Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 139, NWS Juneau, AK

March 5, 2021

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 5, 2021, 3:57 AM AKST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 5, 2021, 3:57 AM AKST (12:57 UTC)
Expired
Mar 8, 2021, 3:24 PM AKST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

898 
FZAK52 PAJK 051257
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-060700-
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A high end gale force low weakens as it moves north along the 
coast Friday. Another low moves into the southern gulf Saturday 
with southeasterly flow resulting across SE AK. 

$$

PKZ041-060700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S wind 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers in the 
morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-060700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft
in the afternoon. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-060700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-060700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 8 ft. SE swell.
Rain showers late. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-060700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
357 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft. SE
swell. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 

$$
10 follow-up statements
463 
FZAK52 PAJK 051632 AAA
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-061045-
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A high end gale force low weakens as it moves north  along the
coast Friday. Another low moves into the southern gulf  Saturday
with southeasterly flow resulting across SE AK.  

$$

PKZ041-061045-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 15 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-061045-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 11 ft
in the afternoon. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-061045-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 9 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-061045-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 8 ft. SE swell.
Rain showers late. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 11 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-061045-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
732 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft. SE
swell. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 



$$
379 
FZAK52 PAJK 051714 AAB
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-061115-
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A high end gale force low weakens as it moves north  along the
coast Friday. Another low moves into the southern gulf  Saturday
with southeasterly flow resulting across SE AK.  

$$

PKZ041-061115-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S wind 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 15 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 



$$

PKZ042-061115-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E wind 30 kt becoming SW 25 kt. Seas 15 ft subsiding to 
11 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 12 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 10 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 



$$

PKZ043-061115-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers in the afternoon.
.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 9 ft. 



$$

PKZ051-061115-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt becoming S late. Seas 8 ft. SE swell.
Rain showers late. 
.SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 11 ft. 



$$

PKZ052-061115-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
814 AM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...Light winds becoming NE 10 kt late. Seas 6 ft. SE
swell. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 



$$
600 
FZAK52 PAJK 060029
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-061830-
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the eastern gulf tracking north dissipates through
Friday evening. Another low moves into the southern gulf
Saturday with southeasterly flow resulting across SE AK.
Northerly and outflow winds increase on Sunday as the low moves
south of Haida Gwaii.  

$$

PKZ041-061830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-061830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-061830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-061830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt becoming S 20 kt late. Seas 8 ft. SE
swell. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 11 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-061830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
329 PM AKST Fri Mar 5 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...W wind 10 kt becoming SE 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$
155 
FZAK52 PAJK 061249
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-070700-
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low moves into the southern gulf Saturday with southeasterly 
flow resulting across SE AK. Northerly and outflow winds increase 
on Sunday as the low moves south of Haida Gwaii. 

$$

PKZ041-070700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt this morning. Seas 6 ft 
building to 14 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to E 20 kt late. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-070700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late this morning. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to NE 20 kt late. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-070700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft this 
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-070700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft this morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas building to 9 ft
late. W swell.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-070700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
349 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft this evening. 
SE swell early in the morning. Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas 8 ft in the evening.
SW swell.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. 
.MON...Light winds becoming S 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
637 
FZAK52 PAJK 061607 CCA
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-070700-
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low moves into the southern gulf Saturday with southeasterly 
flow resulting across SE AK. Northerly and outflow winds increase 
on Sunday as the low moves south of Haida Gwaii. 

$$

PKZ041-070700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming SE 30 kt this morning. Seas 6 ft 
building to 14 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt diminishing to E 20 kt late. Seas 16 ft.
.SUN...E wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming NW. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-070700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late this morning. 
Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt diminishing to NE 20 kt late. Seas 14 ft.
.SUN...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-070700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft this 
afternoon.
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 10 kt becoming W. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-070700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS MORNING AND LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft this morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas building to 9 ft
late. W swell.
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SE swell. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt becoming S. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-070700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
707 AM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. SE swell early in the morning.
Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt becoming N late. Seas 8 ft in the evening.
SW swell.
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell in the afternoon. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. 
.MON...Light winds becoming S 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
641 
FZAK52 PAJK 070033
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-071845-
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Northerly and outflow winds increase through Sunday as a low in
the SE Gulf moves south of Haida Gwaii. Winds decrease as the
low tracks south on Monday. 

$$

PKZ041-071845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E 20 kt late. Seas 15 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.TUE...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-071845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon.
Seas 12 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...SE wind 15 kt becoming S 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to
15 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-071845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas building to 11 ft. 
.SUN...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. S swell. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building
to 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-071845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas building to 8 ft. SW swell. 
.SUN...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt becoming W 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-071845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
333 PM AKST Sat Mar 6 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt becoming E 10 kt in the evening, then
becoming N late. Seas 8 ft subsiding. SW swell. 
.SUN...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SE wind 25 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$
941 
FZAK52 PAJK 071255
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-080700-
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Northerly and outflow winds increase through Sunday as a low in
the SE Gulf moves south of Haida Gwaii. Winds decrease Monday 
afternoon as the low continues tracking south. 

$$

PKZ041-080700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas
14 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt late. Seas 10 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt becoming NW in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
S swell. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-080700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. 
Seas 12 ft.
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-080700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-080700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-080700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
355 AM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

.TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell in the morning 
becoming S in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SE swell. 
.MON...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$
687 
FZAK52 PAJK 080032
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-081845-
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Northerly and outflow winds increase through Sunday night as a
low in the SE Gulf moves south of Haida Gwaii. Winds will then
decrease Monday night as the low continues tracking south and
east.  

