Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 182, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 16, 2021Apache County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 16, 2021, 4:42 PM MST for Apache County, Arizona. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2021, 4:42 PM MST (23:42 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2021, 8:45 PM MST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Apache County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Aug 16, 4:47 PM MSTFLOODConcho, AZMANY ROADS FLOODED. WATER UP TO THE DOORSTEP OF THE BUSINESS THAT WAS CONTACTED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 11.7 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 428 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
428 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1562 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

876 
WGUS55 KFGZ 162342
FFWFGZ
AZC001-170245-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0182.210816T2342Z-210817T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
442 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Apache County in northeastern Arizona...

* Until 745 PM MST.

* At 441 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of 
  rain have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Concho.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 61 between mile markers 369 and 374.
	Highway 180 near mile marker 349.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Oso Draw, Little Colorado River and Concho Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding of washes and creeks will occur, some dirt roads will 
become muddy and impassable. Paved roads and underpasses could 
become flooded as well.

&&

LAT...LON 3455 10966 3454 10959 3456 10959 3460 10957
      3460 10956 3459 10956 3453 10957 3441 10957
      3443 10966 3447 10969

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

ET
4 follow-up statements
314 
WGUS75 KFGZ 170021
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
521 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

AZC001-170245-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0182.000000T0000Z-210817T0245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Apache AZ-
521 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM MST THIS 
EVENING FOR APACHE COUNTY...

At 521 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain have 
fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water crossings,
         creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Concho.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 61 between mile markers 369 and 374.
	Highway 180 near mile marker 349.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Oso Draw, Little Colorado River and Concho Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding of washes and creeks will occur, some dirt roads will 
become muddy and impassable. Paved roads and underpasses could 
become flooded as well.

&&

LAT...LON 3455 10966 3454 10959 3456 10959 3460 10957
      3460 10956 3459 10956 3453 10957 3441 10957
      3443 10966 3447 10969

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

ET
358 
WGUS55 KFGZ 170230
FFWFGZ
AZC001-170345-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.FF.W.0182.000000T0000Z-210817T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
730 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has extended the

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Apache County in northeastern Arizona...

* Until 845 PM MST.

* At 729 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Concho.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 61 between mile markers 369 and 374.
	Highway 180 near mile marker 349.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Oso Draw, Little Colorado River and Concho Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding of washes and creeks will occur, some dirt roads will 
become muddy and impassable. Paved roads and underpasses could 
become flooded as well.

&&

LAT...LON 3455 10966 3454 10959 3456 10959 3460 10957
      3460 10956 3459 10956 3453 10957 3441 10957
      3443 10966 3447 10969

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

ET
760 
WGUS75 KFGZ 170232
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
732 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

AZC001-170345-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0182.000000T0000Z-210817T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Apache AZ-
732 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM MST THIS 
EVENING FOR APACHE COUNTY...

At 730 PM MST, heavy rain had ended across the warned area. Between 
2 and 4 inches of rain fell earlier today. Road closures due to 
flash flooding have been reported in Concho by ADOT along US 180A 
near MP347. Please avoid any flooded areas and heed road closures!

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water crossings,
         creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Concho.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 61 between mile markers 369 and 374.
	Highway 180 near mile marker 349.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Oso Draw, Little Colorado River and Concho Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding of washes and creeks will occur, some dirt roads will 
become muddy and impassable. Paved roads and underpasses could 
become flooded as well.

&&

LAT...LON 3455 10966 3454 10959 3456 10959 3460 10957
      3460 10956 3459 10956 3453 10957 3441 10957
      3443 10966 3447 10969

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

ET
813 
WGUS75 KFGZ 170337
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
837 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

AZC001-170347-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0182.000000T0000Z-210817T0345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Apache AZ-
837 PM MST Mon Aug 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR 
APACHE COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

LAT...LON 3455 10966 3454 10959 3456 10959 3460 10957
      3460 10956 3459 10956 3453 10957 3441 10957
      3443 10966 3447 10969

$$

ET

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 5:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Navajo31 min
Aug 15, 5:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache18 min
Aug 15, 6:17 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache12 min
Aug 15, 6:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino36 min
Aug 15, 7:46 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino29 min
Aug 15, 7:53 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo26 min
Aug 15, 8:17 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 15, 8:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila31 min
Aug 15, 10:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Aug 15, 11:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai29 min
Aug 15, 11:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai24 min
Aug 15, 11:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai21 min
Aug 15, 11:50 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai25 min
Aug 16, 12:08 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai37 min
Aug 16, 12:40 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai35 min
Aug 16, 1:00 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai45 min
Aug 16, 11:55 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZApache35 min
Aug 16, 1:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino45 min
Aug 16, 1:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo52 min
Aug 16, 1:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino43 min
Aug 16, 2:09 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZNavajo3 hr
Aug 16, 2:16 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 16, 2:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino50 min
Aug 16, 2:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Navajo33 min
Aug 16, 2:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo45 min
Aug 16, 2:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Gila, Navajo37 min
Aug 16, 2:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Yavapai34 min
Aug 16, 3:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo22 min
Aug 16, 3:10 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Aug 16, 3:39 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Gila36 min
Aug 16, 3:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache33 min
Aug 16, 4:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache35 min
Aug 16, 4:34 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila26 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.