Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 178, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 15, 2021Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 15, 2021, 8:17 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 15, 2021, 8:17 PM MST (03:17 UTC)
Expired
Aug 15, 2021, 11:15 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Cedar City radar (KICX), 153 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 754 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 00:00Z on 2021-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
754 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-63 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1796 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

208 
WGUS55 KFGZ 160317
FFWFGZ
AZC005-160615-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0178.210816T0317Z-210816T0615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
817 PM MST Sun Aug 15 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Havasu Creek basin in...
  Coconino County in north central Arizona...

* Until 1115 PM MST.

* At 816 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Havasu Creek basin. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of 
  rain has fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Havasu
           Creek basin.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Havasu Creek basin.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Grand Canyon National Park, Hualapai Hilltop, Supai and Havasupai 
  Reservation.

This includes the following swimming holes...
	All swimming holes on Havasu Creek near Supai.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Campers and hikers should hustle to higher ground immediately! Stay 
away from creeks and washes!

Foot bridges will be washed out in Supai Campground. Some campsites 
will be flooded. Campers may be stranded in portions of the 
campground.

&&

LAT...LON 3629 11275 3630 11277 3631 11276 3632 11276
      3631 11273 3627 11269 3611 11258 3610 11263
      3620 11269 3615 11271 3611 11271 3613 11274
      3624 11272 3627 11273 3619 11274 3617 11276
      3624 11277

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

McCollum
1 follow-up statement
875 
WGUS75 KFGZ 160611
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1111 PM MST Sun Aug 15 2021

AZC005-160621-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0178.000000T0000Z-210816T0615Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coconino AZ-
1111 PM MST Sun Aug 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE HAVASU CREEK BASIN WILL EXPIRE AT 
1115 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR COCONINO COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended across the area of Supai. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat.

LAT...LON 3629 11275 3630 11277 3631 11276 3632 11276
      3631 11273 3627 11269 3611 11258 3610 11263
      3620 11269 3615 11271 3611 11271 3613 11274
      3624 11272 3627 11273 3619 11274 3617 11276
      3624 11277

$$

McCollum

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 15, 5:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Navajo31 min
Aug 15, 5:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache18 min
Aug 15, 6:17 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache12 min
Aug 15, 6:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino36 min
Aug 15, 7:46 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino29 min
Aug 15, 7:53 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo26 min
Aug 15, 8:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila31 min
Aug 15, 10:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai33 min
Aug 15, 11:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai29 min
Aug 15, 11:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai24 min
Aug 15, 11:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai21 min
Aug 15, 11:50 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai25 min
Aug 16, 12:08 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai37 min
Aug 16, 12:40 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai35 min
Aug 16, 1:00 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZYavapai45 min
Aug 16, 11:55 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZApache35 min
Aug 16, 1:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino45 min
Aug 16, 1:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo52 min
Aug 16, 1:47 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino43 min
Aug 16, 2:09 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZNavajo3 hr
Aug 16, 2:16 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 16, 2:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino50 min
Aug 16, 2:27 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Navajo33 min
Aug 16, 2:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo45 min
Aug 16, 2:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Gila, Navajo37 min
Aug 16, 2:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino, Yavapai34 min
Aug 16, 3:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache, Navajo22 min
Aug 16, 3:10 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache3 hr
Aug 16, 3:39 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino, Gila36 min
Aug 16, 3:57 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache33 min
Aug 16, 4:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZApache35 min
Aug 16, 4:34 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila26 min
Aug 16, 4:42 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache4 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.