Small Craft Advisory 440, NWS Juneau, AK

424 
FZAK52 PAJK 281154
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-290600-
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A ridge passes over the panhandle early Tuesday  before the next
gale force front approaches from the SW Tuesday night. The low
will remain over the SE gulf Wednesday. Outlook.  A wave will
move into the S panhandle late Wednesday night through Thursday.

$$

PKZ041-290600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming SE 35 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 
ft building to 15 ft in the afternoon. Showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt late. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 10 ft late. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers.
.THU...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 40 kt. Seas 15 ft
building to 23 ft. 
.SAT...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 15 kt. Seas 21 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-290600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt becoming becoming SE 35 kt in the 
afternoon. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft late.
Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 40 kt. Seas 16 ft
building to 24 ft. 
.SAT...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 23 ft
subsiding to 18 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-290600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. Showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms late. 
.WED...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 17 ft
building to 23 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 20 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-290600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 
ft building to 9 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft.
.FRI...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft building to 21 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-290600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
354 AM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 10 kt becoming E 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft
building to 18 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt becoming SW. Seas 22 ft subsiding to
17 ft. 

$$

721 
FZAK52 PAJK 282327
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-291730-
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A Gale Force front will move into the southern outside waters
Tuesday evening while the parent low rotates about the south 
central gulf. A new developing low will track northward to Dixon 
Entrance Wednesday night, then shift NE into Canada Thursday. 
Outlook. A Storm Force low moves into the gulf Friday.

$$

PKZ041-291730-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt becoming S 30 kt late. Seas 15 ft.
Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming N late. Seas 13 ft.
Showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-291730-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 40 kt diminishing to 30 kt late. Seas 12 ft
building to 17 ft. Showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.WED...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers and slight chance
of thunderstorms. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas
11 ft. Showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...S gale to 45 kt. Seas 24 ft. 
.SAT...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 25 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-291730-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 40 kt. Seas 9 ft building to
17 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.WED...E wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.WED NIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas
13 ft. Showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE gale to 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. 
.SAT...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 22 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-291730-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 15 ft. 
.WED...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas
13 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.FRI...SE storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 21 ft. 
.SAT...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-291730-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
327 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 13 ft. 
.WED...N wind 20 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas
13 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas
11 ft. Showers.
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Rain.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SAT...SE storm force wind to 55 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

392 
FZAK52 PAJK 291200
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-300600-
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A front will move N through the panhandle on Wednesday  while
the parent low rotates about the south central gulf. A new 
developing low will track northward to the Dixon Entrance 
Wednesday night, then shift NE into Canada Thursday. Outlook. A 
Storm Force low moves into the gulf Friday. 

$$

PKZ041-300600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers. Slight chance of 
thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming N late. Seas 13 ft. Showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 26 ft. 
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 28 ft
subsiding to 20 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-300600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SE 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers
early in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S storm force wind to 50 kt. Seas 23 ft building to
33 ft. 
.SAT...S gale to 45 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 34 ft
subsiding to 20 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-300600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Slight chance of thunderstorms
early in the morning. Showers.
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft.
Showers.
.THU...W wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 9 ft. Showers in the morning. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S gale to 40 kt increasing to storm force wind to
50 kt. Seas 23 ft building to 38 ft. 
.SAT...S storm force wind to 50 kt diminishing to 30 kt.
Seas 41 ft subsiding to 22 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-300600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers in the
afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers.
.FRI...SE gale to 40 kt increasing to storm force wind to
55 kt. Seas 20 ft building to 36 ft. 
.SAT...S storm force wind to 60 kt diminishing to gale to
40 kt. Seas 40 ft subsiding to 25 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-300600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
400 AM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers.
.THU...NW wind 15 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 6 ft.
Showers.
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI...E gale to 35 kt increasing to storm force wind to
55 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 34 ft. 
.SAT...E storm force wind to 60 kt becoming SE gale to
45 kt. Seas 37 ft subsiding to 25 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

011 
FZAK52 PAJK 300000
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-301800-
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A developing low will track northward to the Dixon Entrance 
Wednesday night, then shift NE into Canada Thursday. A gale force
front moves eastward through the gulf on Thursday. Outlook. A 
Storm Force low moves north into the eastern gulf Friday. 

$$

PKZ041-301800-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 25 kt becoming NE 15 kt late. Seas 11 ft. 
Showers.
.THU...W wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 12 ft. Showers in the morning. 
.THU NIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers late. 
.FRI...S gale to 45 kt. Seas 23 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S storm force wind to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas
29 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW gale to 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 25 ft
subsiding to 18 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...S wind 10 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-301800-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers.
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Showers in the morning. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S gale to 40 kt. Seas 23 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...S storm force wind to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas
34 ft. Showers.
.SAT...SW storm force wind to 50 kt diminishing to 20 kt.
Seas 32 ft subsiding to 18 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-301800-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt late. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 8 ft late. 
.THU...SW wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
8 ft. Showers in the morning, then slight chance of thunderstorms
in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 22 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SE storm force wind to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas 
39 ft. Showers.
.SAT...S storm force wind to 50 kt diminishing to 25 kt.
Seas 39 ft subsiding to 22 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-301800-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 12 ft
subsiding to 8 ft late. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...S gale to 35 kt becoming SW 25 kt late. Seas
12 ft. Rain showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms. 
.FRI...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...E storm force wind to 50 kt. Gusts to 65 kt. Seas 37
ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SE gale to 45 kt becoming S 30 kt. Seas 39 ft
subsiding to 25 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-301800-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
400 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. SW swell late. Rain
showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.FRI...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE gale to 35 kt. Seas 33 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...N wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 38 ft subsiding to
26 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

