Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 198, NWS Fairbanks, AK

December 6, 2021

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 6, 2021, 5:20 AM AKST. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 6, 2021, 5:20 AM AKST (14:20 UTC)
Expired
Dec 8, 2021, 1:43 PM AKST
In force
56 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

990 
FZAK52 PAFG 061420
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
520 AM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-070330-
520 AM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 958 MB low 80 NM west of Kivalina will move to Point Hope as a 
964 mb low by 3pm Mon, to 30 NM northwest of Wainwright as a 979 
mb low by 3pm Tue. A low developing in the western Bering Sea
tonight will move to the Central Bering Sea as a  as 982 mb low 
by 3pm Tue, and to Western Norton Sound as a 985 mb low by 3pm 
Wed.


$$

PKZ200-070330-
Norton Sound-
520 AM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S winds 30 kt becoming SW 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-070330-
Dall Point to Wales-
520 AM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-070330-
Kotzebue Sound-
520 AM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt decreasing to 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. 
.TUE...W winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-070330-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
520 AM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S winds 35 kt becoming W. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt.  

$$

Dec 21
5 follow-up statements
589 
FZAK52 PAFG 062303
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
203 PM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-071530-
203 PM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 965 MB low near Cape Lisburne will move to 140 nm northwest of 
Wainright Tue at 978 mb, then remain in place through Thu, slowly 
weakening. A 980 mb low will move to the N Bering Sea Tue evening,
then move to the Yukon Delta Wed afternoon at 987 mb before moving
inland.

$$

PKZ200-071530-
Norton Sound-
203 PM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

.TONIGHT...SW winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE...W winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-071530-
Dall Point to Wales-
203 PM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE...W winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-071530-
Kotzebue Sound-
203 PM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...W winds 20 kt. 
.TUE NIGHT...S winds 10 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 5 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 10 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-071530-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
203 PM AKST Mon Dec 6 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TUE...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TUE NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 25 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

Dec 21
346 
FZAK52 PAFG 071500
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
600 AM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-080315-
600 AM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 973 mb low 90 NM northwest of Wainwright will weaken in place 
to 986 mb by 3pm Wed, then move to 60 NM west of Point Lay as a
990 mb low by 3pm Thu. A cold front that lies from Point Lay to 
the Yukon Delta will move inland today. A low in the Western
Bering Sea will move to the Central Bering Sea by 3am Wed as a 981
mb low and to 100 NM west of the Yukon Delta as a 984 mb low by
4am Thu. 

$$

PKZ200-080315-
Norton Sound-
600 AM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

.TODAY...W winds 20 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 20 kt. Snow.
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-080315-
Dall Point to Wales-
600 AM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt becoming S. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-080315-
Kotzebue Sound-
600 AM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

.TODAY...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...S winds 15 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-080315-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
600 AM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.WED...W winds 20 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt.  

$$

Dec 21
325 
FZAK52 PAFG 072230
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
130 PM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-081515-
130 PM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A low in the Western Bering Sea will move to the Central Bering 
Sea by 3am Wed as a 981 mb low and to 100 NM west of the Yukon 
Delta as a 984 mb low by 4am Thu.

A 973 mb low 90 NM north of Wainwright will move to around 100 NM
north of Point Barrow Thu morning at 991 mb, then quickly weaken
thereafter. A low in the Western Bering Sea will move to 50 NM
south of Saint Lawrence Island at 981 mb Wed morning then to
eastern Norton Sound at 988 mb Wed evening before moving inland
and weakening. A 965 mb low will move from Bristol Bay to the 
Gulf of AK Wed night through Thu night then stall through Sat.

$$

PKZ200-081515-
Norton Sound-
130 PM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SW winds 10 kt becoming NE 20 kt. 
.WED...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-081515-
Dall Point to Wales-
130 PM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 13 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby
1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 45 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-081515-
Kotzebue Sound-
130 PM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

.TONIGHT...SW winds 15 kt. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...W winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-081515-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
130 PM AKST Tue Dec 7 2021

.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. 
.WED...W winds 15 kt. 
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. 
.THU...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...NW winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 35 kt. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...NW winds 20 kt.  

