Severe Thunderstorm Warning 8, NWS Tulsa, OK

137 
WWUS54 KTSA 102042
SVSTSA

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
242 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

OKC077-102051-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200110T2115Z/
Latimer OK-
242 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LATIMER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

The storms which prompted the warning should remain out of 
Latimer county, and therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3539 9550 3503 9543 3503 9551 3497 9551
      3490 9577 3508 9582
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 219DEG 48KT 3508 9574 3505 9569 3494 9573 

$$

OKC091-121-102115-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200110T2115Z/
McIntosh OK-Pittsburg OK-
242 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCINTOSH AND NORTHEASTERN PITTSBURG COUNTIES...

At 241 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 4 miles southwest of Crowder to 6 miles west of
Blocker to near Krebs, moving northeast at 55 mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Eufaula...
Krebs...                          Crowder...
Canadian...                       Arrowhead State Park...
Blocker...                        Featherston...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly
from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the
basement or small central room in a sturdy structure.

&&

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3539 9550 3503 9543 3503 9551 3497 9551
      3490 9577 3508 9582
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 219DEG 48KT 3508 9574 3505 9569 3494 9573 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1149 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR to IFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.
Showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening will
trnasition to a wintry mix and eventually snow Saturday morning as
colder air moves into the area behind a cold front. Gusty north
winds will also prevail behind the cold front.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1059 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020/

DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms are increasing in coverage and intensity
across eastern Oklahoma late this morning. This trend will
continue into the afternoon, with severe storms and possible
tornadoes expected. Have made a few minor changes to afternoon
high temperatures, with the rest of the forecast looking good at
this time.

Update on the way.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for OKZ049-053-057-058-
     060>063-065>076.

     Winter Storm Watch from late tonight through Saturday morning
     for OKZ054-055-059.

AR...Flash Flood Watch through late tonight for ARZ001-002-010-011-
     019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION.....05

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
119 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-111100-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
119 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...Severe Storms This Afternoon and Evening Followed by Winter
Weather Late Tonight and Saturday Morning...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

TORNADO.
    RISK...Elevated.
    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...Critical.
	AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
	ONSET...Ongoing.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...Elevated.
    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...Significant.
    AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
    ONSET...Ongoing.

WINTER WEATHER.
	SNOW ACCUMULATION.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Late Tonight.

	ICE ACCUMULATION.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...Late Evening.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...Limited.
	AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
	ONSET...This Evening.

DISCUSSION...
An active weather day is underway across eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as a strong cold front is poised to move
through the region this afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms are
becoming more widespread across the region early this afternoon,
and a line of thunderstorms will eventually form near or ahead of
the cold front late this afternoon and evening. Severe weather
will continue with the thunderstorms, with the potential for 70
mile an hour wind gusts, a few tornadoes, and large hail to the
size of quarters. The severe weather threat is expected to end by
around midnight. Heavy rainfall is also anticipated across the
region this afternoon into this evening with most of eastern
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas seeing 1 to 3 inches of rain. Some
locations may see over 6 inches of rain through this evening
which may lead to flash flooding. The river flood threat will also
be on the increase this afternoon and evening.

As cold air spills into the region behind the cold front, a
transition to wintry precipitation will take place with freezing
rain, sleet, and snow all possible late tonight across northeast
Oklahoma. This could lead to slick spots on area roadways.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY...Winter Weather Potential...High Wind Potential.
SUNDAY...High Wind Potential.
MONDAY and TUESDAY...No Hazards.
WEDNESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The wintry precipitation will continue into Saturday across
much of eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas as cold air
continues to invade the region and an upper level disturbance
moves across the region. Snowfall forecasts currently call
for 1 to 4 inches of snow north and west of Interstate 44
across northeast Oklahoma with 1 to 2 inches of snow across
northwest Arkansas and the rest of northeast Oklahoma. Lighter
snow amounts will be possible across southeast Oklahoma into west
central Arkansas. There will also be a light accumulation of ice
across the area as well. This will likely lead to hazardous
driving conditions across the region. The wintry precipitation is
expected to end Saturday afternoon.

Temperatures on Sunday will be warm enough that any wintry travel
impacts will be relatively short lived.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts of severe weather, heavy
rain, flash flooding, and winter weather. Consider readying plans
to respond to impacts from severe thunderstorms, flooding, and
wintry weather.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1146 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

OKZ066-070-071-101830-
Muskogee OK-Okmulgee OK-McIntosh OK-
1146 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MCINTOSH...
NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE AND EASTERN OKMULGEE COUNTIES UNTIL 1230 PM
CST...

