Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 29, 2021Apache County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2021, 11:57 AM MST for Apache County, Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2021, 11:57 AM MST (18:57 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2021, 12:30 PM MST
In force
33 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.0 in
Wind
50.0 mph

Counties Apache County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 212 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 371 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
371 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-231 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2650 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
5 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

566 
WUUS55 KFGZ 291857
SVRFGZ
AZC001-017-291930-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SV.W.0075.210729T1857Z-210729T1930Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1157 AM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Apache County in northeastern Arizona...
  Navajo County in north central Arizona...

* Until 1230 PM MST.

* At 1157 AM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Hondah, or
  14 miles southeast of Show Low, moving west at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...Quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damage to vehicles is expected.

* Locations impacted include...
  Hondah, Lake Of The Woods--Pinetop-lakeside, Pinetop Country Club,
  Los Burros Campground and Mcnary.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3418 10975 3404 10980 3405 10996 3420 10991
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 108DEG 8KT 3411 10984 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$
1 follow-up statement
144 
WWUS55 KFGZ 291929
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1229 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

AZC001-017-291937-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-210729T1930Z/
Apache-Navajo-
1229 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR APACHE AND NAVAJO COUNTIES
WILL EXPIRE AT 1230 PM MST...
                
The thunderstorm near McNary which prompted the Severe Thunderstorm 
Warning has weakened below severe limits. Therefore, the warning 
will be allowed to expire.

However small hail and heavy rain are still possible with this 
thunderstorm between McNary and Pinetop.

LAT...LON 3418 10975 3404 10980 3405 10996 3420 10991
TIME...MOT...LOC 1927Z 108DEG 8KT 3413 10990 

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 6:47 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ28 min
Jul 28, 7:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 28, 7:18 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 29, 11:48 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Jul 29, 12:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache24 min
Jul 29, 12:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Jul 29, 12:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache31 min
Jul 29, 12:53 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Jul 29, 12:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 1:07 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo38 min
Jul 29, 1:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache50 min
Jul 29, 1:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache32 min
Jul 29, 1:23 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai37 min
Jul 29, 2:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo, Yavapai31 hr
Jul 29, 2:09 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 29, 2:16 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 2:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai34 min
Jul 29, 3:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo27 min
Jul 29, 3:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 4:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.