Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 183, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 1, 2021, 2:13 PM AKDT. It was in force for 38 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 1, 2021, 2:13 PM AKDT (22:13 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 3, 2021, 4:20 AM AKDT
- In force
- 38 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
823 FZAK51 PAFG 012213 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-021400- 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 973 mb low is 250 NM N of Wrangel Island moving NW. Low pressure extends E across the Arctic to a 1000 mb low 300 nm N of Demarcation Pt. High pressure over mainland Alaska is pushing N over the Arctic Coast. As the low pressure continues to slide N over the Arctic the high will move over the Arctic Coast Tue morning at 1015 mb, then to 300 nm N of Demarcation Pt by Tue afternoon at 1018 mb. Low pressure will develop in the Arctic Plain with a strong pressure gradient over the Eastern Arctic Coast. A low will develop over in plain Wed and move offshore. $$ PKZ225-021400- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SW winds 15 kt becoming E. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. .SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$ PKZ230-021400- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft subsiding to 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ235-021400- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...S winds 25 kt. .TUE...SE winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. .WED...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI...NE winds 15 kt. .SAT...N winds 20 kt. $$ PKZ240-021400- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...W winds 10 kt. Snow. .TUE...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .WED...NE winds 10 kt. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. .THU...N winds 15 kt. .THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI...E winds 20 kt. .SAT...W winds 20 kt. $$ PKZ245-021400- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 213 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. .TUE...E winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. .TUE NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .WED...E winds 15 kt. .WED NIGHT...W winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .THU...NW winds 15 kt. Blowing snow. .THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI...E winds 25 kt. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. $$ SDB Nov 21
3 follow-up statements
757 FZAK51 PAFG 021142 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-030215- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 973 mb low is 350 NM N of Wrangel Island continues to move to the Northwest. High pressure over mainland Alaska is pushing N over the Arctic Coast this morning and will push into the Beaufort Sea this evening. $$ PKZ225-030215- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Snow showers. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .WED...N winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ230-030215- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ235-030215- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE winds 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ240-030215- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E winds 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. .THU...N winds 15 kt. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. .FRI...E winds 20 kt. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. $$ PKZ245-030215- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 342 AM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E winds 15 kt increasing to 25 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. .WED...E winds 20 kt. .WED NIGHT...W winds 25 kt. Blowing snow. .THU...NW winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .THU NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. .FRI...E winds 30 kt. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. $$ Nov 21
798 FZAK51 PAFG 022115 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-031400- 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 975 mb low 400 NM N of Wrangel Island will move to 600 nm N of Wrangel Island by Wed evening. A 1018 mb high in the Central Beaufort Sea will move NE as high pressure over Siberia pushes NE across the Arctic. A 990 mb low will develop near Kaktovik and move into the Southern Bering Sea by Wed evening, then NE as high pressure continues to build E across the Arctic. $$ PKZ225-031400- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...W winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ230-031400- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE winds 25 kt becoming NE. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. $$ PKZ235-031400- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. Heavy freezing spray. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .WED NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 4 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ240-031400- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E winds 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .WED...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. .WED NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Blowing snow and freezing fog. Vsby 1 NM or less. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .SAT...W winds 15 kt. .SUN...W winds 10 kt. $$ PKZ245-031400- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 115 PM AKDT Tue Nov 2 2021 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E winds 35 kt diminishing to 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .WED...E winds 15 kt. .WED NIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .THU...W winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. .FRI...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. .SUN...W winds 15 kt. $$ SDB Nov 21