958 
FZAK52 PAJK 301151
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-010600-
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in Dixon Entrance moves ashore into Misty Fjords this 
morning. A ridge of high pressure builds across the Inner Channels
this afternoon. A gale force front arrives in the eastern gulf 
Thu night and stalls across the Panhandle Fri morning. Outlook. A 
storm force low arrives in the eastern gulf Fri night. 

$$

PKZ041-010600-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Showers in the morning,
then slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. Showers late. 
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt increasing to storm force wind to 50 kt
in the afternoon. Gusts to 65 kt in the afternoon. Seas 17 ft
building to 23 ft in the afternoon. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW storm force wind to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt.
Seas 43 ft. 
.SAT...SW gale to 35 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 31 ft
subsiding to 17 ft. 
.SUN...SW wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-010600-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming W 20 kt in the morning, then
increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft
in the afternoon. Showers early in the morning, then slight
chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 25 kt increasing to 35 kt late. Seas 13 ft 
building to 17 ft late. Showers.
.FRI...S gale to 35 kt increasing to storm force wind to 50 kt
in the afternoon. Seas 20 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...SW storm force wind to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt.
Seas 44 ft. Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.SAT...SW gale to 40 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 38 ft
subsiding to 16 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-010600-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the morning, then becoming
W 25 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft. Showers early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. Showers.
.FRI...S wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 45 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 18 ft. Showers.
.FRI NIGHT...E storm force wind to 55 kt. Gusts to 70 kt. Seas
41 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...SW gale to 45 kt becoming S 15 kt. Seas 38 ft
subsiding to 17 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-010600-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt becoming SW in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft.
Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.FRI...S wind 20 kt becoming E 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
15 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.FRI NIGHT...E gale to 45 kt. Seas 31 ft. Rain showers. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming S 20 kt. Seas 28 ft subsiding
to 16 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming E. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-010600-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
351 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NE wind 10 kt becoming W in the morning, then becoming S
in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 35 kt becoming S 25 kt late. Seas 13 ft.
Showers in the evening. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.FRI...S wind 25 kt becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft.
SW swell. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 25 kt. Seas 20 ft. S swell. Rain showers. 
.SAT...W wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt. Seas 20 ft subsiding
to 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
241 PM AKDT Mon Sep 27 2021

.SHORT TERM...An area of low pressure spinning off the coast of
Haida Gwaii continues to weaken as it tracks south, out of the
AOR. Bands of precipitation rotating around this low have allowed
for steady shower activity through the central and southern
panhandle today but will be diminishing through this evening.

Behind the low, ridging will build across the gulf and through
the inner channels causing decreasing clouds this evening. Winds
turn offshore in the lower levels and there is reason to be
cautiously optimistic for substantial breaks in the clouds,
especially through the first half of the day on Tuesday.
Unfortunately, this break in the weather will prove to be short-
lived. Cloud cover will once again increase ahead of the next
system moving in for Wednesday.

Wednesday's system will swing in from the SW, reaching the
southern half of the panhandle late Tuesday evening into
Wednesday morning. Northerly outflow winds will be fighting
against the northern progression of precipitation limiting
rainfall amounts across the north. There is uncertainty with this
system and its track. Forecast models suggest a developing wave
to ride up along the front Wednesday. As the parent low rotates
in the gulf, this secondary wave is expected push through the
southern panhandle but confidence in exact timing and intensity
is low. Confidence is higher that QPF totals will be
significantly greater across the south with the secondary wave.
Overall, 48 hr totals of 1 to 3 inches is expected across the
south with less than 1 inch expected across the northern
panhandle.

Winds will increase ahead of Wednesday's system late Tuesday
night. Gale force winds are expected along the outside waters
with small craft advisories through inner channels. Over land,
winds 15 to 20 mph can be expected as the front pushes through the
panhandle. Temperatures through the short-term remain seasonal
with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s and night time lows in the
low to mid 40s.

.LONG TERM.../ Wednesday through Monday as of 9 pm Sunday / A
low that moved into the east central gulf becomes nearly
vertically stacked low Wednesday. About the low center showers
will continue rotating into the panhandle. A trailing wave on the
old frontal band extending back into the north central pacific,
and this wave is expected to develop and deepen to the mid 980 mbs
over Haida Gwaii late Wednesday night to very early Thursday
morning. This will spread another burst of moderate rain across
the southern portion of the panhandle. There could be an issue
with elevated water levels from the first front, and the new
system adding to it. What is left of the low and and associated
moisture will be moved inland in advance of the next potentially
big system for the Friday- Saturday time frame.

The later time frames have issues with strength and track of the
moving to the region around next weekend. Have not tried to fine
tune to a particular solution, and if changes where being added to
the forecast leaned towards the blend that WPC used. Will be
watching the extended time frames, and hope that differences will
settle out for the last couple days of the forecast package.

Forecast confidence is good to Thursday and drops to below
average for the weekend and early part of next weekend.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ041-042-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ036-043-051-052.

&&

CC/Bezenek

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