At 1146 AM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located near Dewar, moving
north at 60 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Okmulgee...                       Henryetta...
Haskell...                        Morris...
Dewar...                          Schulter...
Boynton...                        Grayson...
Hoffman...                        Bald Hill...
Hitchita...                       Jamesville...
Hectorville...                    Eram...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 235 and
250.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern,
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3585 9595 3581 9564 3579 9564 3578 9563
      3578 9561 3576 9559 3578 9556 3535 9582
      3539 9604
TIME...MOT...LOC 1746Z 199DEG 55KT 3544 9591

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1149 AM CST FRI JAN 10 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1132 AM     HAIL             TULSA                   36.13N 95.92W
01/10/2020  E1.00 INCH       TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            OBSERVED AT ORU

&&

JDS

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1209 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

OKZ055-056-061-101900-
Rogers OK-Nowata OK-Washington OK-
1209 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ROGERS...WASHINGTON
AND NOWATA COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CST...

At 1209 PM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located 3 miles northeast
of Ramona, moving north at 55 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Bartlesville...                   Nowata...
Dewey...                          South Coffeyville...
Copan...                          Ramona...
Ochelata...                       Delaware...
Lenapah...                        Talala...
Wann...                           Watova...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for northeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3652 9565 3651 9600 3682 9600 3700 9596
      3700 9545
TIME...MOT...LOC 1809Z 199DEG 49KT 3657 9588

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1238 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

OKZ062-067-070-071-101915-
Muskogee OK-Mayes OK-Wagoner OK-McIntosh OK-
1238 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL MCINTOSH...SOUTH
CENTRAL MAYES...EASTERN WAGONER AND NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES
UNTIL 115 PM CST...

At 1238 PM CST, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Porter to 5 miles northwest of Oktaha to 5 miles
northwest of Lake Eufaula State Park. Movement was northeast at 50
mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Muskogee...                       Wagoner...
Fort Gibson...                    Checotah...
Haskell...                        Okay...
Porter...                         Oktaha...
Taft...                           Boynton...
Council Hill...                   Rentiesville...
Tullahassee...                    Stidham...
Wainwright...                     Summit...
Redbird...                        Jamesville...
Pierce...                         Choska...

This includes Interstate 40 in Oklahoma between mile markers 253 and
262.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern,
northeastern and east central Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3618 9528 3598 9526 3597 9528 3593 9527
      3590 9528 3587 9525 3583 9525 3582 9527
      3581 9525 3564 9526 3535 9573 3580 9570
TIME...MOT...LOC 1838Z 216DEG 43KT 3588 9554 3563 9554 3547 9565

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1243 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

OKZ071-073-101930-
Pittsburg OK-McIntosh OK-
1243 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MCINTOSH AND
NORTHWESTERN PITTSBURG COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM CST...

At 1243 PM CST, a strong thunderstorm was located 5 miles west of
Mcalester, moving north at 55 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Eufaula...
Krebs...                          Crowder...
Canadian...                       Indianola...
Hanna...                          Stidham...
Raiford...                        Haywood...
Vivian...                         Arrowhead State Park...
Mcalester Regional Airport...     Scipio...
Arpelar...                        Vernon...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
and northeastern Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3538 9594 3537 9550 3485 9576 3490 9604
TIME...MOT...LOC 1843Z 199DEG 50KT 3494 9586

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
159 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

OKZ073-102045-
Pittsburg OK-
159 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN PITTSBURG COUNTY UNTIL
245 PM CST...

At 159 PM CST, strong thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from 2 miles southwest of Ashland to 2 miles northwest of
Stringtown. Movement was northeast at 55 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations in or near the path include...
Mcalester...                      Krebs...
Kiowa...                          Savanna...
Alderson...                       Ashland...
Mcalester Regional Airport...     Haywood...
Blanco...                         Pittsburg...
Arpelar...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 600 PM CST for southeastern
Oklahoma.

LAT...LON 3467 9588 3468 9589 3468 9609 3485 9609
      3518 9571 3463 9569 3459 9577 3459 9588
TIME...MOT...LOC 1959Z 211DEG 48KT 3475 9610 3449 9608