349 FZAK51 PAFG 031220 CWFNSB Coastal Waters Forecast for Arctic Alaska National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 Arctic Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one- third of the combined wind-wave and swell height. PKZ298-040230- 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... A 983 mb low near 80N and the dateline will continue to weaken and move northwest. A weak low will develop over the Eastern North Slope today and will deepen to around 988 mb this evening as it pushes north and east of the McKenzie Delta on Thursday. $$ PKZ225-040230- Cape Thompson to Cape Beaufort- 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...NE winds 35 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. .SUN...S winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ230-040230- Cape Beaufort to Point Franklin- 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas building to 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...E winds 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. .SUN...SE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ235-040230- Point Franklin to Cape Halkett- 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing fog. Heavy freezing spray. .THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. Blowing snow. Heavy freezing spray. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SUN...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. $$ PKZ240-040230- Cape Halkett to Flaxman Island- 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 .TODAY...NE winds 15 kt. Freezing fog. .TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .THU...N winds 20 kt. Freezing fog. .THU NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. .FRI...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 35 kt. Blowing snow. .SAT...SW winds 20 kt. .SUN...N winds 10 kt. $$ PKZ245-040230- Flaxman Island to Demarcation Point- 420 AM AKDT Wed Nov 3 2021 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E winds 20 kt becoming W. Freezing fog. .TONIGHT...W winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .THU...W winds 30 kt. Freezing fog and blowing snow. Vsby 1 NM or less. .THU NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. .FRI...E winds 30 kt. Blowing snow. .FRI NIGHT...E winds 40 kt. Blowing snow. .SAT...SE winds 30 kt. .SUN...W winds 10 kt. $$ Nov 21
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 1, 2:00 PM AKDT, 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 1, 2:00 PM AKDT, 13 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 200 PM AKDT Mon Nov 1 2021 .SYNOPSIS...Lots of moving parts today. Strong low will bring some heavy snow to the southern Seward Peninsula around Nome. Low pressure will linger over the coast through Wednesday. Strong south flow across the Alaska Range will bring a strong moisture feed into the Eastern Alaska Range with heavy snow in Isabel Pass and vicinity south of Donnelly Dome. Some light snow is expected in the Fairbanks area, but generally less than one inch through Tuesday afternoon. High pressure in the Arctic Plain will slide over the coast this evening, then offshore Tuesday with strong gusty east winds developing east of Utqiagvik. Gusty winds are also expected in Atigun Pass, and near the Alaska Range Passes. && .DISCUSSION... Models...01/12Z solutions are in reasonable agreement in the short term, but show some divergence in the extended periods. Will be leaning toward an equal blend for the short term, and the WPC solutions for the later periods. Strong south flow with lots of moisture continues across the Alaska Range, the problem is just how much will make through the orographic lift and downsloping into the Interior. Will lean on the conservative side, away from the heavy handed GFS, for snowfall in the Interior, but there will be some areas, the Eastern Alaska Range for one, that will have some heavier snowfall. On the West Coast the same issue with the GFS being a bit heavy handed with the QPF, so will lean more on the NAM and ECMWF solutions. Winds do pick up a bit as leeside troughing develops north of the Alaska Range, but expect max gusts in the 35 to 40 mph range. In the Arctic troughing developing over the plains with high pressure offshore and over the south slopes of the Eastern Brooks Range will produce some strong pressure gradients east of Utqiagvik, will lean toward the NAM and Canadian solutions as they bring slightly higher winds into the area. Will put some blowing snow into those areas as well, but do not expect extended periods of poor visibility as falling snow will be limited to flurries. Aloft...At 500 hpa...Troughing extends from a 491 dam low 200 nm north of Wrangel Island southeast over Point Lay to Ruby to a 530 dam low 200 nm southeast of Kodiak Island, then southeast to a 533 dam low near 40N. Troughing also extends south over the Dateline to a 507 dam low 200 nm north of Amchitka. Ridging continues to hold over the Central and Eastern Interior as a 567 dam high has moved over Northeast British Columbia. By Tuesday morning the low north of Wrangel Island will move northwest to 300 nm northwest of Wrangel Island and the troughing that was over the Middle Yukon will rotate over the Arctic to lie over 75N. The low near Kodiak Island will merge with the low that was to the southeast of it as it moves north to 400 nm south of Yakutat. The troughing in the Bering Sea will move to lie in the vicinity of 175W as it extends south from the low in the Arctic with a 506 dam low near Gamble with a shortwave extending over Norton Sound, and a 512 dam low 100 nm north of Adak. Ridging will continue to push in to the Eastern and Central Interior with 550 dam heights over the AlCan as the high moves over the Northwest Territories and Alberta Border south of Great Slave Lake at 566 dam. By Tuesday afternoon the low in the Siberian Arctic will be 400 nm northwest of Wrangel Island at 486 dam with shortwave extending east over 80N. Troughing extending south from the low will be over Wrangel Island to a 508 dam low over the Gulf of Anadyr to a 514 dam low near Nikolski. Several shortwave will be moving north in the flow over the West Coast. The low in the Northeast Pacific will move over the southern Gulf of Alaska at 523 dam. Ridging will continue to push into the Central and Eastern Interior with 545 dam heights over the AlCan as the high starts to merge into the primary ridge and the ridging over the state starts to rotate to the northeast as a strong shortwave associated with the low over the Gulf of Alaska moves over the Southern Yukon Territory Border. By Wednesday morning the troughing will remain to the west as the low over the gulf weakens and merges to the west. The strong shortwave will move north over the Central and Eastern Interior as the ridging rotates northeast. At 850 hpa...Warm air around 0C that was over the Central and Eastern Interior has been pushed east as cold air pushes