LON 3763 8695 3747 8711 3748 8713 3746 8711
      3738 8710 3734 8714 3732 8711 3737 8708
      3737 8704 3729 8698 3696 8721 3698 8789
      3705 8796 3732 8778 3764 8764 3765 8750
      3769 8741 3776 8682 3771 8686 3767 8682
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 266DEG 38KT 3760 8758 3733 8770 3706 8788

York

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 6, 2:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Henderson	40 min
May 6, 2:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Henderson, Union	49 min
May 6, 2:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Calloway, Graves, Marshall	49 min
May 6, 3:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway	38 min
May 6, 3:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian, Todd	52 min
May 6, 6:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Crittenden, Webster	28 min
May 6, 6:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Livingston, McCracken	43 min
May 6, 12:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Jackson, Jefferson, Perry	49 min
May 6, 1:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Alexander	47 min
May 6, 3:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Jefferson	50 min
May 6, 3:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Jefferson, Wayne	38 min
May 6, 4:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Franklin, Hamilton, Wayne	44 min
May 6, 4:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Wayne	36 min
May 6, 5:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Gallatin, Johnson, Saline, Union, Williamson	42 min
May 6, 5:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson, Pope, Saline, Williamson	38 min
May 6, 5:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Johnson, Massac	33 min
May 6, 6:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Pope	33 min
May 6, 11:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Ripley, Wayne	58 min
May 6, 12:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne	48 min
May 6, 12:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Bollinger, Butler, Carter, Ripley, Stoddard, Wayne	37 min
May 6, 1:24 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	PAH	Cape Girardeau, Scott	31 min
May 6, 3:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	PAH	Spencer	46 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kentucky, 2021 Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.