$$

Dec 21
216 
FZAK52 PAFG 081349
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
449 AM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-090300-
449 AM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 980 mb low will persist off the Northwest Arctic Coast into Fri.
Weak high pressure will hold over the Southern Chukchi Sea. A 980
mb low is near St Lawrence Island with a weather front extending
E to the Lower Yukon Delta. The front will move N as it weakens
and dissipates, while the low will move SE and merge with a 958 
mb low near King Salmon Thu afternoon. 

$$

PKZ200-090300-
Norton Sound-
449 AM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. 
.THU...NE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-090300-
Dall Point to Wales-
449 AM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Seas 15 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Vsby 1 NM
or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing
spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Blowing snow. Snow. Heavy
freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-090300-
Kotzebue Sound-
449 AM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. 
.SUN...NW winds 20 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-090300-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
449 AM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

.TODAY...W winds 10 kt becoming N. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. 
.SUN...NW winds 20 kt.  

$$

SDB Dec 21
533 
FZAK52 PAFG 082243
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
143 PM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-091530-
143 PM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 980 mb low will persist off the Northwest Arctic Coast into Fri.
Weak high pressure will hold over the Southern Chukchi Sea. A 988
mb low is moving inland across the Lower Yukon Delta, and will 
move N into E Norton Sound as it weakens and dissipates through 
tonight. A 977 mb low will move from Atka to Bristol Bay at 960
hpa Thu afternoon, then the Gulf of Alaska Thu night through Fri.


$$

PKZ200-091530-
Norton Sound-
143 PM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Snow.
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...N winds 15 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt.  

$$

PKZ210-091530-
Dall Point to Wales-
143 PM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W winds 25 kt becoming NE. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Snow showers. 
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. Blowing snow. Snow
showers. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Blowing snow. Snow showers.
Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Blowing snow. Snow
showers. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less.
Heavy freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or
less. Heavy freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 14 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-091530-
Kotzebue Sound-
143 PM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. 
.THU...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...NW winds 20 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt.  

$$

PKZ220-091530-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
143 PM AKST Wed Dec 8 2021

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT...NW winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. 
.SUN...NW winds 20 kt. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt.  

$$

Dec 21

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 5, 3:10 PM AKST, 14 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 5, 3:10 PM AKST, 14 hours 10 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
310 PM AKST Sun Dec 5 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A very strong storm continues to push inland over the West Coast,
Western Interior and Western Brooks Range this afternoon and will
continue to push north and east into the Central Interior and
Central Brooks Range. Widespread severe blizzard conditions with
many locations experiencing wind gusts over 70 mph and zero
visibility are beginning to improve this evening over the West
Coast, however heavy snow and near blizzard conditions have now
pushed into much of the Western Interior and Western Brooks Range.
High winds have developed through the Alaska Range Passes with
wind gusts in excess of 70 mph expected through Monday Morning.
Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories are in effect for much of
the West Coast both south and north of the Bering Strait with the
highest water levels expected tonight and on Monday as the poison
tail of this very strong storm pushes north and east onto the
West Coast and through the Bering Strait tonight. Clouds and
relatively warm chinook southerly winds over the Central and
Eastern Alaska Range have dramatically raised temperatures over
the Central and Eastern Interior, up from the 30s, 40s' and 50's
below into the single digits and teens below.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Upper Levels and Analysis...
The long wave patter consists of a very deep negatively tilted
long wave trough over eastern Russia and the Bering Sea and a long
wave ridge over the Eastern Pacific and Ern Alaska and Western
Canada. This pattern will become progressive as a series of strong
short wave troughs continue to make their way east over the
Bering Sea and Alaska into the middle of the week. Long range
models continue to indicate a push of very cold temperatures at
850 mb moving south and east from Siberia by the end of next week.

Surface...
A 954 MB low 200 NM west of Gambell will continue to lumbar slowly
north and east passing through the Bering Strait as a 968 mb low
Monday morning and near Point Hope as a 977 mb low by Monday
afternoon. A front associated with this low has pushed eastward
into the Western Interior this afternoon and will continue to push
northeast and weaken as it pushes into the Central Interior and
Central Brooks Range tonight on Monday. A 1044 mb high pressure
system over the Yukon will continue to weaken slowly and drift to
the east tonight and Monday.

