Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

June 2, 2021Brewster County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Jun 2, 2021, 5:53 PM CDT for Brewster County, Texas. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 2, 2021, 5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC)
Expired: Jun 2, 2021, 6:45 PM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Brewster County, TX

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 293 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1221 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -73 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 848 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 2, 3:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 3:05 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
305 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Current radar and satellite is showing storms beginning to develop
along a remnant outflow boundary in the Permian Basin, and also in
the higher elevations west of the Pecos River. These storms will
increase in coverage with still several hours of heating left.
Instability and shear is enough that some of these storms will
become severe and potential slow movement may also add an isolated
flash flood threat as well. An upper level disturbance moving
southeast across West Texas may also cause more storms to develop
to the north later tonight, developing into an MCS that will move
southeast across the basin creating a greater wind and flood
threat.

An upper level low will develop from a departing trough and linger
for a few days. Tomorrow it will be located over MAF before
slowly moving east into the weekend. This will cause scattered
showers and storms to once again develop Thursday with rain
chances diminishing each day afterward as the lift exits the
region. A weak ridge building out of Mexico will not only bring
some drier weather but will also let temperatures increase back to
near normal earl next week. A dryline will likely form from
southeastern New Mexico to the Big Bend with temperatures being
moderated some to the east of the dryline by cooler southeast
winds.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     61  80  62  81 /  60  30  20  20
Carlsbad                       61  83  62  86 /  40  30  10  20
Dryden                         66  86  65  82 /  40  40  40  40
Fort Stockton                  62  83  62  84 /  40  50  30  30
Guadalupe Pass                 59  78  60  80 /  30  40  20  20
Hobbs                          59  81  59  82 /  50  30  10  10
Marfa                          52  81  51  80 /  30  70  30  40
Midland Intl Airport           61  81  62  82 /  60  40  20  20
Odessa                         61  81  61  82 /  50  40  20  20
Wink                           62  86  62  87 /  40  30  20  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

89/10

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 2, 12:46 PM CDT, 5 hours 7 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-031800-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 /1146 AM MDT Wed Jun 2 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe storms this afternoon and into the
overnight, a few storms may produce hail, strong winds, frequent
lightning, and locally heavy rain that may result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms remain in the forecast for most areas Wednesday and
Thursday, a few may be strong.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:00 PM CDT, 53 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:15 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:15 PM CDT, 38 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:17 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

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Local storm report, Jun 2, 5:51 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

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Special weather statement, Jun 2, 5:53 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
553 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ276-279-281-282-022345-
Central Brewster County TX-Presidio Valley TX-
Lower Brewster County TX-Marfa Plateau TX-
553 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BREWSTER AND EAST
CENTRAL PRESIDIO COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM CDT...

At 553 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles north of Study Butte, or 23 miles northwest of Panther
Junction, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Persimmon Gap, Big Bend National Park, Terlingua Ranch Airport and
Terlingua Ranch Lodge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2956 10404 2994 10397 2972 10303 2927 10298
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 290DEG 20KT 2955 10351

88

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 1, 7:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	42 min
Jun 1, 7:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	63 min
Jun 1, 7:31 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	59 min
Jun 1, 8:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews	63 min
Jun 1, 9:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland	48 min
Jun 2, 1:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Dawson	43 min
Jun 2, 2:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	45 min
Jun 2, 2:18 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	42 min
Jun 2, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Dawson, Martin	60 min
Jun 2, 2:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Andrews	37 min
Jun 2, 2:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	32 min
Jun 2, 3:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	46 min
Jun 2, 3:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Gaines	55 min
Jun 2, 3:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Culberson	4 hr
Jun 2, 3:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Howard, Martin	67 min
Jun 2, 3:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	47 min
Jun 2, 3:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	45 min
Jun 2, 3:37 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin	3 hr
Jun 2, 4:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	57 min
Jun 2, 4:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	41 min
Jun 2, 4:08 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Mitchell	3 hr
Jun 2, 4:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis, Reeves	65 min
Jun 2, 4:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	48 min
Jun 2, 4:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Winkler	46 min
Jun 2, 4:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Mitchell, Scurry	21 min
Jun 2, 4:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Glasscock, Martin, Midland	43 min
Jun 2, 4:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	23 min
Jun 2, 4:26 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	49 min
Jun 2, 4:53 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Culberson	3 hr
Jun 2, 4:55 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Culberson, Jeff Davis, Presidio	3 hr
Jun 2, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Winkler	62 min
Jun 2, 5:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	45 min
Jun 2, 5:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Presidio	45 min
Jun 2, 5:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	45 min
Jun 2, 5:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Winkler	46 min
Jun 2, 6:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Ector, Ward, Winkler	43 min
Jun 2, 6:35 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Brewster, Presidio	3 hr
Jun 2, 6:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Winkler	44 min
Jun 2, 6:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	40 min
Jun 2, 6:52 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector, Gaines, Winkler	3 hr
Jun 2, 6:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	52 min
Jun 2, 4:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	46 min
Jun 2, 5:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	43 min
Jun 2, 6:01 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Eddy	3 hr
Jun 2, 6:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	44 min
Jun 2, 6:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	44 min
Jun 2, 6:34 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	41 min
Jun 2, 6:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	39 min
Jun 2, 6:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy, Lea	62 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021 Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.