High Wind Watch 6, NWS Juneau, AK

424 
WWAK77 PAJK 292325
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
325 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

AKZ017-300030-
/O.CAN.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0000Z-211002T2000Z/
Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area-
Including the city of Yakutat
325 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

Latest guidance has shifted the track of the storm eastward,
keeping the highest winds south and east of Yakutat. 

Breezy conditions with gusts over 35 mph are still possible late
Thursday night into early Friday morning and late Friday night.

$$

AKZ021-024>026-301400-
/O.EXA.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0000Z-211002T2000Z/
Eastern Chichagof Island-
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island-
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island-
Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island-
Including the cities of Hoonah, Angoon, Juneau, Petersburg, 
Wrangell, and Kake
325 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Eastern Chichagof Island, Eastern Baranof Island and
  Southern Admiralty Island, Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty
  Island and Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin
  Island, including Ketchikan, Metlakatla Sitka, Port Alexander,
  Hydaburg, Craig, Thorne Bay, Hollis, Edna Bay, Kake, Wrangell,
  Tenakee Springs, Pelican, Elfin Cove, and other communities. 

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and
  marine transportation could be impacted. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Confidence is increasing in a widespread
  high wind event across Southeast Alaska. Highest winds likely
  from late Friday night through early Saturday morning. A wind
  shift is likely from the SE to SW Saturday morning which could 
  bring down weakened trees and power lines. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

AKZ022-023-027-028-301400-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0000Z-211002T2000Z/
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area-
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Elfin Cove, Pelican, Sitka, 
Port Alexander, Craig, Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
325 PM AKDT Wed Sep 29 2021

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 55 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area, 
  Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area, Cape 
  Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area and Southern Inner 
  Channels.

* WHEN...From Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk

019 
WWAK77 PAJK 301349
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
549 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

AKZ021>028-010200-
/O.CON.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0000Z-211002T2000Z/
Eastern Chichagof Island-
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area-
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area-
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island-
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island-
Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Hoonah, Elfin Cove, Pelican, Sitka, 
Port Alexander, Angoon, Juneau, Petersburg, Wrangell, Kake, 
Craig, Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
549 AM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Eastern Chichagof Island, Eastern Baranof Island and 
  Southern Admiralty Island, Juneau Borough and Northern 
  Admiralty Island and Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to 
  Etolin Island, including Ketchikan, Metlakatla Sitka, Port 
  Alexander, Hydaburg, Craig, Thorne Bay, Hollis, Edna Bay, 
  Kake, Wrangell, Tenakee Springs, Pelican, Elfin Cove, and 
  other communities.

* WHEN...From late Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and 
  marine transportation could be impacted.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Confidence is still increasing in a
  widespread high wind event across Southeast Alaska. An eventual
  wind shift is likely from the SE to SW which could bring down
  weakened trees and power lines. There is still uncertainty as to
  when the strongest winds will occur. At this time, the strongest
  winds for the coast will likely be Friday night with the
  strongest winds inland, sometime Saturday morning. Changes in
  speed and track of the storm could alter the timing and location
  of the highest winds.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk

470 
WWAK77 PAJK 302318
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

AKZ018-011330-
/O.EXB.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T1200Z-211002T2200Z/
Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway-
Including the city of Skagway
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway including Skagway.

* WHEN...From late Friday night through Saturday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.  
  Travel could be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A brief period of high winds is possible
  around Skagway Saturday morning with an abrupt wind shift from
  north to south. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

AKZ021>028-011330-
/O.EXT.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0200Z-211002T2000Z/
Eastern Chichagof Island-
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area-
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area-
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island-
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island-
Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Hoonah, Elfin Cove, Pelican, Sitka, 
Port Alexander, Angoon, Juneau, Petersburg, Wrangell, Kake, 
Craig, Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla
318 PM AKDT Thu Sep 30 2021

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

* WHAT...South winds 40 to 50 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  possible.

* WHERE...Central and Southern Panhandle along and south of the
  Icy Strait corridor including Juneau, Ketchikan, Metlakatla 
  Sitka, Port Alexander, Hydaburg, Craig, Thorne Bay, Hollis, Edna
  Bay, Kake, Wrangell, Tenakee Springs, Pelican, Elfin Cove, and 
  other communities.

