Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 148, NWS Fairbanks, AK

October 7, 2021

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 7, 2021, 4:06 AM AKDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 7, 2021, 4:06 AM AKDT (12:06 UTC)
Expired
Oct 11, 2021, 3:49 PM AKDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

627 
FZAK52 PAFG 071206
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-080215-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 981 mb low in the southern Bering Sea will move over St. Paul 
Island as a 973 mb low by this afternoon. This low will move to 
the Kuskokwim Bay as a 970 mb low by Fri morning.

$$

PKZ200-080215-
Norton Sound-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog.
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-080215-
Dall Point to Wales-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt becoming E. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-080215-
Kotzebue Sound-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-080215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
406 AM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TODAY...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
10 follow-up statements
418 
FZAK52 PAFG 072226
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-081400-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 966 mb low will move to Nunivak Island by Fri morning and into
the SW mainland Fri night. High pressure will push S over the
Chukchi Sea Fri night. The low will continue to move E with a
trough extending W to a 1005 mb low 300 nm W of Gambell Sat
morning.

$$

PKZ200-081400-
Norton Sound-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt increasing to 30 kt. Seas 4 ft building
to 6 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...S winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-081400-
Dall Point to Wales-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft building to 8 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-081400-
Kotzebue Sound-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas building to 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-081400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
226 PM AKDT Thu Oct 7 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.FRI NIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
869 
FZAK52 PAFG 081202
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-090215-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 966 mb low near Nunivak Island will slowly push inland today. 
High pressure will push S over the Chukchi Sea tonight. 

$$

PKZ200-090215-
Norton Sound-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-090215-
Dall Point to Wales-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Rain with snow. 
.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-090215-
Kotzebue Sound-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-090215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
402 AM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog. Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
131 
FZAK52 PAFG 082210
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-091400-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 970 mb low near Bethel will move SE. High pressure over the
Western Bering Sea will move to the Eastern Bering Sea Sat
evening with high pressure extending NW over St Lawrence Island 
to a 1014 mb high over Chukotka. A 993 mb low will move into the 
Bering Sea and reach the Pribilofs Sun afternoon. A 1008 mb low 
will develop over the Seward Peninsula Sat night and merge with 
the low near the Pribilofs Sun. 

$$

PKZ200-091400-
Norton Sound-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.SAT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...W winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-091400-
Dall Point to Wales-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...N winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.SAT...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.SAT NIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-091400-
Kotzebue Sound-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 4 ft 
subsiding.
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-091400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
210 PM AKDT Fri Oct 8 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SAT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog and freezing fog. Freezing
spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
136 
FZAK52 PAFG 091249
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-100230-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure continues to push south over the Dateline while low
pressure extends north over the Eastern Arctic to the east of 
Banks Island. A 982 mb low over southwest Alaska will continue to 
weaken as a weak ridge builds north and then moves east over the 
Southern Bering Sea.

$$

PKZ200-100230-
Norton Sound-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. 
.TONIGHT...W winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-100230-
Dall Point to Wales-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.SUN...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-100230-
Kotzebue Sound-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot.  

$$

PKZ220-100230-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
449 AM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 10 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.SUN...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
138 
FZAK52 PAFG 092200
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
200 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-101500-
200 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure will persist over the Chukchi Peninsula. A 989 mb 
low will move to near Nunivak Island by 4am Mon, then move SE 
into the Gulf of Alaska. A 998 mb low will form in Norton Sound by
4pm Mon and strengthen to 994 mb by 4am Tue then weaken in place.

$$

PKZ200-101500-
Norton Sound-
200 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...NW winds 10 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.SUN...SW winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...W winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-101500-
Dall Point to Wales-
200 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NW winds 20 kt becoming W 10 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.SUN...E winds 25 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.SUN NIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 7 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...W winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-101500-
Kotzebue Sound-
200 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft subsiding. 
.SUN...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-101500-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
200 PM AKDT Sat Oct 9 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt decreasing to 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and
freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.SUN...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.SUN NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
993 
FZAK52 PAFG 101233
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
433 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-110215-
433 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
High pressure near the 76N and the dateline will remain in place 
as a 1007 mb low near Point Hope weakens over Kotzebue Sound this 
afternoon. Low pressure over the Eastern Arctic will weaken as 
high pressure spreads over the area. A 988 mb low near St Paul 
Island will move to near Nunivak Island by 4am Mon, then move SE 
into the Gulf of Alaska.