in from the northwest. The -10C isotherm lies from Deadhorse to Bettles to Unalakleet to Savoonga this afternoon and will slide back to the north as the upper level low in the Siberian Arctic move northwest. The -10C isotherm will lie be over the Arctic Coast the across the southern Chukchi Sea and north of St Lawrence Island by Tuesday morning while the 0C isotherm will be east of the AlCan. The -10C isotherm will move north and west of the mainland by Tuesday afternoon, while temperatures over the southern Central and Eastern Interior will rise to around 0C and stay that way through Wednesday. Surface...Pretty messy pressure pattern across the state with Low pressure over the Arctic, a 1012 mb high over the Western Brooks Range and high pressure over the Arctic Coast, a 1006 mb low over the Eastern Brooks Range, a 1004 mb low in the Upper Yukon Flats, a 1008 mb high in the Middle Yukon Valley with high pressure over the Western Alaska Range, low pressure south of the Alaska Range with a 993 mb low in the Northern Gulf of Alaska, low pressure in the Bering Sea with a 987 mb low near St Matthew Island, and a 985 mb low north of Amchitka. Broad area of low pressure from the Arctic to the Bering to the Gulf of Alaska. The pattern becomes a bit clearer by Tuesday morning with low pressure over the Western Arctic, a 1015 mb high over Prudhoe Bay and high pressure pushing southwest into the Middle Yukon Valley and south over the Eastern Brooks Range, low pressure to the south and west with a 986 mb low over St Lawrence Island and a front extending southwest to a 990 mb low near Adak. A 994 mb low will develop ahead of the front and move east of the Pribilofs. Low pressure to the south will be anchored by a 986 mb low 400 nm south of Yakutat as the low that was in the northern gulf weakens and moves into the Southcentral. Tuesday afternoon low pressure will persist over the western Arctic as the high moves to 300 nm north of Demarcation Point and low pressure pushes east across the Arctic Plain. A strong pressure gradient will develop across the coast east of Utqiagvik with winds increasing to 15 to 30 mph. As the low pressure pushes east high pressure will hold over the Interior and strengthen over the south slopes of the Eastern Brooks Range with a strong pressure gradient there as well. Expect winds to increase in the passes to gusting around 25 mph. Low pressure will remain over the West Coast as it stretches from the Eastern Chukchi Sea to a 993 mb low over Gambell to a 989 mb low over Nunivak Island to a 993 mb low near Cold Bay. Arctic Coast and Brooks Range...High pressure building over the area through the evening as south flow continues for most of the area. As the high pressure moves offshore the winds will turn from the east along the coast and increase as low pressure builds east over the plain. Winds will become light over night, then increase to 15 to 30 mph during the day Tuesday along the coast. Winds will also increase in the Eastern Brooks Range passes with south gusts around 25 mph. Locally blowing snow may impact visibility at times Tuesday. Highs in the 20s, lows in the teens. Elevated surf is expected from Point Hope to Utqiagvik this evening as the winds around the low in the Western Arctic ramp up from the southwest and west. West Coast and Western Interior...Low pressure system moving to the coast sets its sights on the southern Seward Peninsula with heavy snow developing around Nome and just to the north of Nome. Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for Nome and vicinity. The remainder of the area will generally be cloudy with some light snow or flurries. Southeast to south winds do increase to 10 to 25 mph in most areas, so expect some blowing snow locally, especially in the Chukchi Sea and Kotzebue Sound area, to impact visibility at times. Inland areas will see less clouds and much lower chance of snow through Tuesday. St Lawrence Island will see 2 to 4 inches of snow through Tuesday. Highs in the teens and 20s, except around 30 on St Lawrence Island. Lows in the single digits to the teens. Central and Eastern Interior...Cloudy with some flurries or light snow for most areas. A strong push of moisture across the Alaska Range will produce some heavy snow south of Donnelly Dome through Isabel Pass. Winds do pick up near the passes with gusts around 40 mph so blowing and drifting snow may impact the area. Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect for the Eastern Alaska Range. Decreasing chances for snow by mid day Tuesday. Temperatures will be cooling with highs in the lower 30s and lows in the 20s. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None. Extended forecast for days 4 to 7...High pressure will hold over the Central and Eastern Interior and Arctic with a low pressure system just off the West Coast. The low will swing a front north into the Western Interior Thursday with it lingering in the area through Friday. Troughing developing across the Arctic Plain Friday with increasing east winds along the coast as a low develops in the Arctic Plain. The low will move offshore Saturday with winds decreasing along the coast, and snow spreading east over the coastal areas to Prudhoe Bay. A low moving near Yakutat Saturday will send a weather front into the Eastern Interior with snow developing in the Yukon Territory and spreading northwest to the Eastern Brooks Range. A low will also develop over the southwest mainland and move north into the Middle Yukon Valley spreading snow north into the Western Interior. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Winter Storm Warning for AKZ211. Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ226. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225- PKZ230-PKZ500. Small Craft Advisory for PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230. Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245. Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210. && SDB NOV 21
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2:56 AM AKDT | Winter Storm Warning | AFG | 30 hr | |
| Nov 1, 3:02 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 5 days | |
| Nov 1, 3:11 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFG | 25 hr | |
| Nov 1, 3:11 AM AKDT | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFG | 49 hr | |
| Nov 1, 2:13 PM AKDT | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFG | 38 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.