* WHEN...From Friday evening through Saturday morning.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds could blow down trees and power 
  lines. Widespread power outages are possible. Travel could be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and 
  marine transportation could be impacted.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Confidence is increasing in a widespread
  high wind event across Southeast Alaska. An eventual wind shift
  is likely from the SE to SW which could bring down weakened
  trees and power lines. There is still uncertainty as to when the
  strongest winds will occur. At this time, the strongest winds
  for the coast will likely be Friday night with the strongest
  winds inland, sometime Saturday morning. Changes in speed and
  track of the storm could alter the timing and location of the
  highest winds. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on this
situation. Fasten loose objects or shelter objects in a safe
location prior to the onset of winds.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk

582 
WWAK77 PAJK 011321
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Juneau AK
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

AKZ023-026-027-020000-
/O.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0200Z-211002T2000Z/
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0013.211001T2300Z-211002T1400Z/
Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area-
Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area-
Including the cities of Sitka, Port Alexander, Petersburg, 
Wrangell, Kake, Craig, and Klawock
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 AM
AKDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph 
  expected with a wind shift to south and southwest early Saturday
  morning. 

* WHERE...The Southeast Gulf Coast, portions of the Eastern Gulf
  Coast, and portions of the Central Inner Channels including
  Sitka, Petersburg, Wrangell, Craig, Klawock, Hydaburg, Edna Bay,
  Whale Pass, Point Baker, Port Protection, and Port Alexander.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to 6 AM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and marine
  transportation will be impacted. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The highest confidence in winds is along
  the coast, but inland locations still will likely see wind gusts
  around 60 mph. Klawock, Hydaburg, Craig, Wrangell, and
  Petersburg's time of greatest threat is from late afternoon
  through late evening. Sitka, Port Alexander, Edna Bay, Whale
  Pass, and Kake will experience the threat of high winds from
  late afternoon through early Saturday morning. Confidence in
  winds is highest on Baranof Island including Sitka. Heavy rain
  will also occur across the warned area. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ028-020000-
/O.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0200Z-211002T2000Z/
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0013.211001T2300Z-211002T0800Z/
Southern Inner Channels-
Including the cities of Ketchikan and Metlakatla
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 70 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Southern Inner Channels including Ketchikan, Thorne Bay,
  Metlakatla, Saxman, Hollis, Meyers Chuck, and other adjacent
  communities.

* WHEN...From 3 PM this afternoon to midnight AKDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and marine
  transportation will be impacted. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy rain will also accompany the wind. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ021-024-020000-
/O.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0200Z-211002T2000Z/
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0013.211002T0200Z-211002T1400Z/
Eastern Chichagof Island-
Eastern Baranof Island and Southern Admiralty Island-
Including the cities of Hoonah and Angoon
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
AKDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 60 mph
  expected Friday evening with a wind shift to south and 
  southwest early Saturday morning.

* WHERE...Portions of the central Inner Channels including Hoonah,
  Angoon, and Tenakee Springs.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 6 AM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. All modes of travel will
  be difficult. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy rain will accompany the storm.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ022-025-020000-
/O.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T0200Z-211002T2000Z/
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0013.211002T0200Z-211002T1800Z/
Salisbury Sound to Cape Fairweather Coastal Area-
Juneau Borough and Northern Admiralty Island-
Including the cities of Elfin Cove, Pelican, and Juneau
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
AKDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...East to southeast winds 30 to 50 mph with gusts up to 70
  mph expected.

* WHERE...Portions of the eastern Gulf Coast and portions of the
  central Inner Channels including Juneau, Douglas, Pelican, and 
  Elfin Cove.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 10 AM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and 
  marine transportation will be impacted.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The greatest threat of high winds for
  Juneau is early to mid Saturday morning as the storm makes
  landfall around Cape Fairweather. However, very windy conditions
  will occur all of Friday night. Confidence for winds is higher
  for Juneau than for Pelican and Elfin Cove. While high wind
  speeds are still likely for these communities, a more eastward
  track of the storm may result in much lighter winds. Please
  monitor changes to the forecast. Heavy rain will also accompany
  the storm. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. Have a flashlight handy and charge mobile
phones in case of power outages. If possible, remain in the lower
levels of your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use 
caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ018-020000-
/O.UPG.PAJK.HW.A.0006.211002T1200Z-211002T2200Z/
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0013.211002T1400Z-211003T0200Z/
Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway-
Including the city of Skagway
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM AKDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...South winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway including Skagway.

* WHEN...From 6 AM to 6 PM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are possible. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and marine
  transportation will be impacted.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Skagway could experience a period of
  lighter north winds Friday night into Saturday morning before
  eventual high southerly winds. Confidence in the onset of winds
  is poor due to possible small changes in the track and speed of
  the storm. But confidence is high that they will occur. Heavy
  rain will also accompany the storm. 
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

AKZ020-020000-
/O.NEW.PAJK.HW.W.0013.211002T0200Z-211002T1800Z/
Glacier Bay-
Including the city of Gustavus
521 AM AKDT Fri Oct 1 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
AKDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph 
  expected.

