Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1014 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Current forecast is still on track. Radar shows activity across
the southern Plateau at this hour. Appreciable rainfall amounts
are indicated across Grundy county thus far. Atmosphere still
expected to undergo further destabilization as we reach into the
afternoon hours. Latest Hrrr shows the expected increase in
convective coverage and intensity as the day wears on.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Conditions are improving to MVFR/VFR at the beginning of the TAF
period. Scattered rain showers will continue this morning before
additional storms develop after 17z-18z. VIS reductions are
possible with heavier thunderstorms that impact the terminals. RA
and TS will become focused over CSV by 06z Thu, while CKV/BNA/MQY
are left with IFR CIGs.

SSE winds around 5-10 kts will persist with gusts around 15-20 kts
this afternoon. TS may produce briefly higher wind gusts if they
impact the sites.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Thursday morning for Bedford-Coffee-
Cumberland-Giles-Grundy-Lawrence-Marshall-Van Buren-Warren-Wayne.

&&

DISCUSSION......21
AVIATION........Schaper

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Nashville TN
501 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-071000-
Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Macon-Clay-Pickett-Houston-
Humphreys-Dickson-Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Trousdale-Smith-Jackson-
Putnam-Overton-Fentress-Perry-Hickman-Lewis-Williamson-Maury-
Marshall-Rutherford-Cannon-De Kalb-White-Cumberland-Bedford-Coffee-
Warren-Grundy-Van Buren-Wayne-Lawrence-Giles-
501 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

A flash flood watch is in effect through tonight for southern
locations approaching Tennessee/Alabama Border Region and across
central and southern portions of Cumberland Plateau Region.
Rainfall amounts of one to three inches, with locally higher
amounts, will be possible.

Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this
afternoon and evening across most of Middle Tennessee. With
any strong to severe thunderstorms that do develop, main threats
will be strong to damaging winds and potentially large hail.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Showers and scattered thunderstorms continuing across eastern
portions of mid state region could cause continuing flooding
concerns across this area through at least Thursday afternoon.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any
information about observed severe weather to the NWS
while following all local, state, and CDC guidelines.

JB Wright

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1048 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

TNZ065-078-080-061615-
Van Buren TN-Warren TN-White TN-
1048 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Van Buren,
southeastern Warren and southern White Counties through 1115 AM
CDT...

At 1048 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 11
miles south of Spencer, moving north at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Spencer, Doyle, Virgin Falls State Natural Area and Fall Creek Falls
State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3559 8540 3557 8542 3556 8545 3555 8546
      3555 8549 3554 8553 3554 8555 3553 8556
      3553 8565 3593 8560 3586 8528
TIME...MOT...LOC 1548Z 192DEG 27KT 3559 8553

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Rose

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1143 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

TNZ065-066-080-061715-
Cumberland TN-Van Buren TN-White TN-
1143 AM CDT Wed Oct 6 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of southwestern
Cumberland, northeastern Van Buren and southeastern White Counties
through 1215 PM CDT...

At 1142 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Spencer, moving northeast at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Virgin Falls State Natural Area, Indian Rock Lake, Lake Tansi and
Fall Creek Falls State Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3577 8515 3576 8526 3575 8526 3573 8527
      3572 8527 3570 8528 3574 8539 3595 8536
      3585 8505
TIME...MOT...LOC 1642Z 215DEG 13KT 3573 8531

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

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