$$

PKZ200-110215-
Norton Sound-
433 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...W winds 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-110215-
Dall Point to Wales-
433 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-110215-
Kotzebue Sound-
433 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-110215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
433 AM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TODAY...SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft subsiding. Fog.
.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
015 
FZAK52 PAFG 102129
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
129 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-111400-
129 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 989 mb low near the Pribilofs will move to Kuskokwim Bay tonight
as a 1008 mb low in the Chukchi Sea move NW. Trough of low 
pressure will persist across the area as the low in Kuskokwim Bay
weakens and drifts N over Norton Sound Tue, and a 985 mb low 
moves into the Southeastern Bering Sea.

$$

PKZ200-111400-
Norton Sound-
129 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-111400-
Dall Point to Wales-
129 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-111400-
Kotzebue Sound-
129 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-111400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
129 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
768 
FZAK52 PAFG 102143 CCA
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
143 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-111400-
143 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 989 mb low near the Pribilofs will move to Kuskokwim Bay tonight
as a 1008 mb low in the Chukchi Sea moves NW. Trough of low 
pressure will persist across the area as the low in Kuskokwim Bay
weakens and drifts N over Norton Sound Tue, and a 985 mb low 
moves into the Southeastern Bering Sea.

$$

PKZ200-111400-
Norton Sound-
143 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E winds 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-111400-
Dall Point to Wales-
143 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...NE winds 30 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.MON...N winds 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.MON NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.WED...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...NW winds 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 15 kt. Seas 11 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-111400-
Kotzebue Sound-
143 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.MON...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.MON NIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-111400-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
143 PM AKDT Sun Oct 10 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.MON...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
.MON NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NE winds 25 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

SDB Oct 21
141 
FZAK52 PAFG 111258
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-120215-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 989 mb low near Bristol Bay will continue to south and east 
into the norther gulf of Alaska. Trough of low pressure will 
persist across the area as the low in Kuskokwim Bay weakens and 
drifts N over Norton Sound Tue, and a 985 mb low moves into the 
Southeastern Bering Sea.

$$

PKZ200-120215-
Norton Sound-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TODAY...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft subsiding to 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-120215-
Dall Point to Wales-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft subsiding to 6 ft. Fog.
.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...N winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-120215-
Kotzebue Sound-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TODAY...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 1 foot. 
.THU...E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-120215-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
458 AM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TODAY...E winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.WED...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing fog and fog. Freezing
spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

Oct 21
701 
FZAK52 PAFG 112349
CWFWCZ

Coastal Waters Forecast for Northwest Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
349 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

Northwestern Alaska Coastal Waters out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-
third of the combined wind-wave and swell height.

PKZ299-121430-
349 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A low pressure trough from the Yukon Delta to Nome will persist
into Wed. A strong low in the Western Bering Sea will move to
Bristol Bay as a 988 mb low by 4am Wed, then continue moving east. 

$$

PKZ200-121430-
Norton Sound-
349 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU...N winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ210-121430-
Dall Point to Wales-
349 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TONIGHT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog.
.TUE NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Fog.
.WED NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NW winds 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft.  

$$

PKZ215-121430-
Kotzebue Sound-
349 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TONIGHT...E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. 
.TUE...E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 10 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.WED...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...N winds 5 kt. Seas 2 ft. 
.THU...NE winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...E winds 5 kt. Seas 3 ft. 
.FRI...E winds 5 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.SAT...E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

PKZ220-121430-
Wales to Cape Thompson-
349 PM AKDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.TONIGHT...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft subsiding. Fog.
.TUE...NE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. Fog and freezing fog. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Fog and freezing fog.
Freezing spray. 
.WED...N winds 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. Freezing fog. Freezing spray. 
.WED NIGHT...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU...NE winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.THU NIGHT...N winds 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.FRI...N winds 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...N winds 15 kt. Seas 3 ft.  

