Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 29, 2021Apache County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2021, 3:03 PM MST for Apache County, Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2021, 3:03 PM MST (22:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2021, 3:30 PM MST
In force
27 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Apache County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 156 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
156 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-113 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1821 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

230 
WUUS55 KFGZ 292203
SVRFGZ
AZC001-017-292230-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SV.W.0084.210729T2203Z-210729T2230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
303 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Apache County in northeastern Arizona...
  Navajo County in north central Arizona...

* Until 330 PM MST.

* At 303 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located 11 miles north of
  Hunt, or 44 miles northeast of Show Low, moving northwest at 35
  mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Petrified Forest National Park.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3478 10941 3465 10958 3486 10989 3505 10963
TIME...MOT...LOC 2203Z 132DEG 29KT 3477 10959 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
1 follow-up statement
810 
WWUS55 KFGZ 292230
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
330 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

AZC001-017-292239-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.SV.W.0084.000000T0000Z-210729T2230Z/
Apache-Navajo-
330 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR APACHE AND NAVAJO COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 330 PM MST...
                
The thunderstorm which prompted the Severe Thunderstorm Warning 
south of Petrified Forest weakened. Therefore, the warning will be 
allowed to expire.

However, small hail and heavy rain are still possible with this 
thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3478 10941 3465 10958 3486 10989 3505 10963
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 132DEG 29KT 3490 10977 

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 6:47 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ28 min
Jul 28, 7:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 28, 7:18 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 29, 11:48 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Jul 29, 11:57 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo33 min
Jul 29, 12:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache24 min
Jul 29, 12:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Jul 29, 12:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache31 min
Jul 29, 12:53 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Jul 29, 12:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 1:07 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo38 min
Jul 29, 1:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache50 min
Jul 29, 1:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache32 min
Jul 29, 1:23 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai37 min
Jul 29, 2:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo, Yavapai31 hr
Jul 29, 2:09 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 29, 2:16 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 2:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai34 min
Jul 29, 3:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 4:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.