Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
305 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Current radar and satellite is showing storms beginning to develop
along a remnant outflow boundary in the Permian Basin, and also in
the higher elevations west of the Pecos River. These storms will
increase in coverage with still several hours of heating left.
Instability and shear is enough that some of these storms will
become severe and potential slow movement may also add an isolated
flash flood threat as well. An upper level disturbance moving
southeast across West Texas may also cause more storms to develop
to the north later tonight, developing into an MCS that will move
southeast across the basin creating a greater wind and flood
threat.

An upper level low will develop from a departing trough and linger
for a few days. Tomorrow it will be located over MAF before
slowly moving east into the weekend. This will cause scattered
showers and storms to once again develop Thursday with rain
chances diminishing each day afterward as the lift exits the
region. A weak ridge building out of Mexico will not only bring
some drier weather but will also let temperatures increase back to
near normal earl next week. A dryline will likely form from
southeastern New Mexico to the Big Bend with temperatures being
moderated some to the east of the dryline by cooler southeast
winds.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     61  80  62  81 /  60  30  20  20
Carlsbad                       61  83  62  86 /  40  30  10  20
Dryden                         66  86  65  82 /  40  40  40  40
Fort Stockton                  62  83  62  84 /  40  50  30  30
Guadalupe Pass                 59  78  60  80 /  30  40  20  20
Hobbs                          59  81  59  82 /  50  30  10  10
Marfa                          52  81  51  80 /  30  70  30  40
Midland Intl Airport           61  81  62  82 /  60  40  20  20
Odessa                         61  81  61  82 /  50  40  20  20
Wink                           62  86  62  87 /  40  30  20  20

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

89/10

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-
270>282-031800-
Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County-Eddy County Plains-
Northern Lea County-Central Lea County-Southern Lea County-Gaines-
Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-Winkler-
Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-Terrell-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Reeves County Plains-Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
1246 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021 /1146 AM MDT Wed Jun 2 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southeast New
Mexico, southwest Texas, and western Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

There is a slight risk of severe storms this afternoon and into the
overnight, a few storms may produce hail, strong winds, frequent
lightning, and locally heavy rain that may result in flash flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Thunderstorms remain in the forecast for most areas Wednesday and
Thursday, a few may be strong.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is anticipated.

Please relay any information about observed severe weather to the
NWS while following all local, state and CDC guidelines.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories,
and statements issued by the National Weather Service Office in
Midland, can be found on the internet at...
https://weather.gov/midland

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
147 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ046-051-021930-
Martin TX-Dawson TX-
147 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN MARTIN AND SOUTHERN
DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 146 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 12
miles south of Lamesa, moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Sparenberg, Tenmile, Patricia, Key and Klondike.

LAT...LON 3241 10202 3263 10215 3273 10180 3244 10169
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 258DEG 9KT 3256 10201

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
200 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ045-046-050-021945-
Dawson TX-Andrews TX-Gaines TX-
200 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL ANDREWS...
SOUTHEASTERN GAINES AND WEST CENTRAL DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM
CDT...

At 159 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Gaines County Airport, or 12 miles south of Seminole,
moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Florey and McKenzie Lake.

LAT...LON 3240 10264 3258 10278 3287 10230 3260 10213
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 238DEG 12KT 3253 10263

89

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
218 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ272-022000-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-
218 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 300 PM CDT...

At 217 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms 23
miles north of Allamoore, moving east at 5 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Van Horn, Plateau and Culberson County Airport.

This includes Interstate 10 between mile markers 136 and 160.

LAT...LON 3153 10491 3158 10476 3105 10449 3091 10490
TIME...MOT...LOC 1917Z 257DEG 6KT 3139 10487

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Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
253 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ045-050-022030-
Andrews TX-Gaines TX-
253 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ANDREWS AND SOUTH
CENTRAL GAINES COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

At 252 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms 12
miles northwest of Andrews, moving southeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible.

Locations impacted include...
Andrews, Seminole, Gaines County Airport, Florey, Frankel City and
Andrews County Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3249 10301 3274 10271 3253 10229 3216 10247
TIME...MOT...LOC 1952Z 301DEG 15KT 3245 10270

89

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
258 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ272-022030-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor TX-
258 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY
UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

At 258 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 24
miles north of Allamoore, moving east at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of west central
Culberson County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3150 10491 3160 10475 3125 10460 3119 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 252DEG 7KT 3141 10488

88

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
314 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

TXZ052-053-022100-
Mitchell TX-Howard TX-
314 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MITCHELL AND
SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 313 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms 14
miles south of Champion Creek Reservoir, or 18 miles north of
Sterling City, moving southeast at 10 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southern Mitchell
and southeastern Howard Counties.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for
western Texas.

LAT...LON 3209 10119 3217 10125 3224 10067 3209 10067
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 321DEG 10KT 3210 10094

89