$$

Oct 21

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 6, 2:30 PM AKDT, 13 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 2:30 PM AKDT, 13 hours 36 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
230 PM AKDT Wed Oct 6 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
An active and messy weather pattern continues to move across
northern Alaska this afternoon. This system is bringing a mix of
rain and snow to the West Coast and Western Interior. Rain and
snow is expected to push east into Fairbanks by tonight and linger
through tomorrow evening. Heavy snow for higher elevations,
especially along the south faces of the central and eastern Brooks
Range is expected to ramp up this evening and last through
tomorrow. Cloudy conditions for most areas ahead of the next rain
and snow event for the Yukon Delta and Norton Sound region
starting tomorrow night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The upper levels of the atmosphere will transition quite a bit
over the next several days. A closed low trough over the West
Coast will slide eastward and be a closed low near the eastern
Brooks Range by tomorrow afternoon. Ridging will build over the
West Coast by this time before another digging trough moves across
the Bering Sea and is located near the Kuskokwim Bay by Thursday
night. This closed low will then meander to southcentral Alaska by
Friday night, where northern Alaska will be over a general
troughing pattern.

Central and Eastern Interior...
A weather front is moving across the Central Interior and will
continue moving east tonight before stalling across the Interior
by tomorrow evening. Due to the tropical nature of this system,
there will be warmer air pushing northeastward with this system,
resulting in rain and snow for areas below 2000 feet. Particularly
for Fairbanks, primarily snow will develop tonight and remain as
snow with 3-5 inches of accumulation in the hills north of
Fairbanks above 1500 feet, but transition to rain in the valley by
tomorrow morning. In addition to the snow amounts in the hills,
this transition from snow to rain could lead to messy traveling
conditions for the morning commute and hence the reasoning for a
Winter Weather Advisory for the Fairbanks area. Other areas of
higher terrain in the Interior are expected to receive additional
snow amounts of 3-6 inches expected through tomorrow afternoon,
thus continuing the Winter Weather Advisory for the southeastern
Brooks Range and Central Interior and the Winter Storm Warning for
Upper Koyukuk Valley. The south slopes of the Eastern Alaska
Range will also receive a decent amount of snow, ranging from 5-8
inches from Trims Camp south through tomorrow morning. Thus, the
one change to the hazards for this forecast is a Winter Weather
Advisory for that zone, as opposed to only a Wind Advisory where
winds will gust to 65 mph north of Trims Camp through tonight.
Windy Pass along the Parks Highway expected to gust to 65 mph
through tonight as well. Otherwise, weather conditions quieting
down ahead of the next weather front that looks to reach the
Interior by Friday night. Temperatures remaining slightly below
normal going into the weekend.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
A trough of low pressure across the Arctic Coast will keep east to
southeast winds over the next several days. Relatively quiet
conditions, with Utqiagvik the only location along the coast that
has developed low stratus and fog this afternoon. Looks for these
conditions to continue ahead of high pressure building into the
area that will turn flow onshore out of the north by the weekend.
The south faces of the central and eastern Brooks Range will
continue to receive snow totaling 3-6 inches through tomorrow.
Southerly flow through the Brooks Range Passes will also remain
elevated with gusts to 35 mph expected through tonight.
Temperatures remaining near normal going into the weekend.

West Coast and Western Interior...
The mess continues for the region, as rain and snow continue
through tomorrow. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect for the
Upper Kobuk and Noatak Valleys of an additional 3-6 inches,
mainly east of Shungnak through tomorrow night. Another surface
low will track to the Kuskokwim Bay area tomorrow night, bringing
another round of rain and snow to the Yukon Delta and portions of
Norton Sound. Lower elevations will remain as rain with this
event, while areas like the Nulato Hills will receive snow
starting Thursday night and lasting into Saturday. Temperatures
remaining near normal over the next several days.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory for AKZ225.

Winter Storm Warning for AKZ217-AKZ219.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ218-AKZ221-AKZ222-AKZ226.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200.

&&

OCT 21

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 7, 4:02 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG3 days
Oct 7, 2:19 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG39 hr
Oct 7, 2:26 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG62 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.