Alert archive / Arizona / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 82, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 29, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2021, 1:23 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 29, 2021, 1:23 PM MST (20:23 UTC)
Expired
Jul 29, 2021, 2:00 PM MST
In force
37 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.25 in
Wind
60.0 mph

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 67 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 156 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
156 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-113 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1821 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

571 
WUUS55 KFGZ 292023
SVRFGZ
AZC025-292100-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.SV.W.0082.210729T2023Z-210729T2100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
123 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 200 PM MST.

* At 123 PM MST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Yavapai
  County Fairgrounds, or 14 miles east of Chino Valley, moving
  northwest at 10 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage 
           to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Potato Patch Campground.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3474 11211 3462 11220 3468 11237 3480 11231
      3486 11222
TIME...MOT...LOC 2023Z 134DEG 8KT 3473 11221 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$
1 follow-up statement
403 
WWUS55 KFGZ 292059
SVSFGZ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
159 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

AZC025-292106-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.SV.W.0082.000000T0000Z-210729T2100Z/
Yavapai-
159 PM MST Thu Jul 29 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
200 PM MST...
                
The thunderstorm which prompted the Severe Thunderstorm Warning 
southwest of Jerome has weakened. Therefore, the warning will be 
allowed to expire.

However, small hail and very heavy rain are still possible with this 
thunderstorm, along SR 89A, between Prescott Valley and Jerome.

LAT...LON 3474 11211 3462 11220 3468 11237 3480 11231
      3486 11222
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 134DEG 8KT 3478 11227 

$$

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 28, 6:47 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ28 min
Jul 28, 7:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 28, 7:18 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo3 hr
Jul 29, 11:48 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Jul 29, 11:57 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo33 min
Jul 29, 12:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache24 min
Jul 29, 12:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino24 min
Jul 29, 12:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache31 min
Jul 29, 12:53 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Jul 29, 12:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 1:07 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo38 min
Jul 29, 1:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache50 min
Jul 29, 1:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache32 min
Jul 29, 2:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo, Yavapai31 hr
Jul 29, 2:09 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 29, 2:16 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 2:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai34 min
Jul 29, 3:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo27 min
Jul 29, 3:41 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Navajo3 hr
Jul 29, 4:03 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.