* WHERE...Glacier Bay including Gustavus.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to 10 AM AKDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult,
  especially for high profile vehicles. Aviation and marine
  transportation will be impacted. 

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...While high gusty winds are likely for
  Gustavus, confidence is lower due to uncertainty in the track of
  the storm. Should the storm arrive a few miles east of our
  forecast, Gustavus will be spared the strongest winds. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
https://weather.gov/ajk

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
254 PM AKDT Tue Sep 28 2021

.SHORT TERM...A gale force low has moved into the central gulf
bringing with it a frontal band that will push onshore tonight.
Ahead of this front, a brief drying trend has been observed across
the panhandle as we have a weak ridge over the inner channels.
This ridge is being displaced as our next weather system surges
onshore. Satellite imagery shows high clouds moving over the
panhandle slowly filling in any clearing that has occurred today.
Rain begins to move into the southern panhandle this evening along
with windy conditions. Small craft advisories for Southern
Chatham, Sumner, and Clarence Strait are posted through tonight.
Gale warnings are posted along the outside waters through tonight as
well. Over land, strong wind headlines, gusts to 40 mph, have been
posted for southern coastal areas including cities of Sitka, Craig,
Klawock, Ketchikan, and Metlakatla. By Wednesday morning rain will
have blanketed across the southern panhandle. With the southern
placement of this low, areas across the north are expected to remain
on the dryer side as northerly flow impedes any significant rainfall
accumulations.

Wednesday night, a secondary low forms along the frontal boundary
of the parent low in the gulf. This will re-intensify winds and
rainfall across the southern panhandle. There is some uncertainty
with track of the secondary low. Confidence is high that the low
will enter Dixon Entrance but any shift to the north will allow
for higher winds across the south. For now, thinking is that the
low will track through Dixon Entrance with the highest winds
staying south of the AOR. Rainfall across the northern two thirds
of the panhandle will be significantly less than the south as
northerly flow keeps heaviest rainfall to the south Wednesday into
early Thursday. 36 hour rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches can be
expected across the south with less than 0.50 inches across the
northern and central panhandle. Temperatures through the short-
term remain seasonal with highs in the upper 40s to low 50s and
night time lows in the low to mid 40s.

...UPDATED...

.LONG TERM...Thursday through Tuesday as of 9 pm Monday...
Confidence is increasing in a strong storm force low to rapidly
intensify in the gulf Friday and Saturday. Widespread high end
storm force winds are becoming likely across all outercoast
waters. Across land areas, conditions are being monitored for the
potential threat of high winds during this time frame, winds
gusting to 60 mph. Widespread heavy rain is also expected through
this period as there will be deep subtropical moisture present.

Period begins with a complex low in the gulf with solutions
suggesting multiple perturbations rotating around the parent low.
This feature will get absorbed into the next low pressure system
moving out of the Bering into the gulf Fri. Ensemble solutions are
in fairly good agreement on the low moving settling near Prince
William Sound late Fri before gradually weakening. The biggest
spread lies in the strength of this low. MSLP minimums in mb range
from the upper 950s to low 990s early Sat. Ensembles show
standardized anomalies of +3-5 for low level winds with gales
expected for the gulf waters, SCA to near gales over the inner
channels and strong winds for land areas over the outer coast and
favored areas of the S panhandle Fri into Sat. The other impact
from this storm will be moderate to heavy precip to SE AK.
Although there is still some uncertainty as to where heaviest
precip will be focused with this system, this system will progress
from the NE gulf coast through the S panhandle through Sat. Storm
total rainfall of 1.5-4 inches are in the 1-2 year return
intervals. Given the active weather prior to this period will need
to continue monitoring the potential for flooding from this
system. Low over the NW gulf will gradually fill through the
weekend with several disturbances likely rotating around the
parent and ejecting into the AOR will maintain active weather
through the period. However, there are no signals at this time of
any one of these bringing more impactful weather to the region
than another, so trended towards WPC guidance heading into next
week.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind from 7 PM this evening to 1 AM AKDT Wednesday for
     AKZ027-028.
     Strong Wind from 7 PM AKDT this evening through late tonight for
     AKZ023.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ036-041>043-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-033-035-051>053.

&&

CC/BC

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