$$

PKZ041-081845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.MON...SE wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft. S
swell. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 9 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-081845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell late. 
.MON...N wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt becoming NW. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-081845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming NE 25 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-081845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt increasing to 25 kt late. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...NE wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 
8 ft.
.MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-081845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
332 PM AKST Sun Mar 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft building to 8 ft late. 
.MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft in the afternoon.
.MON NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$
058 
FZAK52 PAJK 081249
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-090700-
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
Northerly outflow winds continue through Monday as a low moves
south of Haida Gwaii. Winds will decrease Monday  night as the
low continues tracking south and east.  

$$

PKZ041-090700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 8 ft.
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-090700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 7 ft building to
12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-090700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt becoming W 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to
16 ft. 
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 17 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-090700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming W. Seas 10 ft building to
19 ft. 
.THU...W wind 30 kt becoming SW 15 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-090700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
349 AM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.TONIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. 
.WED...SE wind 25 kt becoming W gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft
building to 20 ft. 
.THU...W gale to 35 kt becoming SW 20 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$
608 
FZAK52 PAJK 090024
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-091830-
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A ridge of high pressure over the Gulf of Alaska will shift east
as a low west of Washington and Oregon continues to  weaken and
drift south through Tuesday night. A gale force front  will
track east over the Gulf on Wednesday.  

$$

PKZ041-091830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. S swell early in the evening.
.TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NW wind 25 kt becoming E. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...S wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-091830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt becoming E 15 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 25 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 
.SAT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 16 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-091830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...W wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 17 ft. 
.SAT...W wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-091830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...W wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 5 ft. 
.WED...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow.
.THU...W wind 25 kt becoming SW 15 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-091830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
324 PM AKST Mon Mar 8 2021

.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt in the evening becoming light. Seas
5 ft. 
.TUE...Light winds. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. SW swell late. 
.WED...SE gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.WED NIGHT...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.THU...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SAT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 4, 2:51 PM AKST, 13 hours 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 2:51 PM AKST, 13 hours 6 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
251 PM AKST Thu Mar 4 2021

.SHORT TERM...Remnants of a frontal band moved over the northern
panhandle this morning with some lingering snow showers and low
clouds. Behind that wave clearing skies provided some spots of
sun and helped warm temperatures into the mid 40s. This weather
break will be short lived as the next low advances into the SE
Gulf this afternoon and evening. As seen on satellite cloud
shield north of the low center already reaching the central
panhandle with showers over the southern regions starting. Precip
will advance northward and with some colder air aloft expecting
some mix of snow for most central and northern locations along
with higher elevations to the south. Snow accumulations will be
limited to an inch or two. The low will be fairly robust with max
gale force winds for the SE Gulf and strong winds for the southern
inner channels this evening into early tomorrow morning. Winds
and diminish as the low moves northward with precip continuing to
advanced northward. Another low tracking south of the Aleutians
moves into the Western Gulf around the same time the current low
nears Cross Sound. The big question with the current low will be
the final track, dissipation timing, and interaction with the new
low in the Western Gulf.

Ensembles and operational models still showing fair spread on
this system for Friday and Saturday even now. Operational models
once again in two camps with GFS/NAM keeping the low intact
longer as it tracks northward into the NE Gulf, but not in
alignment on position. These models also shift the Aleutian low to
the Southern Gulf by Saturday as they keep the first low intact.
ECMWF/Canadian are dissipating the low into an open wave trough by
Friday afternoon, then bring the Aleutian low further north. GFS
ensembles v Canadian/ECMWF reflect a similar pattern. Decided to
go with a ECMWF/Canadian blend due to consistency of the model
runs and ensemble agreement. What this solution does is keeps
precip over the panhandle through Saturday and higher winds in the
southern gulf. Forecast confidence is below average due to model
spread.

.LONG TERM.../Saturday through Thursday night/...A large broad
low persists over the Gulf of Alaska. The various model solutions
on the operation solutions have a similar general idea, including
the idea of multiple centers and troughs/fronts rotating about
it, their positioning and strengths varying slightly. Settling on
fine details will have to wait for future model runs.

On Saturday one of the front/trough will lift north along or into
the southern half of the panhandle then pull back to the north
central gulf. Another bit of energy dives south, to near 50N
Saturday morning and this will pull the main low to the southeast
by Sunday night. A ridge that had been over the far western gulf,
that will be moved across the gulf and by a feature on the
south side of the large scale complex low pressure area anchored
of the Bering Sea. An incoming system will move from the north
Pacific and past Kodiak Island to PWS by early Tuesday, and then
into the panhandle Tuesday. A break in the precipitation is
expected from Sunday to Monday, with cloud cover shifting to a
partly to mostly cloudy pattern. If there are substantial breaks
in clouds, some morning fog may hamper early morning aviation, and
or slow down morning driving.

Temperatures do not appear to warm or cool substantially during
the period and will hang close enough to freezing to make snow a
consideration in at least some portion of the forecast area with
each passing disturbance.

A blend of GFS and ECMWF were used for the early part of the long
term, with NBM and WPC for the latter part. Overall confidence is
above average through the period.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from midnight AKST tonight through Friday morning
     for AKZ026.
     Strong Wind from 9 PM AKST this evening through late tonight for
     AKZ027-028.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ036-041-042.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ021-022-031>035-043-051.

&&

PRB/Bezenek

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 5, 12:57 AM AKST, 3 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1257 AM AKST FRI MAR 5 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1044 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 2 ESE KETCHIKAN         55.34N 131.64W
03/04/2021  M71 MPH          KETCHIKAN GATEWAY  AK   MESONET

            71 MPH GUST AT SALMON LANDING.

&&

JWA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 4, 3:45 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK29 hr
Mar 5, 12:24 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK15 hr
Mar 5, 4:12 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK11 hr
Mar 5, 7:32 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK3 days
Mar 5, 10:51 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK5 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.