Models...
The 05/12z model suite initialized well against the surface
analysis as well as the upper level observations and verified well
against the 18z surface analysis. Models show similar
precipitation fields and amounts through Monday with only minor
differences on QPF amounts and locations. Model spread remains
minimal in the short and mid range. Large spread enters the model
suite by Thursday as a powerful storm pushes north and east into
the Central Aleutians with significant differences emerging on
track, and strength of the storm.

West Coast and Western Interior...
Widespread severe blizzard conditions over much of the West Coast
and Western Brooks Range will slowly diminish overnight and into
Monday. Many locations along the West Coast experienced wind gusts
in excess of 70 mph and zero visibility for several hours last
night and today. Predominate conditions will slowly improve this
evening however the poison tail of this strong storm will push on
shore with intense snow squalls and periods of low visibility
heavy snow and high winds through the night. Heavy snow and low
visibilities in blowing snow will continue tonight in the Western
Interior and Western Brooks Range where Winter Storm Warnings
continue.

A storm surge of 4-7 feet is expected tonight and Monday along
the West Coast along with minor to moderate coast flooding is
expected through Monday. Ice could push onto beaches, and water
could flow up rivers causing minor flooding well inland. Flooding
will begin this evening along Western Capes and spread into Norton
Sound tonight, and into and the southern Chukchi Sea tonight and
Kotzebue Sound on Monday. Flooding will taper off By Tue. This
could also cause sea level rises of 2-4 feet along the Arctic
Coast from Utqiagvik west.

Central and Eastern Interior...
High winds developed in the Alaska Range Passes with wind gusts in
excess of 70 mph reported as a very strong pressure gradient
developed between the 950 mb low in the Bering Sea and a 1044 mb
high pressure over the Yukon. Strong winds also developed near
Delta Junction where a Wind Advisory remain in effect into Monday
morning. The strong winds in the Alaska Range as also expected to
continue into Monday morning. Very low wind chill values continue
near Eagle as the pressure gradient mentioned above aligns with
the Yukon River Valley and combined with very cold temperatures
up valley are producing gusty down valley winds. A Wind Chill
Advisory remain in effect this evening for areas near Eagle. s
drain down the down the Yukon River. The low wind chill values
will improve this evening as clouds moving into the area increase
temperatures. Clouds moving into the Central Interior as well as
warming chinook winds off of the Alaska Range have dramatically
warmed the Central Interior from the 30s and 40s below into the
single digits and teens below. Temperatures over the Eastern
Interior will warm through the night as clouds push into the area.
Heavy snow is expected north and west of Tanana to Bettles to
Atigun Pass where Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather
Advisories are in effect. Much lighter snowfall accumulations are
expected south and east of these areas Monday night and Tuesday
with Fairbanks expecting 1 to 3 inches of snow beginning late
Monday night and into Tuesday.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for the Western Arctic
Slope where light snow and strong winds continue to produce low
visibilities and are expected to produce low visibilities into
Monday. A Winter Weather Advisory is also in effect for the
Northeastern Brooks Range and adjacent plains as the pressure
gradient increases in these areas tonight and Monday and produces
low visibilities in snow and blowing snow.

Coastal Hazard Potential...
A storm surge of 4-7 feet is expected tonight and Monday along
the West Coast along with minor to moderate coast flooding is
expected through Monday. Ice could push onto beaches, and water
could flow up rivers causing minor flooding well inland. Flooding
will begin this evening along Western Capes and spread into Norton
Sound tonight, and into and the southern Chukchi Sea tonight and
Kotzebue Sound on Monday. Flooding will taper off By Tue. This
could also cause sea level rises of 2-4 feet along the Arctic
Coast from Utqiagvik west.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Blizzard Warning for AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-
AKZ213-AKZ214.

High Wind Warning for AKZ225-AKZ226.

Wind Advisory for AKZ223.

Wind Chill Advisory for AKZ224.

Coastal Flood Advisory for AKZ207-AKZ209-AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ201-AKZ206-AKZ221-AKZ226-AKZ227.

Coastal Flood Warning for AKZ213-AKZ214.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ215-AKZ216-AKZ217-AKZ218-AKZ219.

Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ210.

Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CCC DEC 21

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 6, 5:20 AM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG9 hr
Dec 6, 5:48 AM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG68 hr
Dec 6, 2:03 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG16 hr
Dec 6, 2:31 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFG6 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.